Lecture 1

Question 1

What are the facts regarding peak oil

Answer 1

Oil reserves last until 2057
Consume oil faster than we discover new ones
After peak oil there will be an ever dwindling gap between demand and supply
U.K. Energy research centre peak oil before 2030 seems likely if not 2020

Question 2

What are the facts about climate change

Answer 2

2% of warming will decrease crop yield by 20%
Lead to extinction of 40 species
Millions face significant flooding risk

Question 3

What are the facts about peak water?

Answer 3

UN- by 2050 1.8 billion face water scarcity
2 thirds face restricted supply
97% of earths water unfit for agriculture
Potential human catastrophes loom

Question 4

What are the facts about food shortages

Answer 4

Average harvests are falling
Use of pesticides will be constrained heading to peak oil
Not enough land to grow meat
Land may be needed for non food agriculture

Question 5

What are the stats associated to expanding population

Answer 5

9 billion expected by 2050
Less people can live on earth
Do we need an attractor to find another planet

Question 6

What are the 3 impacts of technology studied in this module

Answer 6

Organisational offerings
Organisational operations
Customer and worker are expectations

Question 7

What are the 4 macro trends

Answer 7

Convergence
Technological determinism
Singularity
Repeating cycles of techno economic revolution

Question 8

Convergence- what is it?

Answer 8

The act degree or point of converging

Question 9

What is the new industrial convergence

Answer 9

Based of negropontes rings in the 80’s it considers how manufacturing medicine and media will converge over the next few years from the technologies studied in this module

Question 10

What is technological determinism

Answer 10

The view that technology through its existence changes the world

Question 11

What does Kevin Kelly argue?

Answer 11

Technology builds on technology- each is a continuation of the last
Technology and life have a commonality

Question 12

What is the technium

Answer 12

Name for the world of technology we live in. A greater global massively interconnected system of technology vibrating around us- self reinforcing system of creation

Question 13

What does Perez 2002 say about RCOTER

Answer 13

Technological revolutions arrive with remarkable regularity and economies react in a predictable fashion

Those early pioneers who make initial investments often struggle but leave behind a great foundation

Question 14

Give some examples of TER

Answer 14

Industrial revolution 1771

Steam and railways 1829

Question 15

What are the phases of TER

Answer 15

Installation- fights off old products
Frenzy- financial capital drives build up. Turning point at a recession and changes are made to facilitate development
Deployment- full flourishing
Maturity

Question 16

What does ray kurzwell say about the singularity

Answer 16

A time when the impossible becomes possible

May occur when humans rise with technology

Do we need to embrace it before earth overshoot day

Question 17

What does Frey 2011 say

Answer 17

Future is dark- all trying to get a torch to see

Build a lighthouse that acts as an attractor

Question 18

What is maximum Freud?

Answer 18

A period of extreme chaos yet extreme opportunity

Question 19

What does the Paris agreement say

Answer 19

Must limit climate change. Must cut emissions by 70% by 2050
What are companies Paris strategies
Is it an attractor?

Question 20

How many tonnes of resources are we predicted to use by 2050

Answer 20

140 billion tonnes

Question 21

What are the implications of trump pulling out of the Paris agreement

Answer 21

US contributes 15% to global emissions but is also a source of significant finance and technology in fighting climate change- attractor now forgone?

Question 22

Is energy information administration

Answer 22

29% of us energy was used for the transportation of people and goods

Question 23

What does Stephen hawking state

Answer 23

The development of full AI could spark the end of the human race. It would take off on its own and redesign at an ever increasing rate

Question 24

What does EROI mean

Answer 24

Energy return on investment

Heading to a world of lower eroi values where energy is more costly to create