Modelling Transmission and R0 Flashcards
What determines spread of a disease?
The type of reservoir Mode of transmission Population density Infectious likelihood from contact Infectious period Immunity in the population
What is R0?
Basic Reproduction Number
Average number of secondary cases in fully susceptible population
A function of human behaviour and pathogen biology
An estimate defined as a range
Not a constant for a particular pathogen
Different in different areas/times
What are the 3 parameters of R0?
Duration of contagiousness
Likelihood of infection per contact
Contact rate
What is the latent period?
Period between exposure and shedding of pathogen
What is the incubation period?
Period between exposure and onset of clinical symptoms
What is the infectious period?
Period between shedding of pathogen to resolution/death
What is the sub-clinical stage?
Period before onset of symptoms
What is the clinical stage?
Period after onset of symptoms
What is the calculation to determine percentage of herd immunity?
Herd immunity = 1-(1/R0)
or (R0-1)/R0