M&A Flashcards
In an all-stock transaction, a company with a lower P/E is buying a company with a higher P/E. What is the effect of this transaction? What happens if you use debt/cash to make part of the above transaction? Why?
The point of this question is to get you to say whether the acquisition is accretive or dilutive.
Generally, companies do not want dilutive acquisitions since they destroy shareholder value.
The combined company’s ratio will have a higher P/E than the acquirer originally did (but lower than the seller, obviously). However, since more shares will have to be issued by the lower P/E company (than would have been needed if the acquirer had a higher P/E ratio), the combined company will have a lower EPS (dilutive acquisition). Typically, the company with the higher growth rate and growth potential commands a higher P/E . The opposite is true for companies with lower P/E ratios. If you throw in debt/cash, fewer shares will be needed for the acquisition, thus the transaction will be less dilutive, and potentially accretive.
What is the role of an associate process in a sell-side M&A? (Especially important at Goldman)
1) Bake-Off
2) Preparation
Associates = reviewing financial statements, projections, underlying assumptions, other areas of risk, build sensitivity models, and identify key issues and discrepancies
3) Identifying the Buyer Universe
Associates = helping find potential buyers within a space, marketing materials (teaser, information memorandum, decks for management presentations)
4) Launch
Associates = Data room prep & management
5) Diligence
Associates = manning diligence meetings and calls, identifying areas of information gaps, working with the company to address all buyer questions. Usually the junior bankers are the first line of defense when detailed diligence lists come in so as not to overwhelm the client
6) Bids
Associates = analyzing as they come in, especially if not apples-to-apples comparison (deal funding composition)
7) Evaluation & Signing
8) Closing
What is the associate’s role in the process of a buy-side M&A?
1) M&A strategy = complements corporate strategy quantitatively and qualitatively
2) Target Screening
Associates = identify acquisition candidates based on specific criteria to achieve strategy
3) Due Diligence
Associates = valuation, operational synergies, value creation
4) Integration Pre-close
Associates = anticipate integration risks, pre-deal rationale
5) Close
If an M&A deal is EPS dilutive is that always a bad thing, and if it isn’t how can you qualitatively and quantitatively explain it?
If the deal has strategic value, it can potentially lead to a sufficient increase in EPS in later years.
Quantitatively you can say a deal will allow for cost and revenue synergies that will long-term increase in Net Income which will in turn increase EPS.
Share Price: $100 EPS: $8 what is the P/E?
P/E = price per share / earnings per share
P/E = 100 / 8 = 12.5
What are the 5 basic acquisition effects?
1) Foregone Interest on Cash = loses the interest if it had kept the cash it used for acquisition. Reduces Pre-Tax Income, Net Income, EPS
2) Additional Interest on Debt = pays additional interest expense for debt used in acquisition. Reduces Pre-Tax Income, Net Income, EPS.
3) Additional Shares Outstanding = buyer paying with stock increases outstanding share count, reduces EPS.
4) Combined Financial Statements = seller’s financial statements are added to buyer’s.
5) Creation of Goodwill & Other Intangible Assets = represent the premium buyer paid over seller’s Shareholder’s Equity, required to ensure BS balances
What is the shortcut for determining Accretion/Dilution for all deals via costs? What are the problems with this shortcut?
BUYER
* CostCash = (Foregone Interest on Cash)(1-Buyer Tax Rate)
* CostDebt = (Interest on New Debt)(1-Buyer Tax Rate)
* CostStock = E/P = (Net Income) / (Equity Value)
SELLER
* Seller’s Yield = E/P at purchase price
SHORTCUT
Buyer Cost = weighted average of transaction components
Buyer Cost > Seller Yield DILUTIVE
Buyer Cost < Seller Yield
ACCRETIVE
PROBLEMS
1) assumes buyer/seller have same tax rates
2) doesn’t account for other acquisition effects = synergies, D&A
3) doesn’t account for premium paid for the seller UNLESS the Seller’s Yield is calculated at Purchase Price
4) no transaction fees/synergies
Beyond the 5 basic acquisition effects, what are more advanced acquisition effects?
6) PP&E and Fixed Asset Write-Ups = writing up under the assumption that market values exceed book values
7) Deferred Tax Liabilities - normally you write off seller’s existing DTL and create new ones based on (Buyer’s Tax Rate)(PP&E/Fixed Asset Write-Ups + Newly Created Intangibles)
8) Deferred Tax Assets - usually write seller’s DTA off completely, depending on tax situation
9) Transaction & Financing Fees = expense legal & advisory fees (deduct from Cash/RE at time of transaction) & capitalize financing fees
10) Inter-Company Accounts Receivable & Accounts Payable - eliminate this if they companies owed each other money before the merger
11) Deferred Revenue write down - you can only recognize the profit portion, and need to write down the expense portion
Most M&A deals fail. Why is that?
Possible reasons
1) Buyer Overpays for Seller = enormous Goodwill & Other Intangible Assets created, and then massive write-downs when buyer re-asses what seller is really worth
2) Poor Rationale = original reason the acquisition made sense no longer holds up
3) Synergy Failures = buyer acquired seller to access customer base, only to find customer doesn’t want products
4) Integration Difficulties = integrating separate employee bases, supply chains, retail networks
5) Cultural Differences = issues with employees working together successfully
Why would a company want to acquire another company?
For a good ROI (return on investment) either literally or higher EPS, which appeals to shareholders.
Reasons
1) gain market share
2) grow more quickly
3) seller is undervalued
4) seller’s customers
5) critical technology/IP
6) synergies
One company might want to buy another company if it believes it will be better off after the acquisition takes place. For example:
* The Seller’s asking price is less than its Implied Value, i.e., the Present Value of its future cash flows.
* The expected IRR from the acquisition exceeds the Buyer’s Discount Rate.
Buyers often acquire Sellers to save money via consolidation and economies of scale, to expand geographically or gain market share, to acquire new customers or distribution channels, and to expand their products and services.
Synergies, or the potential to combine and reduce expenses through departmental consolidation or to boost revenue through additional sales, also explain many deals.
Deals may also be motivated by competition, office politics, and ego.
Walk me through a basic merger model
A merger model is used to analyze the financial profiles of 2 companies, the purchase price, how the purchase is made = determine if buyer EPS increases or decreases afterward.
1) make assumptions about M&A = price, components cash/debt/stock
2) determine valuations & shares outstanding of buyer/seller & project IS for each
3) combine both IS - add line items like Revenue/OpEx, adjust Foregone Interest on Cash, Interest on Debt on Pre-tax Income. Add potential revenue synergies to combined revenue, subtract cost & expense synergies from COGS and operating expenses. Apply Buyer’s tax rate to get Combined Net Income, then divide by buyer’s shares outstanding for new EPS.
4) option = goodwill, combining BS, but better to start simple.
What’s the difference between a merger and acquisition?
The relative sizes of the buyer and seller.
If the buyer and seller are approximately the same size = Merger
If buyer > seller by revenue or market cap (2-3x) = Acquisition
100% stock transactions more common in mergers bc similarly sized companies rarely have enough cash to buy each other, and can’t usually raise enough debt either.
Why would an acquisition be dilutive?
If the additional Net Income the seller contributes is not enough to offset the buyer’s foregone interest on cash, additional interest expense, effect of issuing shares, or acquisition effects like amortization of Other Intangible Assets.
The buyer’s P/E multiple is 8x, seller’s P/E multiple is 10x. The buyer’s interest rate on cash is 4%, interest rate on debt is 8%. The buyer is paying for the seller with 20% cash, 20% debt, and 60% stock. The buyer’s tax rate is 40%.
Buyer
CostCash = (0.04)(1-0.4)
= (0.04)(0.6) = 0.024
CostDebt = (0.08)(0.6) = 0.048
CostStock = 1/8 = 0.125
Weighted Buyer Cost = 0.2(0.024) + 0.2(0.048) + (0.6)0.125
= 8.9%
Seller
Yield = 1/10 = 0.1
Accretive
A company with a higher P/E acquires a company with a lower P/E. Is this deal accretive or dilutive?
Trick question.
You can’t know unless you know it’s an all stock deal. If it’s an all cash or debt deal, the P/E multiple doesn’t matter because no stock is being issued.
If it is an all-stock deal, then the deal will be accretive since the buyer “gets” more earnings for each $1 used to acquire a company than it does from its own operations. The opposite applies if buyer’s P/E < seller’s P/E
Example:
P/E = Equity Value / Net Income
Buyer P/E = 10x
Seller P/E = 8x
Buyer = for each $1 you pay in value, earnings increases by $0.1 (1/10)
Seller = for each $1 you pay in value, earnings increases by $0.125 (1/8)
Why do we focus so much on accretion/dilution? Are there cases where it’s not relevant?
EPS is important bc institutional investors value it and base many decisions on EPS and P/E multiples.
A merger model has many purchases besides just calculating EPS accretion / dilution
1) calculate the IRR of an acquisition if you assume that the acquired company is resold in the future, or generates cash flows indefinitely
2) see changes in the combined financial statements
How do you determine Purchase Price for the target company in an acquisition?
You use the same Valuation methodologies = Comparable Companies, Precedent Transactions, DCF.
If the seller is a public company, you pay more attention to the premium paid over the current share price to make sure it’s “sufficient” (generally in the 15-30% range) to win shareholder approval.
For private sellers, more weight is placed on the traditional methodologies.
All else being equal, which method would a company prefer to use when acquiring another company - cash, stock, or debt?
Cash
1) Cost
- cheaper than debt (foregone interest on cash = under 5%, debt almost always higher additional expense)
- cheaper than stock (most companies P/E range is 10-20x, 5-10% cost of stock)
2) Risk
- cash < risk than debt = no change buyer might fail to raise sufficient funds, or default
- cash < risk than stock = buyer’s share price could change dramatically after deal announced
Are there cases where cash is actually more expensive than stock?
With debt this is impossible = why would a bank pay more on cash deposited than debt it’s issued? Goes against the primary moneymaking.
With stock almost impossible = if the buyer has extremely high P/E multiple (100x), the reciprocal might create a Cost of Stock < Cost of Cash. Extremely rare.
If a company were capable of paying 100% in cash for another company, why would it choose NOT to do so?
1) saving cash for something else
2) concerned about running low on cash if things take a turn
3) stock might be trading at a high and they want to take advantage of lower Cost of Stock
How much debt should a company issue in a merger or acquisition?
Comparable Companies and Precedent Transactions to determine this. Use the combined company’s EBITDA figure, find median Debt/EBITDA ratio of companies or deals, and apply that to company’s own EBITDA figure to get a rough idea of how much debt to raise.
Could also look at “Debt Comps” for similar, recent deals and see what types of debt and how many tranches they have used.
When would a company be MOST likely to issue stock to acquire another company?
1) Buyer’s stock is trading at an all time high = cheaper cost of stock
2) seller is close in size to buyer, it’s impossible to raise enough cash to acquire the seller otherwise
Let’s say a buyer doesn’t have enough cash available to acquire the seller. How could it decide between raising debt, issuing stock, or some combo of those?
No simple rule.
Key factors
1) relative cost of debt and stock = interest rate vs E/P
2) Existing Debt = high current debt balance, can’t raise more debt
3) shareholder dilution = shareholders don’t like dilution, companies try to minimize this
4) expansion plans = if the buyer expands, begins huge R&D effort, or buys factory in the future, it’s less likely to use cash and/or debt and more likely to issue stock so it has available funds
Let’s say that Company A buys Company B using 100% debt. Company B has a P/E multiple of 10x and Company A has a P/E multiple of 15x. What interest rate on the debt will make the deal accretive?
Buyer
Cost of debt = interest rate(1-buyer tax rate)
Seller
Yield = E/P = 1/10 = 0.1
after tax Cost of Debt < 0.1 will make the deal accretive
0.1 = x(0.8)
x = 12.5%
Any interest rate on Debt less than 12.5% is accretive, anything above is dilutive
Part 1) Company A has a P/E of 10x, which is higher than P/E of Company B. The interest rate on debt is 5%. If Company A acquires Company B and they both have 40% tax rates, should Company A use debt or stock for the most accretion?
PART 1
Buyer = A
CostDebt = 0.05(1-0.4)
= 0.05(0.6) = 0.03
CostStock = 1/10 = 0.1
Seller = B
Lower P/E = 8x example
Yield = 1/8 = 0.125
Both deals will be accretive, but the Debt 100% deal will be more accretive because its cost is lower than the cost of Stock.
Company A
- TEV 100
- Market Cap 80
- EBITDA 10
- Net Income 4
- Debt 60
- Cash 40
Company B
- TEV 40
- Market Cap 40
- EBITDA 8
- Net Income 2
- Cash 30
- Debt 30
Part 1) What are the TEV/EBITDA multiples for each?
Part 2) Company A decides to acquire Company B using 100% cash. What are the combined EBITDA and P/E multiples?
Part 3) Company A instead uses 100% debt, at 10% interest rate and 25% tax rate, to acquire Company B. What are the combined multiples?
TBD need this explained
PART 1
Company A
TEV / EBITDA = 100/10 = 10x
Company B
TEV / EBITDA = 40/8 = 5x
Combined Multiples
- Add Market Caps
- Adjust for Cash, Debt, Stock used
PART 2
Combined EqValue / Market Cap = 80 + 40 = 120
CoA Debt > Cash
CoB Debt = Cash
Adjustments
CoA Debt remains 60
CoA Cash gone, used to acquire CoB
CoB Cash/Debt cancel each other
Combined TEV = 120 + 60
You add EBITDA and Net Income from both companies to get the combined figures. This is not 100% accurate bc Interest Income changes for Company A since it’s using cash, but it’s small enough to ignore here:
Combined TEV / EBITDA = 180 / (10 + 8) = 10x
Combined P / E = 120 / (2 + 4) = 20x
PART 3
Combined EqVal = 120 (same, you add Market Caps)
Combined TEV = 180, same as before
Combined EBITDA = 18 same as before
TEV / EBITDA = 10x same as before
But combined Net Income changes. Company A raises 40 in debt at 10% interest. Net Income = 40*0.1(1-0.25) = 4(0.75) = 3
Combined P/E = 120 / 3 = 40x
What happens to valuation multiples (P/E, TEV/EBITDA) depending on M&A activity or purchase method?
1) the combined P/E multiple may be different depending on the purchase method (cash/stock/debt)
2) the EV/EBITDA multiple is not affected bc EBITDA excludes net interest expense. Regardless of cash/stock/debt TEV is always the same.
Why would a strategic acquirer typically be willing to pay more for a company than a private equity firm would?
Because the strategic acquire can realize cost/revenue synergies that a PE firm cannot unless it combines the company with a complementary portfolio company. Those synergies make it easier for the strategic acquirer to pay a higher price and still realize a solid return on investment.
What are the effects of an acquisition?
1) Foregone Interest on Cash - buyer loses the interest it would have otherwise earned on its cash it uses for the acquisition
2) Additional Interest on Debt - buyer pays additional interest expense when using debt
3) Additional Shares Outstanding - using stock creates more outstanding shares
4) Combined Financial Statements
5) Creation of Goodwill & Other Intangibles - represent the premium paid to a seller’s SE
Why do Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets get created in an acquisition?
These represent the amount the buyer paid OVER the book value of the seller’s Shareholder’s Equity.
Equity Purchase Price - Seller’s Shareholder’s Equity = Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets
What’s the difference between Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets?
Goodwill = same for many years, not amortized.
Other Intangible Assets = identifiable line items that are amortized