BoP: Deflation as an Expenditure-Reducing Policy Flashcards

1
Q

What are deflationary policies aimed at?

A

Reducing AD and limiting expenditure on imports.

This aims to improve the current account balance.

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2
Q

What is a contractionary fiscal policy?

A

Increasing taxes or reducing government spending

This is a method used in deflationary policies.

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3
Q

What does contractionary monetary policy involve?

A

Raising interest rates to reduce borrowing and consumption

This method also aims to decrease aggregate demand.

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4
Q

Define Marginal Propensity to Import (MPM).

A

A key concept in determining the effectiveness of deflationary measures

MPM indicates the proportion of additional income spent on imports.

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5
Q

If MPM = 0.4, what is the impact of a £10 billion reduction in AD?

A

Leads to a £4 billion fall in import spending

This illustrates the relationship between AD reduction and import spending.

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6
Q

What are the short-term effects of deflationary policies?

A
  • Lower Import Demand
  • Slower Inflation

These effects can enhance price competitiveness.

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7
Q

What are the long-term effects of deflationary policies?

A
  • Reduced Economic Growth
  • Higher Unemployment

Less spending leads to lower GDP and reduced production.

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8
Q

What is the expenditure-switching effect?

A

Shifts demand towards domestically produced goods if domestic inflation falls relative to trading partners

This effect is often modest in modern economies.

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9
Q

True or False: Deflationary policies can lead to recessionary pressures.

A

True

Lower AD can push an economy into contraction.

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10
Q

What risks are associated with deflationary policies?

A
  • Unemployment Growth
  • Reduced Investment
  • Deflationary Spiral

These risks include businesses cutting jobs and delaying consumption.

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11
Q

What is a key argument in favor of pursuing deflationary policies in the UK?

A
  • High Marginal Propensity to Import
  • Trade Surplus in Services
  • Inflation Control

These factors suggest potential benefits in competitiveness and monetary stability.

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12
Q

What is a key argument against pursuing deflationary policies in the UK?

A
  • Low Economic Growth
  • Trade Deficit in Goods
  • Risk to Services Sector

These concerns highlight the potential negative impacts on the economy.

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13
Q

What historical case study illustrates the consequences of deflationary policy?

A

UK Deflationary Policy in the 1920s

This case showed severe economic contraction and high unemployment.

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14
Q

What were the outcomes of the UK’s deflationary policies in the 1920s?

A
  • Deflation of 10% (1921)
  • Deflation of 14% (1922)
  • Unemployment rose above 20%

These outcomes indicate the negative impacts of the policy.

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15
Q

What can deflationary policies potentially improve?

A

The balance of payments by cutting imports

However, they carry high risks of economic slowdown.

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16
Q

What are expenditure-switching policies?

A

Policies like devaluation and tariffs that may be more effective when economic activity is weak

They aim to redirect demand towards domestic goods.

17
Q

What does historical evidence from the 1920s UK suggest about deflation?

A

When misapplied, it can worsen economic conditions rather than correct trade imbalances

This emphasizes the risks of deflationary measures.