Monetary policy Flashcards
Macroeconomic policy
–Define Monetary and Monetary Policy
- Relating to money or currency.
- Action that a country’s central bank or government can take to influence how much money is in the economy and how much it costs to borrow.
What does Monetary policy involve?
the central bank taking action to influence the manipulation of interest rates, the supply of money and credit, and the exchange rate.
The determinants of the demand for money
Why do people hold money instead of alternative assets e.g. bonds, stocks, durable goods)
J.M. Keynes said for these three reasons:
1. Transactions demand
2. Precautionary demand
3. Speculative demand
Transaction demand
Househoulds and firms need to hold a certain amount of money for its useful as a medium of exchange
Precautionary demand
- A certain amount of money holdings are desired by households and firms in order to meet unplanned emergencies
- Unplanned expenditures: unexpected illness, unemployment etc
- Will rise with incomes
Speculative demand
- Arises from the perception that money is optimally part of a portfolio of assets being held as investments.
- People will hold money with anticipation that value of non money assets will fall in the future
In terms of the demand for money, what is the opportunity cost money has
The income which could have been accrued had it been held in the form of other assets
What does the the opportunity cost of money mean for interest rates
Inverse relatonship between the quantity of money demanded and the cost of holding it; the interest rate. The higher the opportunity cost of liquidity, the less you will buy.
The alternative to holding money
- If the interest rates rises a smaller quantity of money will be demanded but a larger quantiyty of other financial assets will be desired; Bonds.
- If the interest rates falls a larger quantity of money will be demanded because the lower interest rates does not make it worthwile to forego the conveniance of money
When individuals are holding more money then they need there is excess
What does decreased excess supply of money lead to
- An Increased quantity of bonds demanded
- Causing the price of existing bonds to rise
- Meaning the interest yield on those bonds will fall
- The value of interest payments on a bond is fixed, but the actual yield (rate of return) is not
- Therefore; Interest rates have an inverse relationship to bond prices
The theory of the supply of money
- At any given time there is a specific fixed stock of money in the economy
- (assuming that the supply of money is solely determined by the banking system and BoE)
- The equilibrum between the demand schedule and supply schedule is the equilibrum interest rate
- This is the interest rate that equates the quantity of money demanded with the quantity of money supplied
Open- Market Operations; increasing money supply
- If BoE wants money supply to increase & interest rate to fall it will buy bonds & bills; it will pay for them with cheques drawn on itself
- The sellers will deposit these cheques, causing their banks’ balances with the BoE to increase
- This will give the banks larger holdings of liquid reserve assets, forming the basis for increased lending
- Banks will do this as giving loans is generally profitable, causing money supply to increase
Open market operations expansionary and contractionary and interest rates
- expansionary: banks increase their lending, rightward movementr in the money supply, equilbirum rate of interest falls, investment increases, AD increases + investment multiplier, equilbiorum level of real national incomes rises
- Contractionary: supply of money shift to the left, equilbirum rate of interest rises, decrease in total planned expenditures, decrease in real national income
The Transmission mechanism (leading on from open market operations)
Definition: When changes in the money supply bring about changes in the equilibrium level of real national income
1. A change in monetary policy
2. A multiple change in the money supply
3. A change in the interest rate
4. A change in investment
5. A multiple change in income
The MPC’s view of
the transmission mechanism (condensed)
- Official interest rate decisions affect market interest rates. + Policy announcements affect expectations & confidence about the future course of the economy
- Changes in the official interest rate affect the demand for goods and services produced in the UK.
- The level of demand relative to domestic supply capacity is a key influence on domestic inflationary pressure.
- Exchange rate movements have a direct effect, though often delayed, on the domestic prices of imported G&S and an indirect effect on the prices of those G&S that compete with imports