Interpreting Model Results Flashcards
Used to quantify a complete risk profile for a portfolio or for an individual risk. They provide the probability of experiencing certain levels of financial loss which you then use in determining what amount of risk to keep and how much to cede away
EP curves or return period losses
To asses the impact of large loss scenarios on your portfolio
Even level losses
Used for ratemaking to determine the cat load by ZIP Code or for planning studies to help you determine the best areas to expand from a cat point of view
Average annual loss
Can help in devising underwriting guidelines or for pricing purposes
Location level loss
Exceedance probability
Rank divided by number of simulated years
EP curve can be
Occurrence
Aggregate
Average losses between two exceedance probabilities
WinVaR
Take all losses above a certain exceedance probability and set them to the same exceedance probability
CentVaR
Average event losses between 1.1% and 0.9% EP instead of 1% EP
Risk managed layer RML