Macro-environmental Analysis Flashcards
Layers of the business environment
The organisation, competitors, industry, the macro-environment
Forecasting
Predicting the future
Scenario Analysis
Developing different possibilities of how the environment might change in the future
Market environment
Suppliers, customers, and competitors
Non-market environment
NGOs, Government, media and campaign groups
Difference between PESTEL & DESTEP
Demographics vs Political
Forecasting - prediction emphasis
Megatrends, Inflexion points, weak signals
Scenario Analysis
Learning emphasis
3 types of Forecasting are:
- Single-point
- Range
- Multiple-futures forecasting
Scenario Analysis creates:
alternative views(solutions); is used in high uncertainty conditions; requires learning not predicting!
The process of Scenario Analysis
- Define Scope
- Identify key drivers
- Develop different scenario stories
- Identify impacts
- Monitor progress