Lecture 4 Flashcards
Anchoring-and-Adjustment
“people make estimates by starting from an initial value that is adjusted to yield the final answer” (Tversky & Kahneman 1974)
Tversky & Kahneman (1974)
Do people use anchoring and adjustment to make quick estimations?
People use anchoring and adjustment to quick estimations
Anchoring Effect (Quantitative)
High anchors lead to higher numerical estimates than low anchors
Tversky & Kahneman (1974)
Do people rely on randomly generated numbers to make quick estimations?
People use generated anchors to make estimates
Comparative Judgement
Determine whether an anchor has a higher or lower value than the actual answer
Absolute Judgement
Provide an estimate of the actual answer
Strack and Mussweiler (1977)
Do plausibility of anchors influence estimates:?
- there is an anchoring effect
- people use both implausible and plausible anchors to make estimates
Strack and Mussweiler (1977)
Do people engage in the adjustment process when anchors are presented?
People do not adjust from anchors
Epley & Gilovich (2001)
Do people engage in the adjustment process when they make estimations based on self-generated anchors?
When making estimations, people adjust from self-generated anchors but not for externally provided anchors.
Anchoring Effect (Qualitative)
People make use of the immediate piece of information they encounter as a reference to make decisions