M&I Flashcards
Fallen Titans Keep on Giving. Bankers whose reputations took a hit in Crisis continue charitable activities.
- Angelo Mozilo, former CEO of Countrywide Financial Corp., donated $2 million to a pediatric ICU at Providence Tarzana Medical Center in Tarzana Calif.
- Phyllis and Angelo R. Mozilo Family Foundation
- Mr. Mozilo agreed in 2010 to pay $67.5 million to settle SEC allegations for insider trading and civil fraud. Largest crisis-related penalty by an individual.
- Kenneth D. Lewis, former CEO of BofA has also given to a foster care in N.C. and to New Vision Renewable Enegy, an W. Va. nonprofit that builds solar panels and rigs them homes in Appalachia.
- Former Washington Mutual CEO Kerry Killinger, donatied to Seattle Art Museum.
Lehman Brothers, 5 years later
- $1.75 B, price Barclays agreed to pay in 2008 for Lehman’s U.S. Broker deal unit.
- $3 B, amount Lehman lent to SunCal, one of the largest land developers in Western U.S.
- 2,000 acres, amount Lehman foreclosed on in Boot Ranch golf course in Fredericksburg, Texas.
- SunCal also had developments in Claifornia communities such as Marblehead in San Clemente.
- Stephan Elieff, CEO of Suncal.
George Walker
- Former CEO and Chairman, Neuberger Berman at Lehman Brothers.
- Lehman bought Neuberger Berman, an asset-management firm, in 2003.
- To save the company from bankruptcy in 2008, **Walker ** and other executives bought a majority stake in the company.
What is the name of the data index which tracks indurstrial production?
Industrial Production Index
Spain, Italy Banks Push Accounting Maneuvers
- Ailing banks find ways to make their financial conditions appear stronger.
- In Spain, the issue is deferred tax assets, which are worthless under new intnl accounting rules. Banks want to convert these to government-backed tax credits.
- Banks in Spain, with thin capital cushions, are lobbying govt to transform worthless tax assets into government guaranteed tax credits.
- In Italy, UniCredit SpA and Sanpaolo Spa hold 60% of Bank of Italy equity.
- These stakes, are hard to value since they aren’t traded and top bank CEOs ask for reevaluation, which would pad capital cushions.
Financial Stocks on Upswing Once More
KBW Bank and KBW Insurance indexes have outpaced S&P 500 due to expectations of paring back of Fed Stimulus.
Expected higher long term interest rates
Higher rates boost net interest margin-spread between what banks pay for deposits and earn in lending.
Insurerers such as MetLife and Prudential Financial are benefiting.
Targeting the Fed’s Pesky Inflation Problem
The Fed may hold off on taperingsinceinflationis fartoo low.
Inflation at 1.2%.
Worries due to low inflation:
- Greater risk of deflation if economy slipped
- Low overnight interest rates, prompted by inflation, give Fed less rate-cutting ammunition.
- Fed constrained in attacking asset bubbles.
Free-Trade Fever Hists Stocks in Shanghai
Chinese State Council, Chinese government’s cabinet, said it plans to implement a free trade zone in Shanghai port.
Looser capital controls and fewer barriers to trade and investment.
Share prices jumped for Shanghai International Port (Group) and Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Developement Co.
Could propel yuan to an international currency.
Stocks Welcome Summers Retreat
Stocks and bonds rallied as news broke that Lawrence Summers was no longer in the running for Bernake’s replacement.
Likely successor, Janet Yellen, current Fed vice chairman.
Investors see Yellen as Bernake two and take as indication of continued easy-money policies, specifically, $85 B of bond purchases per month.
Fight For Detroit’s Assets: Round 1
- Negotiations between Detroit’s creditors and the bankrupt city’s emergency manager, Kevyn Orr soon begin.
- Detroit bankruptcy is largest municipal bankruptcy in history, $18 billion in outstanding debts.
- Biggest creditors-Assured Guaranty, MBIA, Financial Guaranty Insurance, Syncora Holdings.
- Secured bonds are less of a risk since the creditor is more likely to recover cash.
LPL Financial Tries a New Approach
- CEO Mark Cassidy has new “two hour” rule, he’ll respond to any email within 2 hrs.
- Tall order for CEO of 4th largest brokerage firm, based on advisors.
- $7.5 million fine levied by regulators in May2013 for sytematic failures in email system.
- Rolling out new technology platform that allows customers to view their balances on mobile devices, and has an enhanced trading platform including e-signature technology.
Setting Bank Limits. Time is right to set bank boundaries.
Up for debate is whether J.P. Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs Group, and Morgan Stanley should be allowed to continue to own, store, and transport commodities such as oil, copper, and aluminum.
Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999 allows banks to trade physical commodities. Storing and transporting is to be decided in the coming weeks.
Key concerncs are price manipulation and consumer protection.
Delayed offering is sold
- Genesse County, MI sold about $35 million in debt last month.
- Money will be used for improvements to water supply system.
- Keith Francis, county’s controller.
- Insurance from Build America Mutual was available for the debt.
Bionic Fed No Match for Bond Market
- 10 yr Treasurys’ yields are rising despite tame expectations in inflation.
U.K. Set to Begin Exit From Lloyds
U.K. govt announced it would sell a 6% stake in Lloyds Banking Group, marking start of returning its bailed out banks to private hands.
In 2008 and 2009, U.K. pumped Lb100 million into banking sector to take a 39% stake in Lloyds Banking group and 81% of Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC.
Instead of recapitalizing, the banks shed assets on the road to privatization.
U.K. doesn’t plan to sell RBS shares since they are still below the 5 pound buy in price.
UK Chancellor of the Exchequer - George Osbourne
Technical Glitch Halts Options Trading in U.S.
An outage at **Options Price Reporting Authority, OPRA, ** an electronic pipeline delivering options trades and quotes to brokers and investors, lead to a 10 min halt in all options trading contracts.
Technology behind OPRA is managed by the Securities Industry Automation Corp, owned by NYSE Euronext.
Heard on the Street: What’s the market yelling about?
Stocks rallied as announcements of Summers removal.
J.P. Morgan Whale Hunt Isn’t Over
The $800 million fine J.P. Morgan will pay for London Whale fiasco isn’t the end.
Commodity Futures Trading Commission investigating J.P. Morgan manipulated the price of the CDX.NA.IG.9, the ninth series of an index tied to investment-grade North American corporate bonds.
CFTC is expected to claim that J.P. Morgan’s $82 billion position in the index effectively manipulated prices by increasing demand for IG.9.
London Whale - Bruno Iksil
U.K. earns a small profit on Lloyds Stock Sale
- U.K. earned a Lb60 million profit on Lloyd Stock Sale
- Antonio Horta-Osorio, CEO of Lloyds Banking Group, and Portugal native attributed his success in part to shifting Lloyd’s balance sheet away from risky, short-term funding sources.
- Horta Osorio was previously at Banco Santander before jumping.
- Checked himself into a rehab clinic, Priory, after being unable to sleep 5 nights.
Prices Keep Locks on Myanmar
- Real estate prices are new hurdle to international corporations setting up in Yangon, Myanmar.
- Serviced apartments and condominiums are in short supply.
- This is preventing small luxury hotel chains such as Small Luxury Hotels of the World from investing in the fastest-growing tourism market in Southeast Asia.
- Yoma Strategic Holdings, singapore-listed investment firm with interests in real-estate, construction, and agriculture, is trading at 80 P/E.
Creditors Circling Energy Firm
- Biggest names in finance are clashing over their holdings in Texas utility Energy Future Holding’s (TXU), as the firm moves closer to a bankruptcy filing.
- In 2007, KKR, TPG, and Goldman’s PE arm bought TXU for $32b plus about $13 in assumed debt.
- They bet that rising natural gas prices would allow TXU to charge more for electricity but they fell and racked up $18b.
- Apollo Management and a group of senior creditors are jockeying for payments owed by **Texas Competitive Electric, ** a subsidiary of TXU, ahead of Avenue’s unsecured bonds from Oncore, yet another subsidiary.
- Key to issue is how to calue each subsidiary of TXU and complex tax issues.
FedEx flies Under the Radar on Fed Day (Ahead of the Tape)
- Trade is a leading indicator of the global economy’s health, but the high-valued international air freight that makes up much of FedEx’s revenue is the leading tip of that indicator.
- FedEx is “bell-wether”
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While flying high 2000-2007, airfreight growth has slumped in the five years since.
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Markets Calm Before Fed Decision
- Despite widespread expectations of tapering, fund managers have been in a buying mood lately.
- Expect the FEd to cut it’s bond-buying program by $10-$15b.
- Gold had tumbled 22% this year
- Copper is down 11%.
- Last week Verizon Communications sold $49b in corporate bonds, the largest corp bond offering in history.
- Performance of S&P Sectors: Consumer Discretionary +27.5%, Financials +26.4%,
- Industrials +24%
China Adds U.S. Mortgages, Agency Bonds,
Latest Purchases Show Beijing Hasn’t Backed Off Funding of American Debt Even as it cuts back on Treasury Buying.
- In July, China increased its holdings of high-grade securities sold by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and securities backed by home mortgages guaranteed by the U.S. agencies, by $20.2b.
- Yet China reduced its holdings of Treasury notes and bonds.
- Reasons for agency bonds and agency mortgage-backed securities as alternative: highly rated bonds and offer higher yields than Treasurys.
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Analysts play down the potential sell off of bonds by the Chinese and the interest rate shock it would expose the government to.
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China’s Big Fish Reel in Small Fry
- Tencent Holding’s, Chin’s largest internet company, **will pay $448m for 36.5% of ** Sogou, a search engine whose majority shareholder is Sohu.com.
- Tencent dominates online games and operates the widely popular QQ and Wechat messaging services.
- **Baidu is the top Chinese search engine with 69% of search traffic. **
- Alibaba Group Holding, the e-commerce giant, recently formed an alliance with Sina, who owns Twitter like Weibo.
- This deal presents a headache for Qihoo 360 Technology, 15% of search, who was in talks to acquire Sohu.
Fed’s Suprise Powers Market Surge
- As Fed announced no tapering, markets rallied.
- Among the best performers, were utilities and housing stocks.
SEC Wants Boss-Employee Pay Gap on Display
- Securuities regulators proposed requiring that companies disclose the pay gap between top executives and their employees.
- A requirement of the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act, comparison of CEO vs median worker salary would be disclosed.
- Software giant Oracle Corp, is expected to be a target. CEO Larry Ellison earned $94.6 million in 2012. Most cme from seven million stock options, valued at $90.7m.
- Vanguard Group, largest instutional share-holder in **Oracle. **
- Blackrock third largest institutional shareholders.
ConAgra’s Hiccup Could SIgnal Indigestion (Ahead of the Tape)
- ConAgra, whose brands inlcude Chef Boyardee, Hunt’s, and Orville Redenbacher, said it’s recent dip in share price had nothing to do with it’s $6.8 billion purchase of Ralcorp Holdings in January.
- Although some analysts suspect it does, saying Ralcorp’s lack of brands makes it a less defensable purchase.
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Ralcorp spun off it’s main branded business Post Holdings in 2012, and it has outperformed COnAgra substantially.
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Ready to Jump Into The Housing Market? Read this First.
- Things are looking up in the housing market: the economy is recovering, unemployment is inching down, and the Fed is trying to keep interest rates low, creating a buyer’s markets.
- 5 things to keep in mind?
- This recovery leaves a lot to be desired: A lot of this recovery has come due to massive government and the Federal Reserve’s efforts to spur demand.
- The new boom is a rehash of the old one: Most of the growth being seen is in the same areas that swelled and burst in Bubble 1.0-Florida, Phoenix, Las Vegas, California’s Central Valley. In battle scarred Detroit, prices were up 30% from a year earlier, to just $13,355.
- Big Businesses are doing a lot of the buying: Sales volume and prices are being pushed up by institutional investors such as Blackrock’s Invitation Homes which has ammassed 30,000 homes in 2 years.
- investing in housing is nothing like buying a house: Most homebuyers make 0% profit when they sell after factoring in interest, maintenance, taxes, and improvements.
- Interest rates are on the rise
Mortgage Insurers Regain Luster
- Hedge Funds including Paulson & Co. have invested hundres of millions in the private mortgage-insurance business this year, joining big banks such as Goldman Sachs Group.
- Turnaround has fueled stock rallies in MGIC Investment Corp. and Radian Group Inc.
- Radian CEO S.A. Ibrahim.
- Federal Housing Agency has raised its cost on insurance, making the private sector more attractive.
- New regulations require larger capital requirements.
- NMI Holdings has launched as a new startup, it raised $510 m from investors including Hayman Capital Management.
Higher-Yielding Shares Are Seen As Benefiting Most From Status Quo
- Utility stocks and REITs, real-estate investment trusts, notched most gains as FEd announced continued bond-buying.
- Home builders and emerging market stocks gained as well. Weakened $
- Financials and health care stocks to be hurt, low-interest rates queeze banks income.
- REITs are popular since they must pay out 90% of their income to shareholders.
The Fed Has Commitment Issues
- Fed hold’s back on tapering, stocks and bond prices increased.
- Key point: How intertwined the Fed’s bond-purchase program and its committment to short-term (overnight) interest rates are in investors minds.
- Fed said it will keep overnight rate near 0% until unemployment reaches 6.5%.
Shopping for Buy Signals At Inditex
- Spain’s Inditex, parent of Zara, has been a favorite for fashion investors.
- Trades 25 P/E
- Continues to achieve solid growth, stands to benefit form online sales (Zara’s first online store opened in 2010), and there is belief they can build that presence.
- Inditex’s brand strength helps maintain pricing, doesn’t have to discount as much as troubled H&M Hennes & Mauritz.
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Manager Scores Macro Touchdowns
Robert Citrone is an emerging-markets specialist, founder of hedge-fund Discovery Capital Management, which manages more than $12 billion, is up about 15% this year.
**Average annual return of 17% since its 1999 inception. **
Considered a “macro” manager - one who makes speculative bets on economic trends in emerging markets and elsewhere.
Low profile on social media, and prefers to listen than dominate conversation.
Formerly worked at Tiger Management under Julian Robertson.
Bought a minority share in the Pittsburgh Steelers in 2012.
Investors Shouldn’t Drool Over Darden
**Darden Restaurants Inc, ** which owns popular chains Red Lobster, Olive Garden, and Longhorn Steakhouse and others, is trading at 16.1 P/E, higher than its competitors DineEquity and Brinker International though lower than Cheesecake Factory.
Darden’s stock historically has done poorly on earnings day - when they disclose their quarterly performance to the public.
On average, it’s stock has shed 1.2% on all earnings days combined.
J.P. Morgan Faces a Hard-Line SEC
- J.P. Morgan Chase has agreed to pay $920 m to settle with SEC ($200m), Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) ($300m) , the Federal Reserve ($200m), and the U.K’s Financial Conduct Authority ($222m) over the london ‘whale’ trading blunder.
- Will alos pay $80m for deceptive marketing practices related to identity-theft protection for credit-card customers.
- SEC continues a civil probe into individual employees of J.P. Morgan who may have been negligent in not fulfilling their duties.
- Rare move: J.P. Morgan admitted wrongdoing in settlement.
J.P. Morgan Settles Consumer Cases
- JPMC settled charges that it made errors in hundreds of thousands of debt-collection lawsuits and leading more than 2m credit-card customers to buy services they didn’t want.
- Refunded $309m to 2.1m credit-card customers and will pay $80m in fines.
- Settlement requires that JPMC must notify consumers that their dect is being sold to a third party and verify the information is accurate.
French Banks Rethink Partnership
- Societe Generale SA and Credit Agricole are exploring ways to end thier partnership in brokerage-firm New-edge and asset-management firm Amundi, as they refocus their business on core activities.
- CA would trade 50% stake in Newedge for 15% stake in Amundi.
- Newedge was formed in 2008 from SG’s Fimat unit and CA’s Calyon Financial and ranks as the 3rd largest futures brokerage in U.S.
- Amundi was set up in 2010 as the two pooled resources to gain a foothold in lucrative global-asset management business. CA owns 75% while SG has 25% stake.
- Asset management more attractive than brokerage. Amundi’s 2012 Net Profit - $658.1m compared to Newedge’s $14m.
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Surprise reverts to Unease:
Investors Step Back As Unease Settles In
- A day after stocks surged to new highs on the Fed’s decision to continue stimulus, some investors were having second thoughts.
- Slow earnings growth have stocks in the S&P500 trading at 14.6 P/E, greater than 12.6 in 2012.
- In two weeks since Sept 4, Inflows into ETF’s, often used by faster-moving investors, have outpaced mutual fund inflows. A sign that investors aren’t ready to go long on the market just yet.
Taper Delay Stimulates Debt
Emerging Market Countries, Other Issuers Feast as Central Bank Keeps Program
- Fed’s decision put Sept on pace to be most active month for emerging market debt issuance since May.
- Bond prices, hit hard in recent months from tapering fears, rallied Wednesday when the news broke.
- The threat of rising interest rates, which decreases the prices of outstanding bonds, is gone for now.
- Armenia, former Soviet State, issued $750m, 7yr bond at a yield of 6.25%–it’s first dollar bond.
- Some other issuers include **Colombia, ** Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Economico e Social, Borets
- Nissan MOtor, Reinsurance Group of America and Svenska Handelsbanken
Tech Glitch Sinks Goldman’s Treasury Order
- A computer glitch at the New York Fed, which conducts auctions for the Treasury, blocked Goldman Sachs order for 3-month T-bills and automatically allocated them for more 6-month T-bills.
- This raises investor anxieties over losing money due to balky computers.
- This caused Goldman to get more than $8.75b of the $25b sold of 6month T-bills exceeding the 35% limit that any one bidder can buy in a single aucition. (Yields in 3month were higher, and 6month were lower than expected.)
- Money-market mutual funds, banks, and corporate treasurers are major buyers of Treasur bills.
- Treasury Automated Auction Processing System (TAPPS).
“LEH Rocks On”
Alumni of Failed Firm Soak in the Blues
- Five years after Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy and the financial crisis began, 450 alumni gathered at BB King Blues Club & Grill near Times Square for a reunion.
Air France Is In Search Of Thrust
- The French Arm of Air France-KLM will report operating losses for 6th year straight.
- Problems include fat wage bill, jet fuel up 12%, increased capacity.
- Potential Solutions: It’s cargo business has too much capacity, remove a jet out of service to reduce costs.
- Short and medium haul operations in Europe…cut out some legacy Air France routes and replace with low-cost carrier Transavia.
Chocolate Prices Soar in Dark Turn
Shifting Consumer Tastes Are Cutting Into Already Short Supplies as Dry Weather Hurts Harvest
- Chocolate prices are expected to hit a record $12.25 per kg. this year.
- The $5.4b cocoa-futures market is experiencing a feeding frenzy fueled by demand for dark chocolate, which requires more cocoa beans to produce and is healthier than milk chocolate.
- Other causes: shortage of cocoa supplies due to dry weather expected in West Africa, where 70% of cocoa beans are produced.
- Switzerland - per-capita choc cons. among world’s highest.
- Barry Callebaut AG can legally advertise that comsumption of its products help maintain healthy blood circulation.
Home Builders Need Stronger Foundation
- Home building stocks KB Home and Lennar lept after the Fed confirmed no tapering plans.
- Lower int rates, rising home prices, and compelling demographics.
- Though these seem to have been priced in before the announcement, not a single home builder has outperformed the broad market this year.
- Two losers so far: Pulte and Hovnanian.
- An investment vehichle some choose to gain sector exposure is the SPDR Homebuilders Exchange Traded Fund. (outperformed all large home-builder stocks).
Investors Look Past Fed’s Reprieve
- Investors realized that the Fed still plans to reduce its stimulus, perhaps startring late next month.
- The concern is that markets could become unsettled since investors are uncertain what to expect from the Fed.
- 3 Events loom before the Fed’s next policy meeting scheduled for Oct 29 and 30.
- September job-creation numbers are due Oct. 4
- Looming fight between Congress and the president over the federal debt limit.
- Stock prices may have gotten ahead of themselves after all this Fed stimulus.
ICAP Nears Rate Probe Settlement
- ICAP is expected to pay less than $100m to resolve a civil probe into the brokerage firm’s alleged involvement in int-rate manipulation.
- Barclays, UBS, and RBS have agreed to pay a total of about $2.5b in settlements since last summer.
- ICAP settled with CFTC and UK’s FCA.
- ICAP, a london-based interdealer brokerage, acts as a go-between for banks loking to buy or sell products that generally aren’t heavily traded on public exchanges.
- UK authorities in June Charged former UBS and Citigroup trader Tom Hayes with 8 counts of conspiring to defraud by manipulating rates.