int't parity conditions 2 (lecture #12) Flashcards
the fisher effect
states that nominal interest rates in each country are equal to the
required real rate of return plus compensation for expected inflation
the idea that real interest rates should be equal around the world assumes what?
Assumes frictionless capital mobility
the international fisher effect (fisher-open)
states that the spot exchange rate should change in an amount equal to but in the opposite direction of the difference in interest rates between
countries
the international fisher effeft predicts that with unrestricted capital flows…
an investor should be indifferent between investing in dollar or
yen bonds, since investors worldwide would see the same opportunity and compete it away
what is the impact of the fisher effect?
any difference in nominal rates will be approximately equal to the difference in expected inflation
–ie any time you see a difference in relative interest rates it is due to expected inflation rates
If the foreign exchange markets are thought to be “efficient” then the forward rate should be a/an _________ of the future spot rate
unbiased predictor
what happens if forward exchange rates and relative interest rates don’t match?
there is an arbitrage opportunity