Lecture 12 - RCT Critical Appraisal Flashcards

1
Q

What are some advantages of RCTs?

A
  • Rigorous evaluation of single variable (drug treatment vs placebo/active comparator) in a precisely defined patient population
  • Prospective design - data collected on pre-specified outcomes after researcher decides to do study
  • Limits bias by theoretically comparing two identical groups (if they are randomized, the two groups should be similar)
  • Results lend themselves to meta-analysis (i.e. combining numerical results of several similar trials)
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2
Q

What are some disadvantages of RCTs?

A
  • Expensive
  • Time consuming
  • Money source dictates research agenda
  • Surrogate end-points used to limit cost and time required for study
  • Failure of randomization and/or binding
  • Unethical to randomize
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3
Q

What do we need to consider when asking if we can believe the results?

A

1) Blinding
- Patients, clinicians, assessors

2) Outcomes
- Soft and hard outcomes
- Surrogate outcomes
- Composite outcomes
- Primary and secondary outcomes
- Intention to treat
- Follow-up

3) Assessing Randomization

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4
Q

What is on the RCT Checklist for Are the results valid?

A

1) Was the study original?
2) What was the study about?
3) Was the study design reasonable?
4) Were patients randomized?
5) Were patients in treatment and control groups similar with respect to known prognostic factors?
6) Was randomization concealed?
7) Were patients analyzed in the groups to which they were randomized?
8) Was follow up complete?

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5
Q

Describe

1) Was the study original?

A
  • Is the study bigger, longer or otherwise more substantial?
  • Is the population studied in a different way (age, gender, ethnic groups)?
  • Is the clinical issue addressed of sufficient importance and relevance?
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6
Q

Describe

2) What is the study about?

A
  • Patients more or less sick than patients you see in your practise?
  • Do they represent a different ethnic group or lifestyle than the patients you see?
  • Is the care they receive similar to the care they might receive in your setting?
  • Did they have “real life” comorbidities?
  • Are they of similar age and gender to patients you might care for in your practise?
  • Inclusion criteria
  • Exclusion criteria
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7
Q

Describe

3) Was the study design reasonable?

A
  • Was the intervention appropriate?
  • Was the comparator appropriate?
  • How was the outcome measured?
    • soft vs hard outcome
    • surrogate outcomes
    • composite outcomes
    • primary vs secondary outcomes
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8
Q

Compare soft vs hard outcomes

A
  • Hard outcome is death (easy to tell if someone is dead or not)
  • Soft outcome is something that is more subjective (ex. pain)
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9
Q

Describe

4) Were patients randomized?

A
  • Observational studies - larger treatment effects
  • Limitation to our understanding of prognostic effects
  • Selection bias - treatment assignment

Power of randomization:

  • Balance of known and unknown factors
  • Does it always achieve equal prognostic groups?
  • Large versus small sample size
  • Compromises to randomization
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10
Q

Describe

5) Was randomization concealed?

A
  • Appendectomy - open versus laproscopic
  • Chemotherapy
  • Pharmacy preparation of blinded medication
  • Unacceptable randomization - sequential allocation, clinic visits by day

Types of randomization:

  • Simple randomization
  • Randomized permuted blocks
  • Stratified randomization

Remote randomization - call to remote randomization centre

Were patients aware of group allocation?

  • placebo effect
  • color, taste, consistency
  • unblinding the blind
  • if there is a recognizable SE, need to find a way around it

Where clinicians aware of group allocation?

  • Double blinding
  • Difference in post-randomization care
  • Ethics: CHF ACEi and BB ???
  • Effective blinding eliminate possibility of potential care bias

Were outcome assessors aware of group allocation?

  • Triple binding (patient, caregiver, and the people who are analyzing the results of trial are blinded)
  • Soft vs hard outcomes (if my outcome is hard, then i’m not as concerned with blinding)
  • Maybe only blinding possible
  • Blinded adjudication committee
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11
Q

Describe

6) Were patients analyzed in the groups to which they randomized?

A

-Omit results from patients who do not take their assigned treatment?
-Related to prognosis - non-compliance
-Intention to treat analysis:
1-Treatment outcomes - analyze our results using the intention to treat outcomes or something
2-Safety outcomes - don’t do ITT on safety outcomes, we analyze safety outcome where we don’t include people that didn’t use the drug or used a smaller amount

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12
Q

Describe

7) Were patients in the treatment and control groups similar with respect to known prognostic factors

A
  • Check if randomization has done its job
  • With randomization, we are trying to achieve two groups that look the same. We will check Table 1 or an RCT, there will be a descriptive analysis of the 2 groups and you can look at the factors that would be important for the disease study and see if there is a difference between the 2 groups.
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13
Q

Do we need to look for statistically significant differences between RCTs?

A

NO - the % that it’s due to chance is 100% because we randomized it that way

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14
Q

Is the P value useful in the context of RCTs?

A

Nope

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15
Q

Describe

8) Was follow up complete?

A
  • Status of all patients
  • > lost to follow > compromise to study validity
  • how much is too much?
  • 20% threshold ?

WTF

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16
Q

Results:

What do we look at for how LARGE was the treatment effect ?

A
  • Odds ratio (OR)
  • Relative risk (RR)
  • Relative risk reduction (RRR)
  • Absolute risk reduction (ARR)
  • Number needed to treat (NNT)
  • Number needed to harm (NNH)
17
Q

Results:

What do we look at for how PRECISE was the estimate of the treatment effect?

A

Confident interval (CI)

18
Q

ITT

A

intention to treat

19
Q

What is NNT?

A

Number needed to treat:

  • The number of patients who would have to receive the treatment for 1 of them to benefit
  • Calculated as 100 divided by the ARR expressed as a percentage (or 1/by the ARR expressed as a proportion)
20
Q

What is NNH?

A

Number needed to harm:

  • The number of patients who would have to receive the treatment for 1 of them to experience an adverse effect
  • Calculated as 100/ARI expressed as a percentage (or 1 divided by ARI expressed as a proportion)
21
Q

CI:

If it crosses 0 ?

A

Accept null Ho and say that the results are not statistically significant

22
Q

What are 4 things that affect N ?

A

d = effect size (difference between control and treatment)
*the smaller the effect size, the more ppl we need

variance (more variable it is, the more ppl we need)

Z (1-alpha)

Z (1-beta)

23
Q

Under-powered

A

Over estimated the effect size and put less ppl in than what we need

24
Q

Over-powered

A

Under estimated the effect size and put more ppl in than what we need

25
Q

What is a Type 1 (alpha) error ?

A

Occurs when the null hypothesis is rejected, when in fact, it is true; the probability of committing a Type 1 error is usually set at 5%

*this one is worse

26
Q

What is a Type 2 (beta) error ?

A

Occurs when the null hypothesis is not rejected, when in fact, it is false; the probability of committing a Type 2 error is set maximally at a20%