Lecture 3 Flashcards
Intertemporal Choice?
costs & benefits of
a decision are separated across time.
Self-control problems? (2)
Temptation (fun now, pay later)
Procrastination (pain is now, gain comes later)
Temptation as defined by behavioral economics?
consumer preferences are inconsistent across time and context.
(avoid dessert tonight -> I want dessert -> I regret eating dessert)
Brain area associated with system 1? With system 2?
limbic system v parietal cortex/Prefrontal cortex
Delay discounting?
how large a premium an individual will place on enjoyment nearer in time over delaying gratification
(less enjoyment of eating the marshmallow if we are forced to wait)
Classic Exponential discounting model
as rate increases?
δ(t) = (1/(1+r)^t)
δ - discount factor
r - discount rate
t - time interval
As r increases, d(t) decreases
Classic Discounting model caveats
1) Rate changes based on form of consumption
2) rate isn’t stationary
3) People do not apply the same discount rate to all periods in the
future
4) Present bias
Present bias - definition?
mmediately available rewards
have a disproportionate impact on preferences relative to
more delayed rewards
Hyperbolic discount rates - qualitative explanation?
system 1
applies much higher discount rates to time periods in the immediate
future, while system 2 applies lower rates to periods further away.
Hyperbolic discount rates - formula?
Beta values?
When B<1?
U(t) = 𝛽*δ(t)
0 to 1.0
𝛽 < 1,then the person gives less weight to all future time
periods relative to the present
effect of scarcity on temporal events?
people become much more
present-focused.
Ways to overcome present bias?
- Implementation prompts
- Temptation bundling
- Reducing empathy gaps between present self &
future self (VR?) - Nudges and default options
- Commitment devices
who are suitable candidates for nudges (default options)?
who are suitable candidates for pre-commitment devices?
people are unaware of their tendency to procrastinate or fall prey to temptation.
those who are self-aware of their tendency to procrastinate/become tempted
Examples of pre-commitment for smoking cessation?
- Set a quit date.
- Get rid of smoking paraphernalia.
- Announce your intention to family/friends
Pre-commitments for FUTURE behaviors?
- Forestalling temptation (anabuse)
- Deposit contracts (pay a deposit that you get back if you do something good - like go to the dentist)
3) Locking in your future self to a maximum usage amount (ex tobacco purchase license)