Macro Application 2018 Flashcards
LOW Interest Rates
UK- 0.5%
Eurozone- 0%
Japan- Negative Interest Rate
HIGH Interest Rate
Argentina- 40%
USA- 1.75%
HIGH Consumer Confidence
USA- Booming economy— Low Unemployment
Eurozone- Recovery
LOW Consumer Confidence
Japan + China- Trump Protectionist Uncertainty
UK- Brexit Uncertainty
HIGH House Prices
UK + USA- Wealth Effect
LOW Indebtedness
Germany
HIGH Indebtedness
UK- 86.6% of GDP
USA
Japan- 200% of GDP
HIGH Real Disposable Income
UK + USA
Eurozone
Australia
LOW Real Disposable Income
Brazil
Russia
Venezuela
LOW Income Tax
UK
USA
INVESTMENT
Interest Rates- HIGH + LOW
HIGH Business Confidence
USA
Eurozone
LOW Business Confidence
Japan + China- Trump Protectionist Uncertainty
UK- Brexit Uncertainty
LOW Corporation Tax
UK- 19%—> 17%- 2020
Ireland- 12.5%
USA- 35%—> 20%
HIGH Corporation Tax
UK PROPOSED- 26% Jeremy Corbyn
FISCAL Expansion
China + Hong Kong
Japan
USA
AUSTERITY
UK- since 2010 Spain Italy France Portugal GREECE
WEAK Exchange Rate
USD $
UK £
Lira, Real, Rouble + Rand- Primary Commodity Exporters
STRONG Exchange Rate
Euro €
Yen ¥
Australian Dollar AUD$
HIGH Commodity Prices
Oil
Gas + Electricity
Food
SRAS LEFT Shift
HIGHER Wages
UK
Eurozone
USA
SRAS LEFT Shift- Increased CoPs
HIGHER Sales Taxes
UAE- 2018 Introduced 5% VAT
UK- 2010- VAT 17.5%—> 20%
Japan- 2014—> Recession
WEAK Exchange Rate- Imports
USD $
UK £
Rand + Lira
Increase Import Costs- SRAS LEFT Shift
FINANCIAL/BANKING Crisis
USA
UK
Eurozone- Spain, Italy Greece + CYPRUS (Bust)
Caused Recession
INCREASED Interest Rates
Russia- 2014
South Africa- 2016- Increased to 7.5%—> Recession
UK after BREXIT?