Lecture 1 Flashcards
sensitivity
- the extent to which the test is accurate for those who have the disease in question
- the proportion of people with the disease who have a positive test for the disease
- when deciding whether to use the test or not
- avoiding false negative errors
- TP/(TP+FN)
specificity
- the extent to which the test is accurate for those who do not have the disease in question
- the proportion of people without the disease who have a negative test.
- when deciding where to use the test or not
- avoiding false positive errors
- TN/(TN+FP)
positive predictive value
- the extent to which a patient’s positive test indicates the presence of disease
- TP/(TP+FP)
negative predictive value
- the extent to which a patient’s negative test indicates absence of disease
- TN/(TN+FN)
when should a sensitive test be used?
- should be chosen when there is an important penalty for missing a disease
- Sensitive tests are also helpful during the early stages of a diagnostic workup, when several diagnoses are being considered, to reduce the number of possibilities.
when should a specific test be used?
- are useful to confirm (or “rule in”) a diagnosis that has been suggested by other data.
- particularly needed when false-positive results can harm the patient physically, emotionally, or financially
cutoff point
- the point on the continuum between normal and abnormal
receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve
- Another way to express the relationship between sensitivity and specificity for a given test is to construct a curve
- constructed by plotting the true-positive rate (sensitivity) against the false-positive rate (1 — specificity) over a range of cutoff values.
- shows how severe the trade-off between sensitivity and specificity is for a test and can be used to help decide where the best cutoff point should be
tests that discriminate well on ROC curve
- crowd toward the upper left corner of the ROC curve
tests that perform less well on ROC curve
- have curves that fall closer to the diagonal running from lower left to upper right.
best cutoff point on ROC curve
- the best cutoff point is at or near the “shoulder” of the ROC curve, unless there are clinical reasons for minimizing either false negatives or false positives
the overall accuracy of a test on ROC curve
- can be described as the area under the ROC curve; the larger the area, the better the test
most common way to circumvent test between sensitivity and specificity.
The most common way is to use the results of several tests together, as discussed later in this chapter.
predictive value
- the probability of disease given the results of the test
accuracy
- summarizes the overall value of the test
prevalence
- prior probability
- the probability of disease before the test result is known.
the more sensitive a test is
- The more sensitive a test is the better will be its negative predictive value
the more specific a test is
- more specific the test is, the better will be its positive predictive value
diagnostic tests are most helpful when
- diagnostic tests are most helpful when the presence of disease is neither very likely nor very unlikely.
physicians can increase the yield of diagnostic tests how
physicians can increase the yield of diagnostic tests by applying them to demographic groups known to be at higher risk for a disease.