L14: Collusion Flashcards
explicit collusion
explicitly collude and agree on a price
tacit collusion
without speaking, increasingly enter a collusive agreement
why is the static cournot model incomplete?
tells us that collusion doesn’t exist because no one has incentive to agree since you are better off deviating
why do dynamics help sustain collusion?
threat of losing future collusive profits upon deviation preserves cooperation
large future gains make up for short-term gain
key to stability and collusion in a dynamic game
firms have to be sufficiently patient
activity must be monitored, at least partially
role of patience
key component of equilibrium depends on the discount period
if you’re patient, you value stability forever but if you’re impatient, you screw up future payoffs
what happens if the game has a finite horizon of T periods?
in the final period, firms will deviate
- this also happens in the second to last period
for every beta, deviation occurs
cooperation unravels and becomes unsustainable
- only sustained on games which go to infinity
difficulties for sustaining collusion: entry of new rivals
collusion easier when number of firms is lower
existence of rival firms erodes cartel profits
if entry > demand growth, future payoffs decrease
lower future payoffs harm stability of the collusive agreement
difficulties for sustaining collusion: the role of the business cycle
if demand is growing before a boom, easy to sustain collusion
- short term cooperation payoff increases due to the boom
but if demand is falling, hard to sustain collusion
- future profits are lower so deviating is the best thing to do to capture all profits
difficulties for sustaining collusion: imperfect monitoring
if you can’t observe what the other firm is doing, hard to punish them
in some markets, firms negotiate prices with consumers so hard to observe prices and harder to sustain collusion
japanese procurement auctions (Kuwai and Nakabyash, 2020)
government contracts based on first price auctions
- firm with lowest offer (cost) gets the contract
- secret reserve price where the bid has to be lower than the price to win
consistency where whoever wins the first round also wins the second round
- inconsistent with competition, suggests that they are colluding
- somehow the three bidders are agreeing on who wins which auctions and split it up