Lecture 4 Flashcards

1
Q

what are the two ways to derive costing

A

top down costing

ground up costing

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2
Q

what is top down costing

A
  • budget set by people who negotiate with the clients

budgets may be too optimistic no buy in from project team

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3
Q

what is ground up costing

A

budget set by people who actually do the work
can lead to inflated budgts and renegotiation with senior management
risk of missing work packages

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4
Q

what are the major cost elements in making a project

  • direct
  • indirect
A
direct costs
1. Salaries and wages
2. materials and machinery
3. third party services (consultants)
4. travel accomadation 
indirect costs
1. overhead costs for general managment, office space, training
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5
Q

describe the cost estimation technique; parametric estimation

A

for as buts and painting by numbers

  1. determine major cost factors from previous project, lines of code in software, hours of contact,
  2. use regression model to estimate costs of current project based on previous projects
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6
Q

describe the cost estimation technique: forecasting

A

forecast cost factors - units
for first timers and as buts
and per cost units cost in WP
aggregate costs over all work packages in WBS

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7
Q

what are the methods for cost/benefit analysis

A

payback analysis - whenj does the project amortizew itself
discounted cash flows - considre the time value of money
internal rate of return - puts payoffs in relation to investment

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8
Q

what is the payback period

A

the amount of time that is required for the project to pay itself off until revenues break even with costs

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9
Q

what are the advantages of payback analyssi

A

criterion easy to understand and widespread use

future payments are subject to higher uncertaininty

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10
Q

what are the shortcomings of payback analysis

A

costs/benefits beyond payback period are ignored
long term benefits for the company, decommisioning costs at end of lifetime
time value of money
only useful for comparing different projects

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11
Q

what is a discounted cash flow

A

A discounted cash flow (DCF) is a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of an investment opportunity

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12
Q

what is a cash flow

A

any money movement into or out of the company

  • revenues generated by the project
  • costs incurred by the projecty
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13
Q

what is the present value of a project

A

Sum of all present values of all project related cash flows

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14
Q

what is the explcit expression for the PV of a project

A

PV = CF0 + CF1 ⇥ (1 + i)-1 + CF2 x (1+i)-2 + …

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15
Q

what is the PV criterion

A

project is only viable if its present value is positive]

choose projects with highest present values

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16
Q

what are the advantages of PV ?

A

allows evaluation of single project and comparison of projects

17
Q

what are the shortcomings PV

A

unclear which interest rate to use
interest rate may change over time difficult to forecast
does not reveal anything about rate of return

18
Q

what is the internal rate of return?

A

interest rate that makes present value = 0

19
Q

what is the IRR criterion?

A

Internal rate of return
project is only viable if IRR exceeds cost of capital
choose projects with highest IRR

20
Q

What are the advantages of IRR

A

allows evaluation of the single project and comparison of projects
accounts for the time value of money as well as rate of return

21
Q

what are the shortcomings of IRR

A

unclear how to choose cost of capital
IRR may not be unique for given cash flow stream
implict assumption that money can be reinvested in IRR

22
Q

in what ways is financial appraisal only one side of the coin

A

strategic benefits - orgs change, future products
non profit orgs - disaster relief projects
ethical or enviro concerns - eg labour reduction

23
Q

what are the challenges of financial analysis

A
  1. financial appraisal only one aspect
  2. cash flow may be difficult to estimate
  3. optimsm bias in buisness cases
  4. pos/neg interactions with other projects (synergies, cannibilizing)