Housing Bubble Flashcards
What are the 2 main contributing factors to Rising house prices?
Physical Barriers to Expansion
Median Family Income
How do Physical Barriers to expansion affect house prices?
Result in INELASTIC SUPPLY in the S/M Run
How do Median Incomes affect House prices?
Rising Incomes–> Increased DEMAND for housing
What other factor, besides median incomes + physical barriers, can increase house prices?
Population Growth
Draw the Supply + Demand diagram for a housing bubble
Perfectly Inelastic SR Supply
Perfectly Elastic LR Supply
Downward sloping Demand curves
Demand Shifts to the RIGHT to show Bubble Demand
Define Mortgage
Payment scheme designed to bring the original debt used to buy a house to Zero over a period of time
What Association in the USA Securitised Mortgages?
Federal National Mortgage Association- Fannie Mae
FNMA
What did Banks sell to FNMA? And what did FNMA do with these products?
Banks sold Mortgages
FNMA bundled Mortgages together to create Geographically diverse products–> Low Risk–> Investors bought Bundles–> Reduced Mortgage rates–> Increased Affordability
What are the 2 types of Mortgages that increased House Prices further?
Interest-only Mortgages
Negative-amortisation Mortgages
Buyers may not have understood terms of these mortgages- increased overall cost of mortgage despite offering initially lower monthly payment cost
What 5 factors caused the Housing bubble?
Expectations Banks did not own Mortgages 'Liar Loans' Technology Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
How did Expectations contribute to the Bubble?
People expect prices to Rise in future–> Buy Assets Now–> Increases Demand–> Expect to Sell later at higher price
Why didn’t Banks own the mortgages + why was it an issue?
The Mortgages were sold together as bundles days after being written-off
Issue because when people defaulted, Banks had houses but no liquid assets to pay back Investors
What are Liar Loans?
Negative-amortisation loans sold without the Bankers verification of Borrowers Income/Assets
-Only consulted Credit-rating agencies
What was Technology’s role in the Bubble?
Mortgage application automated online- easier to apply + get a Mortgage
What are Credit Default Swaps (CDS)?
Insurance on Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in case borrowers’ default
Eased Investors concerns- kept bubble going
CDS was not regulated as Insurance policies
Due to growing economy, everyone was too happy to be concerned w/ CDS