International Asset Pricing Flashcards
What are integrated worked markets
Capital can flow freely across borders
Law of one price applies
Allows investors to seek most efficient portfolio
Market efficiency: what happens if investors can’t short sell risk free asset?
Market portfolio may not be efficient
Changing portfolio beta may not appropriately adjust desired portfolio risk
Investors construct portfolios differently - risk averse will heavily diversify
Expect markets to be integrated because these participants move capital between markets:
Institutional investors
Multinational corporations
Governments
If markets segmented, these impediments restrict international flow:
Psychological barriers Legal restrictions Transaction costs Discriminatory taxation Political risks Foreign currency risk
Calculate real exchange rate
Real spot = nom spot*FC price level
—————-
DC price level
Use to calc at two points in time; if same, all nominal changes completely explained by inflation
% change in real exchange spot
= % change in nominal spot - (DC inflation - FC inflation)
Foreign currency risk premium
FCRP = E(S1) - S0 - (rD-rF)
———–
S0
S0 quoted foreign:domestic
If interest rate parity holds, calc foreign currency risk premium (FCRP)
FCRP = E(S1) - F
———-
S0
Domestic currency return (compared to foreign bond)
Two ways
DC return = rFC + FC appreciation
DC return = rDC + FCRP
International CAPM
E(R) = Rf + B*world market risk premium + sum (sensitivity of domestic to foreign * foreign currency risk premium)
Currency exposure to itself = 1; thus domestic currency sensitivity of an asset Y is:
Y = Y(local currency sensitivity) + 1
Traditional model of equity exposure:
Domestic currency deprecation causes ___________ which causes ________ which results in ______
Increased long run economic activity
Higher equity prices
Negative long run domestic currency exposure
Money demand model of equity exposure: increased long run economic activity results in ______ and _______ which leads to ______
Domestic currency to appreciate
Higher equity prices
Positive domestic currency exposure