BoP: Deflation as an Expenditure-Reducing Policy Flashcards
What are deflationary policies aimed at?
Reducing AD and limiting expenditure on imports.
This aims to improve the current account balance.
What is a contractionary fiscal policy?
Increasing taxes or reducing government spending
This is a method used in deflationary policies.
What does contractionary monetary policy involve?
Raising interest rates to reduce borrowing and consumption
This method also aims to decrease aggregate demand.
Define Marginal Propensity to Import (MPM).
A key concept in determining the effectiveness of deflationary measures
MPM indicates the proportion of additional income spent on imports.
If MPM = 0.4, what is the impact of a £10 billion reduction in AD?
Leads to a £4 billion fall in import spending
This illustrates the relationship between AD reduction and import spending.
What are the short-term effects of deflationary policies?
- Lower Import Demand
- Slower Inflation
These effects can enhance price competitiveness.
What are the long-term effects of deflationary policies?
- Reduced Economic Growth
- Higher Unemployment
Less spending leads to lower GDP and reduced production.
What is the expenditure-switching effect?
Shifts demand towards domestically produced goods if domestic inflation falls relative to trading partners
This effect is often modest in modern economies.
True or False: Deflationary policies can lead to recessionary pressures.
True
Lower AD can push an economy into contraction.
What risks are associated with deflationary policies?
- Unemployment Growth
- Reduced Investment
- Deflationary Spiral
These risks include businesses cutting jobs and delaying consumption.
What is a key argument in favor of pursuing deflationary policies in the UK?
- High Marginal Propensity to Import
- Trade Surplus in Services
- Inflation Control
These factors suggest potential benefits in competitiveness and monetary stability.
What is a key argument against pursuing deflationary policies in the UK?
- Low Economic Growth
- Trade Deficit in Goods
- Risk to Services Sector
These concerns highlight the potential negative impacts on the economy.
What historical case study illustrates the consequences of deflationary policy?
UK Deflationary Policy in the 1920s
This case showed severe economic contraction and high unemployment.
What were the outcomes of the UK’s deflationary policies in the 1920s?
- Deflation of 10% (1921)
- Deflation of 14% (1922)
- Unemployment rose above 20%
These outcomes indicate the negative impacts of the policy.
What can deflationary policies potentially improve?
The balance of payments by cutting imports
However, they carry high risks of economic slowdown.
What are expenditure-switching policies?
Policies like devaluation and tariffs that may be more effective when economic activity is weak
They aim to redirect demand towards domestic goods.
What does historical evidence from the 1920s UK suggest about deflation?
When misapplied, it can worsen economic conditions rather than correct trade imbalances
This emphasizes the risks of deflationary measures.