Module 4.1 Flashcards
Background on Financial Futures (1 of 6)
A financial futures contract is a standardized agreement to deliver or receive a specified amount of a specified financial instrument at a specified price and date. Financial futures contracts are traded on organized exchanges, which establish and enforce rules for such trading. The operations of financial futures exchanges are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
Popular Futures Contracts
Interest Rate Futures Debt securities such as Treasury bills, Treasury notes, Treasury bonds, and Eurodollar CDs. Settlement dates occur Mach, June, September, and December. Stock Index Futures Allows for the buying and selling of a stock index for a specified price at a specified date. There are various index future contracts. (Exhibit 13.1)
Exhibit 13.1 Stock Index Futures Contracts
2.Markets for Financial Futures
§Futures Exchanges
§Provide an organized marketplace where standardized futures contracts can be traded.
§Clear, settle, and guarantee all transactions.
§Most financial futures contracts in the U.S. are traded through the CME Group, a merger of the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) and Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) as of July 2007.
§Over-the-Counter Market
§A financial intermediary finds a counterparty or serves as the counterparty.
§More personalized and can be tailored to specific preferences.
Purpose of Trading Financial Futures
§Financial futures are traded to speculate on prices of securities or to hedge existing exposure.
§Speculators in financial futures markets take positions to profit from expected changes in the futures prices.
§Day traders attempt to capitalize on price movements during a single day.
§Position traders maintain their futures positions for longer periods of time.
§Hedgers take positions in financial futures to reduce their exposure to future movements in interest rates or stock prices.
Exhibit 13.2 Institutional Use of Futures Markets
6.Trading Requirements
Customers open accounts at brokerage firms and establish margin deposits with the brokers.
■Type of Orders
■With a market order, the trade is executed at the prevailing price.
■With a limit order, the trade is executed if the price is within the limit specified by the customer.
■How Orders Are Executed
■Although most trading now takes place electronically, some trades are still conducted on the trading floor.
■Floor brokers receive transaction fees in the form of a bid-ask spread.
Interest Rate Futures Contracts (1 of 5)
§Interest rate futures contracts specify a face value of the underlying securities, a maturity of the underlying securities, and the settlement date when delivery would occur.
§There is a minimum price fluctuation for each contract.
For financial institutions that trade in municipal bonds, there are Municipal Bond Index (MBI) futures
Characteristics of Municipal Bond Index Futures
1.Valuing Interest Rate Futures
§The price of an interest rate futures contract reflects the expected price of the underlying security on the settlement date.
§Participants in the Treasury bond futures market monitor the economic indicators that affect Treasury bond prices. (Exhibit 13.4)
§Participants in the Treasury bond futures market also monitor indicators of inflation, such as the consumer price index and the producer price index.
Framework for Explaining Changes over Time in the Futures Prices of Treasury Bonds and Treasury Bills
Speculating in Interest Rate Futures:
2.Speculators who anticipate future movements in interest rates can anticipate the direction of Treasury security values and therefore how valuations of interest rate futures will change.
§Payoffs from Speculating in Interest Rate Futures (See Exhibit 13.5).
§Impact of Leverage — Because investors commonly use a margin account to take futures positions, the return from speculating in interest rate futures should reflect the degree of financial leverage involved.
§Closing Out the Futures Position — Most buyers or sellers offset their positions by the settlement date.
Potential Payoffs from Speculating in Financial Futures
3.Hedging with Interest Rate Futures
In the short run, an institution may consider using financial futures to hedge its exposure to interest rate movements.
§Using Interest Rate Futures to Create a Short Hedge — Financial institutions commonly take a position in interest rate futures to create a short hedge, which represents the sale of a futures contract.
§Cross-Hedging
§The use of a futures contract on one financial instrument to hedge a position in a different financial instrument.
§The effectiveness of a cross-hedge depends on the correlation between the changes in market values of the two instruments.
Trade-off from Using a Short Hedge
§A financial institution that hedges may be able to reduce the variability of its earnings over time.
§However, it is virtually impossible to perfectly hedge the sensitivity of all cash flows to interest rate movements.
§Using Interest Rate Futures to Create a Long Hedge
§Some financial institutions use a long hedge to reduce exposure to the possibility of declining interest rates.
§Hedging Net Exposure
§Because interest rate futures contracts entail transaction costs, they should be used only to hedge net exposure, which is the difference between asset and liability positions.