Multiples COPY Flashcards
Which are the types of multiples?
1)
- Stock market: comparable companies
- Transaction: comparable transactions (include control premium)
2) current, trailing, forward
From both you get a price and not the value of equity
Methods to define comparable companies?
direct comparison
storytelling
modified multiples
statistical techniques (regression problems are not always linear relationship, relationship change, multicollinearity)
Which multiple to choose?
only one multiple and not average, the one that most meet valuation needs, highest R2, the one that seems to have more “sense” for the sector.
Which are the right multiples for each sector?
manufacturing (P/E),
companies with high growth potential (PEG ratio),
start-ups (multiples of turnover),
infrastructure (EV/EBITDA),
REIT (P/CFE)(Net earnings+Depreciation)(g, PEG ratio), financial (P/BV (emphasis on ROE)),
retail (revenue multiples (multiple turnover))
Asset side multiples
- EV/Sales
- EV/EBIT
- EV/EBITDA: preferred because linked to a potential cash flow, less easily manipulated, avoid depreciation that is country specific.
FORMULA: EV/EBITDA
EV/EBITDA=((1-t))/(WACC-g)+(D&Amm(t)/EBITDA)/(WACC-g)-(CAPEX/EBITDA)/(WACC-g)- (∆WC/EBITDA)/(WACC-g)
Equity side multiples
- P/E: (Payout*(1+g))/(k_e-g)
- P/BV: (ROE*Payout ratio)/(k_e-g)
- PEG: PE/(Growth rate in earnings)
Lower the PEG, the more the company may be undervalued