Active Portfolio Management Flashcards
What is Treynor-Black model
Portfolio optimization framework combining modern portfolio theory and market inefficiency
Active portfolio management is justified both
Economically (as less actively managed funds deviate from fair value, investors allocate to active mgmt)
Empirically (portfolio managers w/abnormally high returns)
Treynor -Black steps
- Develop capital market expectations for passively managed portfolio
- Identify mispriced securities (big alphas)
- Determine weightings, form actively managed portfolio
- Weight active/passive portfolios
- Allocate funds to portfolio and risk free asset
Calc stock alphas (Treynor black model)
Ai = stock i forecast return - (Rf+Bi(E(Rm - Rf)))
How to determine weights for securities in actively managed portfolios
Size of weight is:
- positively related to alpha
- negatively related to unsystematic risk
Total of weights add to 1
Calculate alpha for portfolio a
Aa = forecast return for a - (Rf - (B*E(Rm - Rf)))
Or Aa = w1A1 + w2A2
How to adjust for analyst accuracy
- Collect time series alpha forecasts for analyst
- Calc correlation between forecast and realized alphas
- Square correlation (R^2)
- Adjust; forecast*R^2