MP & FP SINCE1991 Flashcards

1
Q

Events which led to 1991 reforms

A

License Raj:

Protectionism

Focus on Public Sector:

High Fiscal Deficit

Rising Inflation

Depleting Foreign Exchange Reserves Gulf War Impact:

Loss of Investor Confidence Assassination of Rajiv Gandhi

New Government with a Mandate for Change

World Bank and IMF Pressure

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2
Q

Liberalisation of 1991

A

Reduction of government controls and regulations on various industries.
Removal of licensing requirements (the ‘License Raj’) for most sectors, allowing businesses greater freedom to operate.
Easing restrictions on foreign investments, encouraging more multinational companies to set up in India.
Lowering of import tariffs to allow increased competition from international goods.

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3
Q

Privatization

A

Disinvestment of shares in Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs), meaning the sale of government ownership to private individuals or companies.
Opening up sectors previously reserved for the public sector to private competition.
Intended to improve efficiency, reduce the fiscal burden on the government, and raise funds.

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4
Q

Globalization

A

Integration of the Indian economy with the global economy.
Reduced trade barriers and greater opportunities to export Indian goods and services.
Encouragement of foreign investment in India, bringing capital and technology.

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5
Q

Industrial Delicensing under liberalisation

A

Before: To manufacture cars, a company needed a specific license from the government, limiting the number of businesses in a sector.
After: No more licenses needed. This led to companies like Maruti Suzuki, Hyundai, Ford, and others entering the market, causing greater choice for consumers, and increased production in the auto sector.

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6
Q

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): under lib

A

Before: Foreign companies like Coca-Cola were forced to leave India due to ownership restrictions.
After: Relaxed regulations allowed MNCs (Multinational Corporations) like Pepsi, Coca-Cola, Nestle, and many others to establish operations throughout India. This brought in capital, jobs, and new technologies.

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7
Q

Trade Policy Reforms: lib

A

Before: Importing a foreign-made computer involved massive taxes, making them cost-prohibitive for most Indians.
After: Reduced tariffs and quotas made computers, electronics, and other goods more affordable, improving quality of life and leading to technology booms like the IT sector in cities like Bangalore.

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8
Q

Financial Sector Reforms: lib

A

Before: Government banks had strict controls on interest rates, making it difficult for businesses to get loans.
After: Private banks like HDFC, ICICI, and others were allowed to flourish, expanding credit availability and boosting investment.

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9
Q

Privatization

Disinvestment of PSUs:

A

Before: Government-owned companies like Air India had near-monopoly status with limited quality or service options.
After: The government sold partial ownership in these companies, bringing in private sector expertise. While sometimes controversial, this improved management in certain cases, and brought new players into the market that competed against inefficient PSUs.

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10
Q

Globalization

Increased Exports:

A

Before: Indian companies focused mostly on the domestic market.
After: Trade barriers lowered and the focus was on making Indian industries globally competitive. This led to a rise in exports of textiles, IT services, and pharmaceuticals, providing a major boost to the economy.

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11
Q

Globalization

Foreign Investment & Outsourcing:

A

Before: Few foreign companies invested in India due to restrictions and a bureaucratic environment.
After: Improved business climate attracted foreign investment and India became a hub for outsourcing, particularly in IT and business processing, creating vast numbers of jobs.

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12
Q

Positive Impacts of LPG reforms of 1991 on AGRICULTURE SECTOR

A

Increased Investment - food processing industries and agricultural infrastructure

Diversification and Export Opportunities - higher-value and export-oriented crops

Technological Improvements: seeds, fertilizers, and agricultural machinery

Reduced Subsidies (Mixed Impact) cost-conscious

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13
Q

Negative Impacts of LPG reforms of 1991 on AGRICULTURE SECTOR

A

Lack of direct investment in irrigation and rural infrastructure.
Higher costs for farmers due to reduced subsidies on fertilizers and energy.
Exposure to global price volatility and cheaper imports hurt farmers.
Increased farmer debt, contributing to the agrarian crisis.
Widened inequality within the agricultural sector.

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14
Q

Positive Impact of LPG reforms of 1991 on industrial SECTOR

A

End of the License Raj: Removing bureaucratic hurdles unleashed entrepreneurial energy and boosted industrial growth.
Increased Competition: Foreign competition forced domestic industries to become more efficient and innovative.
New Investment and Growth: The improved business environment attracted investment, fueling a boom in various sectors.
Rise of Indian Multinationals: Indian firms became globally competitive and expanded their footprints internationally.

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15
Q

Negative Impact of LPG reforms of 1991 on industrial SECTOR

A

Job Losses: Some inefficient industries faced closure or downsizing, leading to job losses.
Rise of Inequality: The benefits of industrial growth were unevenly distributed across sectors and skill levels.
Infrastructure Constraints: Inadequate infrastructure continued to limit the full potential of industrial growth.
Environmental Concerns: Rapid expansion often came at the cost of environmental regulations.

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16
Q

Positive Impact of LPG reforms of 1991 on financial SECTOR

A

Efficiency & Competition: Liberalization reduced government control and allowed for more private and foreign banks. This increased efficiency and led to better financial services.
Access to Credit: Easier access to loans for businesses and individuals spurred economic growth.
Capital Market Development: Reforms helped develop India’s capital markets, giving businesses new ways to raise funds and investors new opportunities.
Innovation: The market-driven environment encouraged new financial products and services.

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17
Q

Negative Impact of LPG Reforms on the Financial Sector

A

Financial Risks: Greater market exposure also brings the potential for financial instability.
Inequality: Benefits weren’t always evenly distributed, and some groups remained without access to the formal financial system.

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18
Q

India’s Fiscal Deficit in the Post-Reform Period

1990s

A

The fiscal deficit was a major problem in the pre-reform era, reaching over 8% of GDP at times. The 1991 reforms initially aimed to bring this down.

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19
Q

India’s Fiscal Deficit in the Post-Reform Period
Early 2000

A

Improvements, then Deterioration: The deficit showed improvement in the initial post-reform years but started rising again in the late 1990s and early 2000s. This was due to factors like increased spending on subsidies and public sector salaries

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20
Q

FRBM Act (2003)

A

key measure introduced to control the fiscal deficit, this act set targets to progressively reduce it. This helped put some discipline on government spending for a period.

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21
Q

Statistics (Approx.) of fiscal deficit

A

1990-91: >8% of GDP
Early 2000s: Declined, but still around 5-6% of GDP
2008 Crisis Impact: Rose again
Recent Years: Concerns over high deficits remain, often in the 6-7% range of GDP.

22
Q

Objectives - Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act, 2003

A

Financial Discipline: The Act promotes responsible spending by the government by setting targets for reducing the fiscal deficit (the difference between government expenditure and revenue).
Macroeconomic Stability: By encouraging fiscal prudence, the FRBM Act aims to create a stable economic environment with controlled inflation and healthy growth.
Improved Public Fund Management: The Act ensures transparency and accountability in how the government spends public money.
Inter-generational Equity: It strives to ensure the burden of government debt doesn’t fall disproportionately on future generations.

23
Q

Key Features - FRBM ACT

A

Fiscal Deficit Targets: The FRBM Act initially set a target to reduce the fiscal deficit to 3% of GDP by 2008.
**Flexibility: **These targets have been revised and amended over the years to account for various economic factors.
Medium-Term Fiscal Framework: The Act mandates the government to present a medium-term fiscal policy statement alongside the annual budget, outlining fiscal projections for the next three years.
Transparency: The Act promotes transparency by requiring the government to present documents like the Fiscal Policy Strategy Statement and Macroeconomic Framework Statement along with the budget

24
Q

Revenue Enhancement Measures taken to control fiscal deficit post-reform period

A

Widening of the Tax Base: Reforms focused on broadening the tax base to bring more individuals and businesses into the tax net, increasing the overall tax revenue.
Tax Reforms: Simplification of tax laws, the introduction of the Goods and Services Tax (GST), and efforts to reduce tax evasion helped improve tax collection efficiency.
Disinvestment: Proceeds from the sale of government equity in Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs) provided a source of non-tax revenue.
Reduction of Subsidies: Gradual reduction in subsidies on food, fertilizer, and fuel helped curb expenditure. This was a politically sensitive area, requiring careful calibration to balance social needs with fiscal realities.

25
Q

Expenditure Control Measures taken to control fiscal deficit post-reform period

A

Expenditure Prioritization: Emphasis on directing spending towards productive investments in infrastructure, social programs with a clear development focus, and away from less essential areas.
Re-evaluation of Subsidies: Moving towards more targeted subsidy programs and ensuring the benefits reach intended beneficiaries instead of broad and inefficient subsidies.
Controlling Salary Bills: Efforts to manage the growth of public sector salaries and benefits.
**Monitoring and Evaluation: **Implementing robust public expenditure management systems to improve efficiency, track outcomes, and reduce wasteful spending.

26
Q

Other Fiscal Measures taken to control fiscal deficit post-reform period

A

Borrowing Strategies: The government focused on responsible borrowing strategies and diversifying debt sources to manage the fiscal deficit without creating excessive debt burdens.
Adherence to FRBM Act: Though targets were amended, the overall framework of the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act provided guiding principles for maintaining fiscal discipline.

27
Q

Structural Factors for persistent deficit during post-reform period

A

**Tax Structure: **Despite improvements, India’s tax-to-GDP ratio remains relatively low by international standards. Factors like a large informal sector and complex tax laws hinder efficient revenue collection.
**Subsidy Burdens: **Subsidies on fertilizer, food, and fuel place significant strain on the government’s budget. Though targeted reforms are underway, fully eliminating or significantly reducing them is a politically sensitive issue.
**Infrastructure Spending: **India has a massive infrastructure deficit, requiring large public investments in roads, railways, power, and other areas crucial for economic growth. This creates expenditure pressures.
**Inefficient Public Sector Undertakings: **Many state-owned enterprises operate at a loss, requiring continued government support, contributing to the deficit.

28
Q

Cyclical Factors for persistent deficit during post-reform period

A

Economic Slowdowns: During economic downturns, tax revenues decline while demand for social safety nets and government stimulus spending increases. This naturally worsens the fiscal deficit.
External Shocks: Events like global financial crises or oil price spikes disrupt the Indian economy, affecting revenues and expenditures, thus destabilizing the deficit.

29
Q

Political Considerations for persistent deficit during post-reform period

A

Populist Spending: Political decisions aimed at electoral gains often lead to increased spending on subsidies, welfare schemes, or public sector salaries, straining fiscal resources.
**Suboptimal Borrowing: **When deficits persist, there can be an overreliance on borrowing to bridge the gap, potentially increasing the debt burden long-term.

30
Q

Institutional Factors for persistent deficit during post-reform period

A

**Rigid Fiscal Targets: **The FRBM Act initially set stringent deficit targets which proved difficult to achieve consistently, particularly considering economic fluctuations.
Weak Expenditure Management: Issues with budget formulation, timely spending, and tracking outcomes within government programs can lead to inefficiencies and leakage of funds.

31
Q

Revenue Enhancement measures to achieve sustainable fiscal consolidation

A

Expanding the Tax Base:
**Rationalizing Tax Rates: **Aim for a moderate tax rate structure while minimizing exemptions and loopholes to reduce tax avoidance and improve collections.
Focus on Non-Tax Revenue: Explore avenues to increase non-tax revenue sources like asset monetization of non-core government assets, spectrum auctions, and user fees for certain public services
Improving Tax Administration

32
Q

Expenditure Management measures to achieve sustainable fiscal consolidation

A

Targeted Subsidies
Public Expenditure Review

Zero-Based Budgeting: Apply zero-based budgeting principles to justify spending in each program rather than basing budgets on incremental increases from previous years.

Outcome-Focused Spending: Allocate resources towards programs with proven outcomes in critical areas like health, education, and infrastructure.

33
Q

Responsible Debt Management as a measure of fiscal consolidtion

A

Prudent Borrowing: Borrow primarily for productive investments and infrastructure development that yields long-term economic returns.
Debt Sustainability Analysis: Regularly assess debt sustainability levels and tailor borrowing strategies to minimize risks and avoid excessive debt burdens.
Refinancing High-Interest Debt: Explore opportunities to refinance existing high-interest debt with lower-cost debt to reduce interest payments.

34
Q

Additional measures for fiscal consolidation

A

Structural Reforms: Implement structural reforms to boost the inherent growth potential of the economy, which ultimately leads to increased revenue generation.
**Strong Fiscal Framework: **Ensure adherence to the FRBM Act principles with the flexibility to address cyclical economic challenges.
Transparency and Accountability: Enhance transparency in government budgeting and expenditure tracking to build trust and reduce inefficiencies

35
Q
A
36
Q

Evolution of Monetary Policy in India

Pre-Independence Era (Upto 1947)

A

No central bank.
Silver standard: Rupee value linked to silver price.
Unstable exchange rates.
Limited monetary policy tools.

37
Q

Evolution of Monetary Policy in India

Pre-Reform Period (Pre-1991)

A

Monetary policy focused on administrative controls and credit rationing by RBI (Reserve Bank of India).
Limited role for market forces in interest rate determination.
Focus on supporting priority sectors (agriculture, industry) through directed credit.

38
Q

Evolution of Monetary Policy in India

Early Reforms (1991-1998)

A

Gradual shift towards market-oriented monetary policy.
Introduction of Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) for short-term liquidity management.
Partial liberalization of interest rates.

39
Q

Evolution of Monetary Policy in India

Phase of Disinflation (1998-2004)

A

Focus on controlling inflation and achieving price stability.
Increased use of repo rate as a key monetary policy tool.
Phasing out of administered interest rates.

40
Q

Evolution of Monetary Policy in India

Inflation Targeting Framework (2005-Present)

A

RBI adopted a formal inflation targeting framework with a medium-term target set by the government.
Repo rate became the main instrument for monetary policy signaling.
Increased transparency and accountability of RBI’s monetary policy actions.

41
Q

Evolution of Monetary Policy in India

Recent Developments (2020-Present)

A

Use of unconventional monetary policy tools like Long-Term Repo Operations (LTRO) during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Increased focus on financial inclusion and access to credit.
Growing importance of financial markets and instruments for monetary policy transmission

42
Q

What are the tools of monetary policy?

A

The methods a central bank uses to control the money supply, interest rates, and availability of credit to influence overall economic activity. These tools are essential for achieving goals like price stability, economic growth, and financial system health.

43
Q

What are the two main types of monetary policy tools?

A

Direct Tools: Have an immediate and forceful impact on money supply and interest rates.
Indirect Tools: Influence money supply and interest rates through their effect on the broader financial system, working primarily through market mechanisms.

44
Q

DIRECT TOOLS Reserve Requirements

A

Definition: The percentage of deposits that banks must hold in reserve at the central bank.
Impact:
Increasing reserve requirements limits the amount of money banks have available for lending, reducing the growth of the money supply and putting upward pressure on interest rates.
Decreasing reserve requirements frees up banks to lend more, potentially increasing the money supply and lowering interest rates.

45
Q

DIRECT TOOLS

Discount Rate

A

Definition: The interest rate charged by the central bank to commercial banks for short-term loans, serving as a “lender of last resort”.
Impact:
Lowering the discount rate makes it cheaper for banks to obtain funds, encouraging them to borrow and expand lending activities. This can lead to an increase in the money supply.
Raising the discount rate makes borrowing more expensive for banks, discouraging them from taking loans and potentially contracting the money supply.

46
Q

INDIRECT TOOLS
Open Market Operations (OMO)

A

Definition: The central bank buys and sells government securities (bonds) in the open market.
Impact:
Buying securities pumps money into the financial system, increasing banks’ reserves. This can boost lending activity and expand the money supply.
Selling securities takes money out of the financial system, decreasing bank reserves. This can tighten credit availability and slow the growth of the money supply.

47
Q

INDIRECT TOOLS
Interest Rate Targeting (Repo Rate)

A

Definition: The central bank sets a target for short-term interest rates in the interbank lending market. The repo rate is a commonly used target rate.
Impact:
By adjusting the target rate, the central bank influences the cost of borrowing throughout the entire financial system. Lowering the interest rate encourages borrowing, leading to an increase in the money supply and a decrease in interest rates for consumers and businesses.
Raising the interest rate makes borrowing more expensive, resulting in a potential decrease in the money supply and higher interest rates for borrowers.

48
Q

Reduced Emphasis on Direct Tools:

A

While reserve requirements remain a tool, their usage has lessened due to several factors:

Less Flexibility: Direct tools can be disruptive and have a blunt impact.
Market Orientation: Modern central banks prefer market-based mechanisms for greater efficiency and transparency.
Focus on Interest Rates: Repo rate adjustments allow for more targeted control over the money supply and interest rates.

49
Q

Consequences of Direct Tools:

Reserve Requirements:

A

Impact on Money Supply:
Increase: Reduces lendable reserves, contracting the money supply, and potentially raising interest rates.
Decrease: Increases lendable reserves, expanding the money supply, and potentially lowering interest rates.
Challenges:
Can be disruptive to the financial system if changed abruptly.
Less effective in influencing lending behavior compared to interest rate adjustments.

50
Q

Consequences of Direct Tools:

Credit Rationing:

A

Impact: Channeling credit towards specific sectors, potentially crowding out other sectors.
Challenges:
Difficult to administer fairly and efficiently.
Can create distortions in the financial system.