Land Cover Change Flashcards

1
Q

What is the FAO global forest resource assessment and what did they find about net forest change between 1990 - 2020 - including in diff regions?

A

Compilation of national forest data every 5 or 10 years
- 178 million ha reduction - 13 times the size of england
- Reduction of global forest cover of 4.3%
- Rate of net forest lost appears to be slowing
- Net forest gain in Asia and Europe
- Net forest loss in South America and Africa

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2
Q

What is the net change in forest area?

A

The sum of forest expansion and deforestation

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3
Q

What are the different ways to monitor forest change?

A
  • Forest Resources Assessment (FRA) - countries submit own data through diff methods: forest inventories, satellite monitoring or extrapolation based on past data - varies in reporting/measuring/definitions by country
  • Satellite: consistent across countries
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4
Q

What did Hansen et al., 2010 do and what did they find about forest change?

A
  • MODIS - (coarse resolution) - not capable of seeing fine changes in tree cover
  • Couldn’t use Landsat - as you needed to pay
  • Found 3% gross. forest loss between 2000-2005
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5
Q

What may drive the differences in satellite sensing and national forest inventories?

A

Different definitions of forests:
- Canopy cover - FAO: <10% tree canopy cover and area > 0.5 ha
- Forest type: FAO count tree plantations (including rubber and oil palm) as forest - but other studies may not include this as a forest

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5
Q

What was the first study that was able to use Landsat for global forest loss?

A

Hansen et al., 2013
- Landsat - 30m resolution (higher resolution) - can see fine changes in forest

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6
Q

What are some examples of land cover change having been imprinted seen by satellites?

A
  • Fishbone pattern - due to building of roads and then parallel roads - e.g., amazon
  • Checkerboard pattern - policy decision - USA - gave every other square of land to rail companies to build rail
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7
Q

What did satellite data tell us about deforestation in Amazon, Congo and SE Asia - Rosa et al., 2016

A

Satellites provide annual data on deforestation
- Rapid deforestation of Amazon started in 1970s and in SE Asia in 1990s
- Congo basin experienced lower rates of deforestation until the 2000s

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8
Q

What high level reasons can be the cause of tropical deforestation?

A
  • Underlying causes: e.g., national level policy factors / global economic
  • Proximate causes - things happening on the ground - e.g., infrastructure extension / agricultural expansion
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9
Q

How do different drivers of deforestation leave different patterns of deforestation on the ground?

A
  • Commodity driven - straight lines - ordered/structured
  • Shifting agriculture - small holders/more sporadic/informal way
  • Fire - very different signal
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10
Q

What are the main drivers of forest loss?

A
  • Commodity-driven - 27%
  • Shifting agriculture - 24%
  • Forestry - 26%
  • Wildfire - 23%
  • Urbanization - ? minor factor

Percentages from Curtis et al., 2018
- Shows us that agriculture is dominant cause of forest loss globally - both commodity + shift agricultire

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11
Q

What commodity of agriculture is the biggest driver of deforestation?

A

Goldman et al., 2020 - Globally
- Cattle cause more deforestation than all other commodities combined

Tyukavina et al., 2018 - in Amazon
- Expansion of pasture for cattle is the largest single cause of deforestation in the Amazon

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12
Q

What are some of the different methods for stopping deforestation?

A
  • Protected areas
  • Zero deforestation commitments
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13
Q

How do protected areas work and how effective are they?

A
  • E.g., national parks etc - protect biodiversity/habitats etc
  • 12.5% of Earth’s land surface covered by protected areas - Europe has lowest amount of protected areas

How effective?
- Effective - clear cut boundaries - no deforestation in protected areas - but not always easy to tell how effective these are
- Problem: protected areas are often put in places that arent of use to humans anyway - so would have lower deforestation rate anyway
- So need to have a more nuanced look - compare rate of deforestation within protected area vs rate of deforestation directly outside - to see how effective protected area is - Spracklen et al., 2015
- Need to understand whats causing these differences - e.g., protected areas are effective at preventing forest loss due to commodity-driven deforestation- as large companies are likely to abide by laws

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14
Q

Give an example of using zero deforestation commitments?

A

G4 agreement (Brazil) - biggest beef producing companies in Brazil - areas with bigger market share signing up to this agreement had a lower rate of deforestation - relatively effective…

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15
Q

Summarise the reasons for reduced deforestation in Brazil

A
  • Expansion of protected areas
  • Improved forest governance
  • Stricter enforcement
  • Better satellite monitoring
  • Global economic downturn with reduced demand for agricultural products
  • Zero deforestation commitments from multi-national companies
16
Q

Summarise the reasons for increased deforestation in Indonesia and what were some of the efforts to reduce deforestation?

A
  • Increased demand for wood fibre and oil palm
  • Legal deforestation in government designated oil palm and timber concessions

Reduce deforestation?
- National moratorium - prohibits new licences to clear primary foresta and peatland forests
- Zero deforestation commitments from multi-national companies

17
Q

What has caused the seasaw of deforestation in Brazil in recent years?

A

Links to national-level politics:
- Early 2000s - one leader
- 2019 - leader removed restrictions
- 2023 - same leader as before came back in and put policies back in place

18
Q

Why has forest loss be pushed into the mountains?

A

Due to restrictions in tropical land - forcing people into different areas - such as mountains

19
Q

How will different governance change Amazon deforestation by 2050?

A
  • Business as usual: will result in 40% of the Amazon deforestaed by 2050
  • Strong governance could mean the Amazon remains largely intact
20
Q

What is the forest transition model?

A
  • Initial decrease, then increase once low is met - replaced with new planted trees - e.g., in England
  • Looks good - but most of the increase in forest cover is plantations
21
Q

How much does deforestation contribute to carbon emissions?

A

Deforestation accounted for ~20% annual anthropogenic emissions in 1980 and 10-12% in 2015
- Van der Werf et al., 2009

22
Q

What are some of the different routes to stabilising climate at 1.5 degrees?

A
  • Combinations of fossil fuels, forests and bioenergy - carbon capture and storage
  • Change trees from sources to sinks for carbon