Investments Flashcards

1
Q

Accredited investors
(appendix)

A

FINANCIAL CRITERIA

Net worth over $1 million, excluding primary residence (individually or with spouse or partner), or,
Income over $200,000 (individually) or $300,000 (with spouse or partner) in each of the prior two years, and reasonably expects the same for the current year.

PROFESSIONAL CRITERIA

Investment professionals in good standing holding the general securities representative license (Series 7), the investment adviser representative license (Series 65), or the private securities offerings representative license (Series 82), or,
Directors, executive officers, or general partners (GP) of the company selling the securities (or of a GP of that company), or,
Any “family client” of a “family office” that qualifies as an accredited investor, or,
For investments in a private fund, “knowledgeable employees” of the fund.
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2
Q

Benchmarks

A

Large US stocks: S&P 500
Small US stocks: Russell 2000
All pub traded US: Wilshire 5000
Developed nonUS: MSCI EAFE
Emerging nonUS: MSCI EM
US Bonds: Barclays cap agg bong
Public traded REITS: DJ US Select REIT
Commodities: Deutsche bank liquid comm
Cash: 3 month Tbill
Lg US stocks & bonds: Vang Bal Index VBIAX

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3
Q

Bond prices Sensitivity to changes in rates

A

The longer the duration and the lower the coupon the more sensitive to changes in rates

The shorter the duration and the higher the coupon the less sensitive to changes in rates

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4
Q

Bond relationships

A

The smaller the bonds coupon,
the greater the relative price fluctuation
The lower the reinvestment rate risk

The lower the interest rate the greater the relative price fluctuation
The longer the term to maturity the greater the relative price fluctuation
Higher inflation = higher interest rates = lower bond values

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5
Q

Bond yields and pricing
Think about that seesaw!

A

Cy = annual income or interest /current mkt price

Ytm and ytc use TVM, compute I/y

When deciding to invest take ytw yield to worst the lower of ytc or ytm

Remember yield to call is at the end of the seesaw on the right

When the bond is trading at a discount yield to call is the highest figure
when the bond is trading at a premium yield to call is the lowest figure

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6
Q

Bonds: discount and premium

A

Remember if the current yield is more than the coupon it is a discount Bond
That is it would be trading for less than par now since the coupon is less than what you can currently get in the market

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7
Q

Mean and std deviation: Calculate
(And beta and r if two data sets )

A

2nd 7 (Data)
Enter data set
If only 1 set hit down arrow two times
If two sets can enter both

When done 2nd8 (stat)
Down arrows
N is number in set
X mean (simple average)
Sx is std deviation

Further down is beta and r when entering a 2nd data set

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8
Q

CAPM

A

A model to price an individual security or portfolio
An investors expected or required rate of return

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9
Q

CAPM components

A

Risk-free rate plus the stock risk premium equals capm

Market risk premium
Market rate minus risk free rate

Stock mkt premium is
market risk premium times beta

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10
Q

Options: Collar

A

“zero cost” collar
Bullish
Protective put + short the call

Long the stock, long the put, short the call

$ from selling the call goes towards paying for the put

So I own the stock, buy/own a put and I sell a call

This is probably done because the investor has concentrated their position and the financial planner thinks it’s risky so they do this since since the client won’t diversify more

It’s not really zero cost cuz puts are generally more expensive than calls. So I’m paying more for the put then I’m generating from selling the call but premiums earned on selling call does help offset it

They also say a collar strategy is writing out of the money calls and buying out of the money puts

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11
Q

Stocks. Correlation. R

A

Used to compare two stocks or a stock and the market therefore it can give you a stock’s return relative to the market

I can calculate DATA function

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12
Q

Options. Covered call
Know it

A

Long the stock, short the call

Generate income for the portfolio

I own the stock and with my call I have an obligation to sell but I don’t think the price is going up in near term
I’m bearish in near term but bullish in long term that’s why I’m keeping my stock.

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13
Q

Bonds: Current yield on a bond

A

Annual income divided by market price

Also remember the seesaw and if price is at or below par and order of yields. Can often get right without calculating. Plus use as a sanity check after calculating!

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14
Q

Bonds: Dividend calc

A

If they simply ask to calculate the dividend at the end of the year. Take the current dividends divided by the shares times 1 plus the growth rate.

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15
Q

Bonds. Duration
Calculate change in bond price based on duration

A

CFP provided formula
Y in denominator is ytm

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16
Q

Bonds. Duration relationships

A

Higher coupon =lower duration= lower interest rate risk
As interest rate decreases, duration increases.
As interest rates increase duration decreases.
Generally speaking, for every 1 percentage-point change in interest rates, a bond will rise or fall in the opposite direction by an amount equal to its duration number

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17
Q

Bonds. Duration shortcut

A

Don’t choose the answer closest to the number of years to maturity select one down from the closest . Example from Zahn below

if the years to maturity are 5 and the answers are
5 4.6 4.17 and 3.18
…select 4.6

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18
Q

Dwrr/IRR

A

Affected by timing and size of cash flows
CF wksht
CF, 2nd clr work
Watch signs!
Cf0 = initial outflow
Cf1 etc
Then down arrow
IRR CPT
Investments negative
Dividends, selling price positive
Sometimes two CF in that same last year. Enter net.
Map it out on paper first

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19
Q

Economic Indicators: coincident
(Appendix)

A

Coincident indicators tend to change at the same time as the economy:

Employees on non-agricultural payrolls
Personal income less transfer payments
Industrial production
Manufacturing and trade sales
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20
Q

Economic indicators: Leading
(Appendix)

A

Leading indicators tend to rise and fall in advance of the economy:

Average weekly hours of production workers (manufacturing)
Initial claims for unemployment insurance
Manufacturers’ new orders
Percentage of companies reporting slower deliveries
New orders of non-defense capital goods
New private housing starts
Yield curve
S&P 500
Money supply (M2) growth rate
Index of consumer expectation
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21
Q

Bonds. Effective rate on bonds

A

2nd 2
Arrows to scroll through
Enter nominal rate
Enter comp per /year
Hit CPT when on effective rate

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22
Q

Efficient Frontier

A

Return relative to Std deviation
Inefficient below curve
Impossible above curve

Risk averse have flatter curves
where you plot depends on risk tolerance

Steeper part at bottom is for the risk averse. They need more coaxing to get in. Approaching 100% bonds at bottom

Flattered at top is for the risk tolerant . Approaching 100% stocks

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23
Q

Bonds. Using duration to estimate change in price

A

For each percentage change in the market rate
Percent *years = approx change in price
Use negative for decreasing rates

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24
Q

Holding period return

A

Basically profit/cost
Includes Price appreciation and dividends in profit

Sometimes asks for just capital appreciation return or dividend return

Numerator
Price-cost+ div - margin interest

Denominator
Cost - $ committed on margin

So on margin your return will be higher bc your cost is lower

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25
Bonds. How does duration relate to yield to maturity
The duration of a zero coupon bond will be the years to maturity The duration of an income producing Bond will be less than the years to maturity A higher coupon will result in a lower duration Duration increases with maturity
26
Bonds. Intrinsic value of bond
Think of it as the present value!
27
Jensens alpha Relative or absolute?
Absolute Zero or postive is good At or above the SML Actual minus expected Where actual is Port return Expected is CAPM
28
Margin : fed minimums
Initial 50% maintenance 25%
29
Holding period calculation When bought on margin
(1-im)/(1-mm)*PS=margin call price Ps = purchase price of stock plus commissions per share
30
Bonds. Multistage dividend growth model
CFP formula sheet is step 2 only! Step 1. calculate the last dividend in the first series Then in step two D1 is that last dividend times 1 plus the new growth rate. Use it to calculate stock value in first year of new dividend V=D1/(r-g) Step 3 solve for npv using cash flow worksheet Cf0 equals 0 Cf1 equals D1 in step 1 Next are the other steps 1 dividends but on last one add the PV from step 2
31
Option premiums Pricing per lot or per share?
Multiply by the number of shares of stock premium * # puts or calls * 100
32
Option strategy : Straddles Capitalize on volatility or stability? And what do I do?
Straddle to capitalize on volatility either way BUY both put and call Long a put and a call on the same stock at the same exercise price at the same date Im paying a premium for this because I expect volatility I am buying the right to buy or the right to sell. I win either way. Except for premiums I paid!
33
Option strategy How to protect shorts in the stock
PS with a PC or CP Protect shorts in the stock with Protective call or covered put (Buy a call or sell a put) - protective call. Buy a call when short the stock. Like if I borrowed stock from my broker I want to have the right to buy the stock at a certain price so I can repay him. -covered put. Own the stock and sell a put. Trying to understand... So I own the stock... so when buyer of my put makes me buy his stock, I can sell the stock I already own...to get the $ to buy his stock?!
34
Options bullish Vs bearish
Buy a call if you think the price will go up. Bc you want to lock in price and sell at a gain when it rises So buying a call or selling a put is bearish Buying a put or selling a call is bearish If I think the price is going to go down I don't think the buyer of my call is going to exercise it and I just get to keep the premium
35
Options strategies other
Uncovered option positions are always written options, or in other words options where the initiating action is a sell order. This is also known as selling a naked option.
36
Options strategy How to generate money for a portfolio?
Sell a call to generate $ in portfolio
37
Options strategy: spreads To capitalize on volatility or stability? What do I do?
Spread is to benefit from STABILITY purchase and sell the same type for example buy a call and sell a call Mostly just remember that straddles are for volatility and spreads over stability
38
Options: Protective put Bullish or bearish? What do I do and why?
Bullish but want to protect myself in case price drops. Portfolio insurance! Long the stock, long the put I own the stock, I have the right to sell it The put contract is a floor in case the price drops but it is expensive to keep buying puts therefore I might do a ... collar
39
R2 Coefficient of determination Measure systematic risk
This percentage tells you the percent of the variation of stock x that can be explained by variability in market returns If it's less than .7 use Sharpe ratio If greater than .7 use treynor So we are using Treynor which uses the Beta when more of the variation can be explained by the market
40
R2 Coefficient of determination
Measure systematic risk 1-r2= unsystematic risk
41
Real rate of return
((1+Rp) / (1+Ri)- 1) *100 *100 to get into format for entering I/Y Or shortcut example. if 8 and 3. (8-3)/1.03
42
Margin. Schwab example
Remember the amount of DEBT you owe the broker. When price falls your equity goes down and you have to bring it up by paying cash or buying more securites..looks like exam has us usually buying securites. We need more value there to get up to the margin req Equity needed divided by 1-mm Vs margin call will be at initial price times (1-im/1-mm
43
Sharpe ratio When to use? Comparative or absolute? Beta or std dev
Use if r2 is less than .7 S is for std dev (Portfolio return - risk-free rate) / std dev of the portfolio Comparative only useful to compare the sharp ratio of other investments Risk free return is usually the 3-month t-bill
44
Std deviation and normal dist curve
1 68% 2 95% 3 99% Draw it out
45
Options. Stock option premiums Intrinsic from perspective of buyer
Intrinsic Instrinsc is NEVER below zero Call COME Market - exercise Put POEM When exercise>market A CALL is "In the money" when exercise is below market. I can buy at less than market
46
Options. Stock options:Buyer
Buyer =holder= the long RIGHT to Purchase. CALL Sell. PUT Premium is the buyers max loss And the sellers Max gain
47
Options. Stock options: Sellers
Seller=writer=short Seller is OBLIGATED Seller wants premiums Hopes they won't be exercised Max gain is the premium
48
Market. Systematic risk Diversifiable or not? Quantified by std dev, beta or neither? List types
Quantified by beta Not diversifiable PRIME Purchasing power reinvestment interest rate market exchange rate
49
Bonds. Tey taxable equivalent yield
Tax exempt yield / 1- marginal tax rate
50
Options. Time Premiums increase by...
Risk free rate Time to exercise Variability An increase in any of the above leads to a greater premium
51
Treynor When to use? standard deviation or beta? comparative or absolute?
When r2>.7 Risk adjusted return, a relative measure (Port return - risk free)/beta
52
TWRR (geometric mean)
Set p/y to 1 Use tvm where PV=-1 N=#peroids Fv is 1.x*1.x etc or 1-x if return was negative Cpt I/y Or. Do the fv part and raise to 1/n power and then subtract 1 ,(and multiply by 100 if need to input as I/y see formula sheet
53
Bonds. What does duration calculate and what is it used for?
Duration calculates, on a time value of money basis, the time to recoup your money on a bond investment It's the effective maturity Duration is used to calculate changes in bond prices based on hypothetical changes in rates Matching the duration of a fixed income portfolio to an investor's time horizon immunizes those assets. You should match duration NOT years to maturity! Duration is a linear estimate Convexivity is more precise
54
Options. When does an investor buy and sell options
An investor who expects LARGE price fluctuations would BUY a call or a put An investor who expects SMALL price fluctuations would SELL a call or a put. *Seeking premium income
55
Market. Yield Curve
Normal,positive,upward sloping Inverted,negative,downward slopomg (Convex) Short end VERY sensitive to fed policy Normal curves point to economic expansion or stable economic conditions. Downward sloping/inverted point to economic recession . Investors expect yields on longer maturity bonds to trend lower in the future. A steep normal curve implies strong economic growth with conditions often accompanied by higher inflation and higher interest rates
56
Market Structure
Money - ST Debt instruments Commercial paper is usually 9 months or less Capital - LT debt AND equity inst SEC 33 regulates PRIMARY CAPITAL mkts SEC 34 regulates 2ndARY
57
Investment risks
Total = std deviation Includes systematic and unsystematic Systematic is beta is prime UNsystematic can be eliminated through DIVERSIFYing the portfolio . Firm specific risk
58
Investment risk graph
Certain sectors carry higher systematic risks Financials Pharmaceuticals Energy Systemic is the amount up to the standard deviation of the market UNsystematic is the amount above
59
Risk return relationship low and high risk investments
Lower risk Cash and money market securities Treasury securities Investment grade bonds Higher risk Common and preferred stock Junk bonds Options futures and forwards Small cap and growth oriented funds Remember cfp always says large cap are less risky than small
60
Factors that influence an investors capacity for risk
Time horizon Liquidity needs Total investable assets if I have some cushion I'm willing to take more risk
61
Skewness
Skewness refers to the extent to which a distribution is not symmetrical Positively skewed have many outliers in the upper or right tail Stock markets are positively skewed Negatively skewed have outliers in the lower or left tail Upper and lower don't make sense to me but just know the outliers are on the skewed part of the curve
62
Kurtosis
-Mesokurtic normal -Leptokutic slender. Tbills.. predictable -Playtykurtic broad. Smcapstocks
63
Fundamental analysis vs Technical analysis
Fundamental. WHAT to buy. look @ underlying company's business & conditions in Industry & Economy Technical. WHEN to buy. Share price, mkt mvmnts, prices/volumes/patterns. used in review of ST trading.
64
Efficient market theory
Stock market is efficient and therefore all stocks reflect all relevant information and are priced in equilibrium Investors who accept this in strong form would only be passive See chart..know
65
Random walk theory
The theory that the movement of stocks are utterly unpredictable lacking any pattern that can be exploited by an investor
66
Efficient frontier
Standard deviation is the risk measure All points on the curve are equally efficient Points below are inefficient Points above are impossible The rescavers are at the bottom the state park. The risk tolerant are the top work flattens out
67
Risk adjusted measurements Sharp Treynor and Jensen's
68
Sharp vs Treynor
Uses standard deviation and measures the performance of the portfolio Treynor uses Beta and measures the performance of the portfolio manager Use when planning a portion of your portfolio of specific sections
69
Wash sales
When a taxpayer realizes a loss on the sale of a security and acquires a substantially identical security within a 61 day. Looks 30 days back and 30 days forward Substantially identical is broadly defined Bonds is hard to violate the rule unless you buy the exact Bond or Bond fund Stocks. These may be substantially identical Convertible Bond to same stock Purchase a call for same stock The unallowed loss is added to the basis of new securities purchased. So you would be able to use it when your new securities are sold as long as you don't violate the rules again
70
Rates of return Nominal Effective Real
Nominal is the actual rate the coupon rate Effective builds in compounding On my TI use the 2nd2 (iconv) for data Enter the coupon rate Enter the compounding periods per year usually two Hit CPT when on effective Real rate counts for inflation 1 + portfolio divided by 1 + inflation - 1 * 100 Watch it will be negative if inflation is more than portfolio rate
71
Duration relationships
Higher coupon equals lower duration equals lower interest rate risk As interest rates decrease duration increases As interest rates increase duration decreases Makes sense remember it's all about the time it takes to recover your investment
72
Beta,standard deviation, and r2
S in S. Std dev for Sharp T in beTa. Beta in Treynor S comes before T. Less than .7 is Sharpe and higher is Treynor
73
When do I buy or sell puts and calls
Expect large price fluctuation up Buy a call, sell a put Expect a large price fluctuation down buy a put, sell a call Bullish is buying a call and selling a put.
74
Duration strategy
LONGER durations in a HIGH interest rate environment allows the investor to participate more fully in price APPRECIATION as rates DROP Conversely in a LOW interest rate environment , LOW durations allow an investor to participate LESS fully in price DEPRECIATION as rates INCREASE
75
Counterparty risk Options Futures Forwards
Options. OCC Options clearing corporation guarantees performance of both parties and eliminates counterparty risk Futures are standardized and carry no counterparty risk Forwards are not standardized and they do carry counterparty risk
76
Stock option premiums Price components
1. Intrinsic value Market vs exercise Can't be below zero 2. Time premium -risk-free rate -Time to expiration -Variability (std deviation) The greater any of these three the greater the premium Time premium is greatest at creation of contract approaches zero at expiration
77
Which has unlimited risk Naked call writing Naked put writing
Naked call writing I have obligation to sell stock I don't own. I have to buy at market price. Could go up and definitely Versus naked put I have an obligation to buy at x price. It's known what I have to pay. It's limited to my number of options times the known exercise price
78
Put call chart Memorize including straddle and spread
79
Futures
Someone who is long needs a short hedge (sell futures) Someone who is short needs a long hedge (buy futures) A farmer is long he owns corn he needs to sell it . Sell futures vs sell in local mkt at time of harvest Builder needs lumber he is short he needs to buy it. Buy futures
80
Forwards
No intermediary There's counter party risk
81
Premiums Whose max loss? Whose max gain ?
Premium is the buyers max loss And the sellers Max gain Remember generally the sellers are just in it to make money on these premiums and hope they aren't exercised. They're just generating some income on their portfolio.
82
Three most important option strategies
Covered call Protective put Collar Cc. Own stock, sell a call. To generate income on the portfolio You are keeping the stock, you are bearish in the short term so you sell a call which you don't think will be exercised You're only covered if you have enough shares to cover all of your contracts Protective put The essence of portfolio insurance! Put is insurance against the price drop Own the stock, buy a put to have option to sell if the price happens to go down Long the stock, long a put Then add a collar. sell a call to help pay for the cost of the put
83
Risks of corporate bonds
DRIP Default risk Reinvestment risk Interest rate risk Purchasing power risk T-Bonds. RIP bc no default risk
84
CMOs
Collateral mortgage obligation Ztranche is lowest ranked specific structure No coupon Longest duration No cash flow until the more senior tranches are retired or paid off
85
Go bonds versus revenue bonds
General obligation Back solely by the credit and taxing power of the issuing jurisdiction Revenue bonds back by collateral and the basis of income generated from funded projects Revenue bonds are generally riskier and default more. However when go bonds to default the downside is worse
86
Asset class overview Appendix
Also see asset allocation card 90 review the chart that I built in Excel from the appendix on what percentage is you should have in your portfolio at various risk tolerances and years to retirement
87
TIPS Wealth protection or wealth building ? Difference bw traditional bonds
Treasury inflation protected securities Interest is not fixed It can go up and down based on CPI changes Historically under perform stocks in the long run Generally a wealth PROTECTION tool rather than a wealth building tool No default risk, no inflation risk But still has interest rate risk (mkt rates affect price)
88
I bonds
Maximum purchase per year is $10,000 per person 20,000 for a couple Have to wait 5 years to redeem without penalty Option to defer tax until the bond is cashed in or matures Matures in 30 years Cannot be cashed in during their first 12 months From one year to 5 years redemption is a loss of 3 months of interest
89
Lagging economic indicators
Average duration of unemployment Ratio of trade inventories to sales Change in index of labor cost per unit of output Average prime rate Commercial and industrial loans outstanding Ratio of consumer installment credit outstanding to personal income Change in CPI
90
Asset allocation
See appendix
91
Duration
Picture the graph With linear duration vs convexity Y is price of bond X is YTM
92
Yield curve
Steep curve suggested growing economy and possibly higher inflation to come Flat shows little difference in yields from short to long term indicates uncertainty Inverted signals trouble ahead short-term bonds are paying a lot better than long term.