Indian Geog Flashcards
<p>Monsoon (from mindmap): defn?</p>
<ul><li>monsoon are seasonal winds which reverse their direction of flow with the change of season</li><li>CS Ramage (1971) suggested the following four features of monsoon winds:<ul><li>prevailing wind direction should shift by at least 120o betn Jan and July</li><li>Avg frequency of prevailing wind directions in Jan and JUly should exceed 40%</li><li>Mean resultant wind velocity in at least one of the months should exceed 3m/s</li><li>There should be fewer than one cyclone-anticyclone alternation every two yrs, in either month, over a five degree latitude/longitude grid</li></ul></li><li>On the basis of aboive criteria, he demarcated the area of monsoon region as a rectangle roughly extending from 35o N to 25o S and 30o W to 173o E</li></ul>
<p>Monsoon (from mindmap):Mechanism: classical theory?</p>
<p>explained in 1686 by Sir Edmund Hailey</p>
<ul><li>resulting from thermal contrasts betn continents and oceans due to their differential heating</li><li>his ideas are basically the same as those involved in land and sea breeze except being seasonal instead of being diurnal</li><li>Diagram</li><li>crticism:<ul><li>do not develop equally everywhere</li><li>fails to explain various intricacies of the monsoon</li></ul></li></ul>
<p>Monsoon (from mindmap):Mechanism:Modern Theories: enumerate them?</p>
<ol><li>Flohn's Air Mass Theory</li><li>Jet Stream Theory<ol><li>MT Yin and Pedelaborde</li><li>P Koteshwaram</li></ol></li><li>Flohn's explanation using summer and winter wind conditions over south Asia</li></ol>
<p>Monsoon (from mindmap):Mechanism:Modern Theories: Flohn's Air Mass theory?</p>
<ol><li>ITCZ is created near the equator where SE and NE trade winds meet. This area is the region of ascending air, maximum clouds and heavy rainfall</li><li>shifting N and S in Summer and winter (NITCZ and SITCZ)</li><li>trade winds cross the equator and are deflected due to coriolis force</li><li>Front where SW monsoon meet the NE trade winds is known as monsoon front</li><li>In July, ITCZ shifts over to Indi-Gangetic plain. ITCZ in this position is called the Monsoon trough</li><li>Diagram</li></ol>
<p>Monsoon (from mindmap):Mechanism:Modern Theories: Jet STream Theory: westerly jet stream?</p>
<p>Jet stream is a band of fast moving air frm west to east, usually found in middle latitudes, in the upper troposphere at a height of abt 12 km</p>
<p>Wind speeds in a westerly jet stream are commonly 150-300 kmph.</p>
<p>Main contributors:</p>
<ol><li>MT Yin and Pedelaborde</li><li>Flohn</li><li>Stephenson</li></ol>
<p>Explanation</p>
<p>WESTERLY JET STREAM</p>
<p>Winter.</p>
<ul><li>This is the season of outblowing surface winds but aloft the westerly airflow dominates.</li><li>The upper westerlies are split into two distinct currents by the topographical obstacle of the Tibet Plateau, one flowing to the north and the other to the south of the plateau. The two branches reunite off the east coast of China (Fig. 5.7).</li><li>The <strong>southern branch over northern India corresponds with a strong latitudinal thermal gradient</strong> which, along with other factors, is <strong>responsible for the development of southerly jet</strong>. The southern branch is stronger.</li><li>Air subsiding beneath this upper westerly current gives dry outblowing northerly winds from the subtropical anticyclone over northwestern India and Pakistan.</li><li><strong>Winter rainfall or western disturbances</strong>: The upper jet is responsible for steering of the western depressions from the Mediterranean Sea. Some of the depressions continue eastwards. redeveloping in the zone of jet stream confluence about 30 N, 105 E beyond the area of subsidence in the immediate lee of Tibet.</li><li>Diag5.7</li></ul>
<p>Summer.</p>
<ul><li>With the beginning of summer in the month of March, the upper westerlies start their northward march, but whereas the northerly jet strengthens and begins to extend across central China and into Japan, the southerly branch remains positioned south of Tibet, although weakening in intensity. The weather over northern India becomes hot, dry and squally due to larger incoming solar radiation.</li><li>By the end of May the southern jet begins to break and later it is diverted to the north of Tibet Plateau.</li><li>Over India, the Equatorial Trough pushes northwards with the weakening of the upper westerlies south of Tibet, but the burst of the monsoon does not take place until the upper-air circulation has switched to its summer pattern (Fig. 5.8). The low level changes are related to the high level easterly jet stream over southern Asia about 150 N</li><li>Diag 5.8</li></ul>
<p>Monsoon (from mindmap):Mechanism:Modern Theories: Jet STream Theory: easterly jet stream?</p>
<p>OR</p>
<p>"Monsoon as a thermal engine"</p>
<p>EASTERLY JET STREAM (P Koteswaram)</p>
<p>Koteswaram, supported by Flohn, feels that because the Tibet Plateau is a source of heat for the atmosphere, it generates an area of rising air. During its ascent the air spreads outwards and gradually sinks over the equatorial part of the Indian Ocean (Mascarene High). At this stage, the ascending air is deflected to the right by the earth's rotation and moves in an clockwise direction leading to anticyclonic conditions in the upper troposphere over Tibet around 300-200 mb (9 to 12 km).</p>
<p>It finally approaches the west coast of India as a return current from a south-westerly direction and is termed as equatorial westerlies . It picks up moisture from the Indian Ocean and causes copious rainfall in India and adjoining countries.</p>
<p>Raman and Ramanathan while discussing the tropical easterly jet stream suggested that the easterly winds become very active in the upper troposphere after the beginning of the rainy season. The latent heat produced due to cloud cover results into inversion of temperature and causes rainfall.</p>
Diag 5.5
<p>Monsoon (from mindmap):Mechanism:Teleconnections: enumerate them?</p>
<p>there seems to be a link between meterological events which are separated by long distances and large intervals of time. They are called meteorological teleconnections</p>
<ol><li>El Nino-La Nina</li><li>Southern Oscillation</li><li>Indian Ocean Dipole</li></ol>
<p>Monsoon (from mindmap):Mechanism:Teleconnections: El nino and La Nina?</p>
<p><strong>El Nino and La Nina</strong><span> are complex weather patterns resulting from variations in ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific Region. They are opposite phases of what is known as the</span><strong> El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)</strong><span> cycle.</span></p>
<ul><li><span>Originally, the term </span><i>El Niño</i><span> applied to an annual weak warm ocean current that ran southwards along the coast of </span><a>Peru</a><span> and </span><a>Ecuador</a><span> at about </span><a>Christmas</a><span> time. However, over time the term has evolved and now refers to the warm and negative phase of the </span><a>El Niño–Southern Oscillation</a><span> and is the warming of the ocean surface or above-average </span><a>sea surface temperatures</a><span> in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean</span></li><li><strong>El Nino</strong> is a climate pattern that describes the<strong> unusual warming of surface waters</strong> in the <strong>eastern tropical Pacific Ocean.</strong><br></br><ul><li>It is the “warm phase” of a larger phenomenon called the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO).</li><li>It occurs more frequently than La Nina.</li></ul></li><li><strong>La Nina, the “cool phase”</strong> of ENSO, is a pattern that describes the <strong>unusual cooling</strong> of the tropical eastern Pacific.<br></br><ul><li>La Nina events may last between <strong>one and three years, unlike El Nino,</strong> which usually lasts no more than a year.</li><li><strong>Both phenomena tend to peak during the Northern Hemisphere winter.</strong></li></ul></li><li>El Nino was<strong> first recognized by Peruvian fishermen</strong> off the coast of Peru as the appearance of unusually warm water.<br></br><ul><li>The Spanish immigrants called it <strong>El Nino, meaning “the little boy” or “Child Christ”</strong> in Spanish.</li></ul></li><li>The El Nino event is<strong> not a regular cycle,</strong> they are not predictable and occur irregularly at two- to seven-year intervals.</li><li>The <strong>Oceanic Niño Index (ONI),</strong> is a measure of the departure from normal sea surface temperature in the east-central Pacific Ocean, is the standard means by which each El Nino episode is determined, gauged, and forecast.</li></ul>
<p>Monsoon (from mindmap):Mechanism:Teleconnections: El nino: effect on major continents?</p>
<ul><li><strong>Impact on Ocean:</strong> warmer than usual</li><li>Africa: <span>In Africa, </span><a>East Africa</a><span>—including </span><a>Kenya</a><span>, </span><a>Tanzania</a><span>, and the </span><a>White Nile</a><span> basin—experiences, in the long rains from March to May, wetter-than-normal conditions. Conditions are also drier than normal from December to February in south-central Africa, mainly in </span><a>Zambia</a><span>, </span><a>Zimbabwe</a><span>, </span><a>Mozambique</a><span>, and </span><a>Botswana</a><span>.</span></li><li><span>Antarctica: El Niño conditions result in </span><a>high-pressure</a><span> anomalies over the </span><a>Amundsen</a><span> and </span><a>Bellingshausen</a><span> Seas, causing reduced </span><a>sea ice</a><span> and increased poleward heat fluxes in these sectors, as well as the </span><a>Ross Sea</a><span>. The </span><a>Weddell Sea</a><span>, conversely, tends to become colder with more sea ice during El Niño. The exact opposite heating and atmospheric pressure anomalies occur during La Niña.</span><a>[92]</a><span> This pattern of variability is known as the Antarctic dipole mode</span></li><li><strong>Australia and the Southern Pacific: </strong><span>During El Niño events, the shift in rainfall away from the Western Pacific may mean that rainfall across Australia is reduced</span><ul><li><span>Over the southern part of the continent, warmer than average temperatures can be recorded</span></li><li><span>onset of the </span><a>Indo-Australian Monsoon</a><span> in tropical Australia is delayed by two to six weeks, which as a consequence means that rainfall is reduced over the northern tropics</span></li><li><span>The risk of a significant bushfire season in south-eastern Australia is higher following an El Niño event, especially when it is combined with a positive IOD event</span></li><li><span>Fiji generally experiences drier than normal conditions during an El Niño, which can lead to drought becoming established over the Islands</span></li><li><span>Other impacts include a decrease in the sea level, possibility of coral bleaching in the marine environment and an increased risk of a tropical cyclone affecting islands</span></li></ul></li><li><span>North America:</span><ul><li><span>In particular the majority of Canada generally has milder than normal winters and springs</span></li><li><span>it has been historically associated with high rainfall in California, the effects of El Niño depend more strongly on the "flavor" of El Niño than its presence or absence, as only "persistent El Niño" events lead to consistently high rainfall</span></li><li><span>El Nino reduces the instances of hurricanes in the Atlantic.</span></li></ul></li><li><span>South America</span><ul><li><span>Because El Niño's warm pool feeds thunderstorms above, it creates increased rainfall across the east-central and eastern Pacific Ocean, including several portions of the South American west coast.</span></li><li><span>An El Niño is associated with warm and very wet weather months in April–October along the coasts of northern </span><a>Peru</a><span> and </span><a>Ecuador</a><span>, causing major flooding whenever the event is strong or extreme</span></li><li><span>Along the west coast, El Niño reduces the upwelling of cold, nutrient-rich water that sustains large </span><a>fish</a><span> populations, which in turn sustain abundant sea birds, whose droppings support the </span><a>fertilizer</a><span> industry. The reduction in upwelling leads to </span><a>fish kills</a><span> off the shore of Peru. The world's largest fishery collapsed due to overfishing during the 1972 El Niño </span><a>Peruvian anchoveta</a><span> reduction.</span></li></ul></li><li><span>Asia</span><ul><li><span>As warm water spreads from the west Pacific and the </span><a>Indian Ocean</a><span> to the east Pacific, it takes the rain with it, causing extensive drought in the western Pacific and rainfall in the normally dry eastern Pacific.</span></li></ul></li></ul>
<p>Monsoon (from mindmap):Mechanism:Teleconnections: El nino: effect on Indian Monsoon?</p>
<ul><li>El Nino and Indian monsoon are <strong>inversely related</strong>.</li><li>The most prominent droughts in India – six of them – since 1871 have been El Nino droughts, including the recent ones in 2002 and 2009</li><li>However, not all El Nino years led to a drought in India. For instance, 1997/98 was a strong El Nino year but there was no drought (Because of IOD).</li><li>On the other hand, a moderate El Nino in 2002 resulted in one of the worst droughts.</li><li>El Nino directly impacts India’s agrarian economy as it tends to lower the production of summer crops such as rice, sugarcane, cotton and oilseeds.</li></ul>
<p>Monsoon (from mindmap):Mechanism:Teleconnections: El nino: how does it work?</p>
<p>Normal conditions</p>
<ul><li>In a normal year, a surface <strong>low pressure</strong> develops in the region of <strong>northern Australia</strong> <strong>and Indonesia</strong> and a <strong>high pressure </strong>system over the <strong>coast of Peru</strong>. As a result, the <strong>trade winds</strong> over the Pacific Ocean move strongly from <strong>east to west. It is a part of Pacific Walker Circulation.</strong></li><li>The easterly flow of the trade winds carries warm surface waters <strong>westward</strong>, bringing <strong>convective storms (thunderstorms)</strong> to Indonesia and coastal Australia. Along the coast of Peru, cold bottom <strong>cold nutrient rich</strong> <strong>water wells up</strong> to the surface to replace the warm water that is pulled to the west.</li><li>Normal conditions: <br></br><a>https://1drv.ms/u/s!AvN_8sA-Zf0djUyl04UJ7WofMpqg?e=pbsGR1</a><br></br></li><li>Walker Cell: <a>https://1drv.ms/u/s!AvN_8sA-Zf0djU0B_7eq2TFjCBXR?e=CKnkbr</a></li></ul>
<p></p>
<ul><li><a>https://1drv.ms/u/s!AvN_8sA-Zf0djU4O4D0j-wOInuGn?e=ChTZ34</a></li></ul>
<ul><li>The Walker circulation (walker cell) is caused by the pressure gradient force that results from a <strong>high pressure system over the eastern Pacific ocean</strong>, and a <strong>low pressure system over Indonesia.</strong></li></ul>
<p><strong>During El nino year</strong></p>
<ul><li>In an El Niño year, air pressure drops over large areas of the central Pacific and along the coast of South America.</li><li>The normal low pressure system is replaced by a weak high in the western Pacific (the <strong>southern oscillation</strong>). This change in pressure pattern causes the <strong>trade winds to be reduced == Weak Walker Cell. </strong>Sometimes Walker Cell might even get reversed.</li><li>This reduction allows the <strong>equatorial counter current (current along doldrums)</strong> to accumulate warm ocean water along the coastlines of Peru and Ecuador.</li><li>This accumulation of warm water causes the thermocline to drop in the eastern part of Pacific Ocean which <strong>cuts off the upwelling of cold deep ocean water</strong> along the coast of Peru.</li><li>Climatically, the development of an El Niño brings <strong>drought to the western Pacific</strong>, <strong>rains to the equatorial coast of South America</strong>, and <strong>convective storms and hurricanes to the central Pacific.</strong></li><li><a><strong>https://1drv.ms/u/s!AvN_8sA-Zf0djU_OcnLQ7NJAph0r?e=Ld1hzv</strong></a></li><li><a><strong>https://1drv.ms/u/s!AvN_8sA-Zf0djVBwIq8qdFkYsEQx?e=7hYRry</strong></a></li></ul>
<p></p>
<p>Monsoon (from mindmap):Mechanism:Teleconnections:Southern Oscillation?</p>
<ul><li>Southern Oscillation (S.O.) is the name ascribed to the curious phenomenon of sea-saw pattern of meteorological changes observed between the Pacific and Indian oceans.</li><li>This great discovery was made by Sir Gilbert Walker in 1920. While working as the head of the India Meteorological Service, he noticed that when the pressure was high over equatorial south Pacific, it was low over the equatorial south Indian Ocean and vice versa.</li><li>The pattern of low and high pressures over the Indian and Pacific Oceans (S.O.) gives rise to vertical circulation along the equator with its rising limb over low pressure area and descending limb over high pressure area. This is known as <strong>Walker Circulation</strong>.</li><li>The location of low pressure and hence the rising limb over Indian Ocean is considered to be conducive to good monsoon rainfall in India. In other words when there is low pressure over the Indian Ocean in winter months, the chances are that the coming monsoon will be good and will bring sufficient rainfall.</li><li>Its shifting eastward from its normal position, such as in El Nino years, reduces monsoon rainfall in India.</li><li>Due to the close association between an El Nino (E.N.) and the Southern Oscillation (S.O.), the two are jointly referred to as an ENSO event.</li><li>The main difficulty with the Southern Oscillation is that its priodicity is not fixed and its period varies from two to five years.</li><li>Different indices have been used to measure the intensity of the Southern Oscillation, but the most frequently used is the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI). This is the difference in pressure between Tahiti (17°45'S. 149°30 W) in French Polynesia, representing the Pacific Ocean and Port Darwin (12 30'S, 131°E), in northern Australia representing the Indian Ocean The positive and negative values of the SOI e. Tahiti minus the Port Darwin pressure are pointers towards good or bad rainfall in India</li><li>Walker Cell in nonrmal yrs: <a>https://1drv.ms/u/s!AvN_8sA-Zf0djU0B_7eq2TFjCBXR?e=CKnkbr</a><br></br> and<br></br><a>https://1drv.ms/u/s!AvN_8sA-Zf0djU4O4D0j-wOInuGn?e=ChTZ34</a></li><li>During El nino yrs;<br></br><br></br><a><strong>https://1drv.ms/u/s!AvN_8sA-Zf0djVBwIq8qdFkYsEQx?e=7hYRry</strong></a></li></ul>
<p>Monsoon (from mindmap):Mechanism:Teleconnections:Indian ocean Dipole?</p>
<ul><li>Although ENSO was statistically effective in explaining several past droughts in India, in the recent decades the ENSO-Monsoon relationship seemed to weaken in the Indian subcontinent. For e.g. the 1997, strong ENSO failed to cause drought in India.</li><li>However, it was later discovered that just like ENSO was an event in the Pacific Ocean, a similar seesaw ocean-atmosphere system in the Indian Ocean was also at play. It was discovered in 1999 and named the <strong>Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD).</strong></li><li>The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is defined by the <strong>difference in sea surface temperature between two areas</strong> (or poles, hence a dipole) – a western pole in the <strong>Arabian Sea</strong> (western Indian Ocean) and an eastern pole in the <strong>eastern Indian Ocean</strong> south of Indonesia.</li><li>IOD develops in the equatorial region of Indian Ocean from April to May peaking in October.</li><li>With a <strong>positive IOD</strong> winds over the Indian Ocean blow from east to west (from Bay of Bengal towards Arabian Sea). This results in the Arabian Sea (western Indian Ocean near African Coast) being much warmer and eastern Indian Ocean around Indonesia becoming colder and dry.</li><li>In the negative dipole year (<strong>negative IOD</strong>), reverse happens making Indonesia much warmer and rainier.</li><li>It was demonstrated that a positive IOD index often negated the effect of ENSO, resulting in increased Monsoon rains in several ENSO years like the 1983, 1994 and 1997. records of India Meteorological Department (IMD) show that IOD was positive in four of the 16 El Nino years during 1951-2017 (Table 5.1) and the rainfall was normal i.e. 96-104% of the Long Period Average (LPA) in three of these four years.</li><li>Further, it was shown that the two poles of the IOD – the eastern pole (around Indonesia) and the western pole (off the African coast) were independently and cumulatively affecting the quantity of rains for the Monsoon in the Indian subcontinent.</li><li>Similar to ENSO, the atmospheric component of the IOD was later discovered and named as <strong>Equatorial Indian Ocean Oscillation [EQUINOO][Oscillation of warm water and atmospheric pressure between Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea].</strong></li><li><strong>Effect on Cyclonogenesis</strong><ul><li>PositiveIOD (Arabian Sea warmer than Bay of Bengal) results in more cyclones than usual in Arabian Sea.</li><li>NegativeIOD results in stronger than usual cyclonogenesis (Formation of Tropical Cyclones) in Bay of Bengal. Cyclonogenesis in Arabian Sea is suppressed.</li></ul></li></ul>
<p>Monsoon: El nino Modoki?</p>
<ul><li>El Niño Modoki is a coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomenon in the tropical Pacific.</li><li>It is different from another coupled phenomenon in the tropical Pacific namely, El Niño.</li><li>Conventional El Niño is characterized by strong anomalous warming in the eastern equatorial Pacific. Whereas, El Niño Modoki is associated with <strong>strong anomalous warming in the central tropical Pacific and cooling in the eastern and western tropical Pacific</strong> (see figure below).</li><li>El nino Modoki: <a>https://1drv.ms/u/s!AvN_8sA-Zf0djVFtN32VllHv_vm8?e=nKZdh0</a></li><li>Walker Cell for El Nino Modoki: <a>https://1drv.ms/u/s!AvN_8sA-Zf0djVJI_ADR6Z3cPdye?e=6n1eJg</a></li><li>impact<ul><li>The El Niño Modoki phenomenon is characterized by the anomalously warm central equatorial Pacific flanked by anomalously cool regions in both west and east.</li><li>Such zonal gradients result in anomalous <strong>two-cell Walker Circulation</strong> over the tropical Pacific, with a wet region in the central Pacific.</li></ul></li></ul>
<p>Monsoon (from mindmap):IMD'16 parameters for Monsoon forecast?</p>
<ul><li>temperature related parameters<ol><li>El nino in curent yr</li><li>El nino in previous yr</li><li>Northern India (March)</li><li>East Coast of INdia (March)</li><li>Central India (May)</li><li>Northern hemisphere (Jan and Feb)</li></ol></li><li>Wind related parameters<ol><li>500 hPa ridge in April</li><li>50 hPa ridge trough extent (Jan and Feb)</li><li>10 hPa westerly wind</li></ol></li><li>Pressure anomaly<ol><li>Tahiti-Darwin (Spring)</li><li>Darwin (spring)</li><li>South America- Argentina (April)</li><li>Indian Ocean Equatorial (Jan-May)</li><li>surface pressure annomaly of NE hemisphere</li></ol></li><li>Snoe cover related<ol><li>Himalayan (Jan-March)</li><li>Eurasian (Previous Dec)</li></ol></li></ul>
<p>It was observed in late eighties that whenever more than 50% parameters showed favourable signals, the monsoon rainfall in India was normal and when 70% or more parameters were favourable, the monsoon rainfall was above normal.</p>