Lecture 11 Value Distortion Flashcards
Framing Effects (value distortion)
the conceptualization of outcomes influence the outcome preferred
eg. lots of negative examples forces the selection of the few positive
choosing the least worse
Conceptualized gain
probabilities are moderate or high
tendency for risk aversion in terms of potential gains
inflation of expected value gaines
Conceptualized loss
probabilities are moderate/high
tendency for risk seeking relative to potential losses
deflation of expected value of losses
Conceptualized to-be-chosen
2 options and asked to choose
focus of positive features
inflation of payoffs to be chosen
conceptualized to-be-rejected
2 options with the choice to reject
focus on negatives
deflation of payoffs of outcomes to be rejected
Changes
we deflate the pay offs of changes to the status quo
inflate payoffs of keeping status quo
change
losses of what is there
not gains of what is to come
Certain
Certainty (probability of 1)
over Expected Value
Psychological Accounting
deflate payoffs of easy-to-come-by outcomes
inflate difficult-to-achieve ones
Magic Numbers
when numbers take on a value of their own or distort the real payoff
Sunk Costs
sticking to a decision because of already incurred losses
does not reflect the real payoff of changing your mind