Important stuff I guess Flashcards

1
Q

Roles of traditional banks

A

Act as financial intermediaries
o Between savers (providers of capital) and borrowers (users of capital)
o Banks develop facilities/instruments/products to make lending, borrowing possible
o Direct impact on a country’s production, local and international trade, economic growth and employment

Provide liquidity to the financial system
o Lending activities inject liquidity into the economy
o Fractional reserve banking allows banks to lend a high proportion of their deposits, which ultimately leads to increase in money supply (m=1/R)
o Central bank may adjust “R” to increase/decrease money supply and liquidity.

Provider of information
o Economics research and trends
o House prices indices
o Trade/credit/industry statistics

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2
Q

Central banks

A

Mandates from governments include:
o Price stability (achieved through monetary policy) for economic growth
o Supervision of banking industry
o Ensure effective national payments system
o Lender of last resort
o Administer exchange controls
o Banker of the state

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3
Q

ACC: Developing the solution

A
  • Selecting Appropriate Actuarial Models
  • Appropriate Assumptions
  • Implications for all Stakeholders
  • Determine a Proposed Solution and Alternatives

MODEL CONSTRUCTION

  • An examination of the major actuarial models currently in use and how they may be adjusted for the particular problem to be solved
  • Selection of the most appropriate model to use for the problem, or construction of a new model
  • Consideration and selection of the assumptions to be used in the model.

MODEL RESULTS
- Interpretation of the results of the modelling process
- Consideration of the implications of the model results
on the overall problem.
- Consideration of the implications of the results for all
stakeholders

SOLUTION

  • determining a proposed solution to the problem
  • consideration of alternative solutions and their effects on the problem
  • formalising a proposal
  • communicating the proposed solution and the alternatives
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4
Q

ACC: Specifying the problem

A
  • Setting out clearly the problem from the viewpoint of each stakeholder
  • Assessing and analyzing the risks for each stakeholder
  • Considering the strategic courses of action available to manage, mitigate or transfer the particular risks in question
  • Analyzing the options for the design of solutions to the problem that transfer risk from one set of stakeholders to another
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5
Q

ACC: Monitoring the experience

A
  • Analyzing periodically the actual experience against expected
  • Identifying causes of departure from expected experience and determining whether each source is one-off or likely to recur
  • Feeding back into the specifying the problem and developing the solution stages of the ACC
  • Making sure the model is ‘dynamic’ (i.e. assumptions are consistent) and reflects current experience

THE MONITORING OF NEW CONTRACTS OR NEW ELEMENTS OF CONTRACTS SHOULD OCCUR MORE FREQUENTLY.

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6
Q

Key Topics Under the General Commercial and Economic Environment

A

ESPERIA, a magical environment far away

  • External environment
  • Stakeholders
  • Providers of benefits
  • Economic Influences
  • Regulation
  • Insurance products
  • Asset Classes
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7
Q

What are the 3 different types of advice an actuary can give?

A
  1. Factual - based on research of facts
  2. Indicative - giving an opinion without fully investigating the issue, such as in response to a direct question
  3. Recommendations - researched and modeled forecasts, alternative weighted, recommendations made consistent with requirements, work normally peer reviewed
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8
Q

List the factors to consider in relation to the external environment

A

CREATE GRAND LISTS

Competetive structure
Regulation and legislation
Environmental issues and climate change
Accounting standards
Tax
Economic outlook
(Corporate) Governance
Risk management requirements
Adequacy of capital and solvency
New business environment
Demographic trends
Lifestyle considerations
International practice
State benefits
Technological changes
Social and cultural trends
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9
Q

Principle aims of regulation

A
  • to correct perceived market inefficiencies and to promote efficient and orderly markets
  • to protect consumers of financial products
  • to maintain confidence in the financial system
  • to help reduce financial crime
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10
Q

Why is the need to regulation of the financial markets typically greater than for most other markets?

A

Firstly, the importance of confidence in the financial system. There is the risk that if one company collapses, it can cause a systemic financial collapse of the system.

Secondly, the asymmetry of information, expertise and negotiating strength that exists between the product provider and end customer.

These issues are exacerbated by the fact that:

  1. financial transactions are often long term in nature and can have a significant impact on the future economic welfare of individuals
  2. in general, most of the population is not well educated on financial matters and find the range of products offered both complex and confusing
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11
Q

Information asymmetry

A

The situation where at least one party to a transaction has relevant information which the other party or parties do not have

It includes

  • anti-selection
  • moral hazard

The area of information asymmetry that is of most concern is the asymmetry of information between the product provider and end customer. There is a difference in expertise and negotiating strength that oftern exists in financial transactions, particularly in retail markets

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12
Q

Anti-selection

A

People are more likely to take out contracts when they believe their own risk is higher than the insurance company has allowed for in its premiums

Anti-selection can also arise where existing policyholders have the opportunity to exercise a guarantee or an option. Those who have the most to gain from the option or guarantee will be the most likely to exercise it, for example, a guaranteed insurability option (lives in good health may find it cheaper to take out a new policy)

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13
Q

Moral hazard

A

The action of a party who behaves differently from the way they would have behaved if they were fully exposed to the consequences of that action.

The party behaves inappropriately or less carefully than they would otherwise, leaving the organisation to bear some of the consequences of the action.

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14
Q

Summarize the three main principles of insurance and pensions that impact the design of financial products and the benefits that can be provided from such products

A
  1. Insurable interest - in most countries, an insurance contract is only valid if the person taking out the contract has a financial interest in the insured event, to prevent moral hazard, fraud and other crime
  2. Pre-funding - individuals or corporate bodies put money aside in advance of the occurance a risk event, which is uncertain in terms of whether it will happen, its timing and amount. The amount of money put aside depends on the probability of the risk event occuring, the amount the risk event will cost, and the return that can be earned on the pre-funded money before the risk event occurs
  3. Pooling of risk - protects a group of individuals who pool their finances, against uncertainty in financial costs, which then leads to more cost-efficient provision than if each individual made their own financial provision
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15
Q

How can an investor holding shares in a big supermarket chain protect themselves against the fall in the value of these shares, using derivatives?

A
  • Sell futures on the supermarket shares, ie enter into an agreement to sell shares on a specifies futures date at a price agreed now
  • Buy a put option on the supermarket shares, ie give himself the right, but not the obligation to sell the shares on a specifies future date at a price agreed upon now
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16
Q

Defined Benefit Scheme

A

A defined benefits scheme is one where the scheme rules define the benefits independently of the contributions payable, and benefits are not directly related to the investments of the scheme

Benefits will be defined by a set formula, and might be linked to, for example:

  • how long the member works for the sponsoring company
  • the member’s salary at retirement

The scheme may be funded or unfunded.

The members’ benefits are promised and independent of investment return, longevity, and administration expenses. The risks, therefore, lie with the employer (if the members live longer than expected, the employer needs to pay more money into the scheme)

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17
Q

Defined Contribution Scheme

A

A defined contribution scheme is one providing benefits where the amount of an individual member’s benefits depends on the contributions paid into the scheme in respect of that member, increased by the investment return earned on those contributions

The risks lie primarily with the members, for example, if investment performance is poor, then each member’s accumulated fund will be smaller than expected and hence the annual pension lower than expected

If an annuity is purchased at retirement, then longevity risk passes to the annuity provider at this time. If an annuity is not purchased, then longevity risk remains with the member

Expenses risk may lie with the employer or the members depending on whether expenses are met separately by the employer or are met from charges taken from the accumulated fund

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18
Q

New business strain

A

Usually, in the first month of a life insurance contract, the insurer receives a premium but also has to pay out commission, initial administration, and underwriting expenses, set up provisions, and any solvency capital. If the outgo is more than the income, this is called new business strain

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19
Q

Income drawdown (Living annuity)

A

Allows an individual to leave their accumulated fund invested and draw an income from it annually. This may be just the income earned on the fund or may also include some of the fund capital

May be limits on how much can be drawn each year and an age limit at which point an annuity must be purchased.

One of the main drivers behind the income drawdown approach is that, should the member die before having to secure an annuity, the member’s heirs can inherit the balance of the fund

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20
Q

Main types of healthcare products

A
  1. Private medical insurance (PMI)
  2. Critical illness (CI)
  3. Long-term care (LTC)
  4. Other products and cash benefits
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21
Q

Aspects to consider in product design (Healthcare)

A
  1. Customer acceptability
  2. Regulatory requirements
  3. Price competitiveness
  4. System capabilities
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22
Q

Types of underwriting for short-term contracts

A
  1. Full medical underwriting - any pre-existing conditions will be excluded
  2. Moratorium underwriting - Instead of medical underwriting at the time of application, the insurer states the cover will not cover any medical conditions that existed during a pre-specified period prior to the policy commencing
  3. Medical History Disregard (MHD) - No exclusions for pre-existing conditions - more likely to apply on group policy offerings
  4. No worse terms - The new insurer agrees to cover at least as comprehensive as the policyholder’s current policy, with no additional underwriting conditions
  5. Continued personal medical exclusion (CPME) - The new insurer promises only to carry forward such cover for medical conditions sd existed under the previous insurance policy
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23
Q

Explain how the benefits for medical expenses may vary under PMI cover

A

PMI products will vary according to:

  1. Overall financial limits and/or sub-limits
  2. The level of the reimbursement rate for specific healthcare services
  3. Whether to limit covered services to a network of healthcare providers
  4. Whether to provide out-of-hospital benefits such as hearing aids and over-the-counter medicine
  5. Whether to include medical savings accounts (used for day-to-day medical expenses)
  6. Benefits required by legislation
  7. Risk transfer mechanisms
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24
Q

Describe the principle of mutuality in healthcare

A

A pooled fund is created and premiums are paid into the fund by policyholders.

The premium paid by the policyholders is determined by the RISK presented by the policyholder at the time of taking out the contract.

Claims are paid out of the pooled funds in accordance with the policyholder agreement.

Disadvantage:
While the risk pool is not sensitive to policyholders entering and leaving since each is contributing to their risk, high-risk lives will not be able to access cover due to affordability and this could have adverse social implications

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25
Q

Describe the principle of solidarity in healthcare

A

Solidarity is similar to mutuality in that they both involve the concept of sharing losses.

However, the main differences are:

  1. Under solidarity principles, the premiums are not based on risk, but rather on the ability to pay, or are set equally.
  2. Under solidarity principles, losses are paid according to need.
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26
Q

Private Medical Insurance (PMI)

A

PMI and related products are usually indemnity-based products that seek to provide compensation for the cost of private medical treatment.

Private medical treatment refers to medical expenses that would otherwise be funded by individuals or employers outside of the state-funded services in a country.

The extent of the cover will depend on the level and quality of State services offered in a specific country.

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27
Q

What customer needs does PMI meet?

A

If no state-funded care exists, then PMI will usually provide for all forms of healthcare needs on an indemnity basis.

If the State provides some level of healthcare to all, then PMI is usually bought when an individual requires care such as:

  1. medical attention without waiting
  2. medical attention in a higher standard of accommodation
  3. medical attention with a doctor of choice
  4. medical attention in a local or private hospital
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28
Q

Critical Illness (CI) cover

A

AKA dread disease, serious illness, crisis cash or living assurance

The benefit under this policy is typically a lump sum but can be structured as regular income, payable if the policyholder suffers one of the defined conditions

The characteristics of an illness or condition that make it appropriate for inclusion in a critical illness product are:

  • it is a condition perceived by the public to be serious and to occur frequently
  • each condition covered can be defined clearly so that there is no ambiguity at the time of claim
  • there is sufficient data available to price the benefit
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29
Q

What is the main type of reserve required in healthcare?

A

Incurred but not yet reported (IBNR).

This is a reserve for claim events that have occurred but which the healthcare funder does not yet know about.

30
Q

List 4 other types of PMI-related products that also provide for healthcare expenditure (Cash Benefits)

A
  1. Major medical expenses
    - Provides a lump sum when the policyholder undergoes surgery
  2. Hospital cash plans
    - Provides a defined benefit for a defined premium. Usually pays a pre-stated lump sum per day in hospital, and is usually paid from the first or second day in hospital
  3. Medical shortfall (gap) cover
    - Designed to cover the difference between the cost of medical treatment and the amount covered by PMI products. These differences arise due to benefit limits or healthcare professionals charging higher fees than are covered by PMI benefits
  4. Personal accident
    - Provides a lump sum benefit to compensate for bodily injury suffered as a result of a accident
31
Q

Define indemnity, and give examples of where insurance does not fully indemnify the policyholder

A

Indemnity is compensation/reimbursement for a loss incurred. The idea is to return a policyholder to the same financial position they were in before the loss event.

Examples of non-indemnity insurance include:

  • Fixed benefit insurance
  • Insurance where there is an excess or a maximum claim
  • “New-for-old” insurance (you’ll be given the equivalent value of the item that has been lost, damaged or stolen)
32
Q

List the four generic groups of general insurance products

A

Liability

  • Employers’
  • Motor third party
  • Public
  • Product
  • Professional indemnity

Property damage

  • Residential buildings
  • Commercial buildings
  • Movable products
  • Land vehicles
  • Marine craft
    1. Perils of the sea (or other navigable waters)
    2. Fire
    3. Explosion
    4. Jettison (drop something)
    5. Piracy
  • Aircraft

Financial loss

  • Pecuniary loss
  • Fidelity guarantee
  • Business interruption
  • Cyber security

Fixed benefit

  • Personal accident
  • Health
  • Unemployment
33
Q

Outline the seven features of liability insurance

A
  1. Provides indemnity where the insured, due to some form of negligence, is legally liable to pay compensation to some third party
  2. The legal fees associated with the claim are usually also covered
  3. Illegal acts of negligence will invalidate the claim and no payment will be made by the insurer
  4. There may be an upper limit (per claim or aggregate per year) and/or excess amount applied to the claim
  5. On the occurrence of a claim the cover may be cancelled, or a reinstatement premium or higher premium might be required for the cover to continue
  6. The claims are usually medium to long tailed and are likely to be real in nature
  7. International or national laws apply, depending on the type of cover
34
Q

List the different types of reserves/provisions for general insurance contracts

A
  1. Outstanding reported claims reserve.
  2. IBNR reserve.
  3. Unexpired risk reserve.
  4. Catastrophe reserve.
  5. Claims handling expense reserve.
35
Q

Cash on Deposit

A

Call Deposit (the depositor has instant access to withdraw the capital deposited)
Issuer: Banks
Typical Term: n/a
Tradable: No

Term Deposit (cash deposited for a fixed term with no access to the capital sum earlier than maturity)
Issuer: Banks
Typical term: 1 week to 1 year
Tradable: No

Notice deposit (depositor has to give a period of notice before withdrawal)
Issuer: Banks
Typical term: n/a
Tradable: No

The rate of interest paid by the borrower can be:
- fixed for the term of the deposit
- fixed for an initial period
- variable from day to day
The borrower (lender?) may have to give notice of any change in interest rates

36
Q

Money Market Instruments

A

Treasury Bill:
Issuer: Central Government
Typical Term: 91 or 182 days
Tradable: Yes

Local Authority Bill:
Issuer: Local Government
Typical Term: 91 or 182 days
Tradable: Yes

Bill of Exchange:
Issuer: Companies
Typical Term: Up to 1 year
Tradable: Yes

Commercial Paper:
Issuer: Large, listed companies
Typical Term: Up to one year
Tradable: Yes

Certificate of Deposit:
Issuer: Banks
Typical Term: 28 days to 6 months
Tradable: Yes

37
Q

Quantity Theory of Money

A

MV=PY

Where M=quantity of money, V=velocity of money, P=price level, Y=no. of transactions
(i.e. money supply matches the value of transactions or GDP)
In the short term, V and Y are constant.
Hence an increase in M leads to an increase in P

38
Q

Investment and Risk Characteristics of Cash on Deposit and Money Market Instruments

A

Security: Depends on the Issuer
Yield: Real, but not high compared to other assets
Spread/Capital volatility: Low (short term)
Term: Short
Expenses: Minimal
Exchange rate (Currency RIsk): Varied
Marketability: Good, except call/term deposits
Tax: Return taxed as income

39
Q

Why do institutional investors not normally invest a large proportion of funds in money market instruments?

A

I. Money market instruments give a lower expected return than other, riskier assets

II. Money market instruments are not a good match for long-term liabilities.

III. There is reinvestment risk – Proceeds will have to be reinvested on unknown terms

IV. Short term interest rates will move broadly in line with price inflation. However, money market instruments are not a good match if the investor has real liabilities linked to some other index

V. Too large a proportion would result in a lack of diversification

VI. There may be a limited supply of money market instruments available

40
Q

Bonds

A

An alternative term for a fixed-interest or index-linked security

41
Q

Investment and Risk Characteristics of Government Bonds

A

Security: usually very good

Returns: Expect returns lower than shares but better than cash
=GRY at time of invest (and assuming held to maturity etc..)
Does not protect against unexpected inflation

Capital volatility: depends on term
(problem if have to report market values and/or sell prior to maturity)

Term: greater than 1 year; can be up to 30 or 40 years

Expenses: low dealing expenses

Exchange rate: varied

Marketability: good

Tax: income and capital gains may be taxed differently

42
Q

3 Types of corporate bonds

A
  • Debentures
  • Unsecured loan stock
  • Subordinated debt
43
Q

Gross redemption yield

A

The return an investor would expect to get on a bond if they held it until redemption

This assumes they could reinvest the coupons at the same rate, and ignores expenses, tax and default risk

44
Q

Investment and risk characteristics of ordinary shares

A

Security: Depends on the security of the company, and on whether it is listed

Yield:
● long-term yield expected to be positive in real terms (inflation hedge)
● higher required returns than government bonds over the long term
● lower running yield than government bonds as much of the return is expected to be made from future dividend growth - Running (Dividend) yield = dividend per share / price paid per share

Spread/Capital volatility: income (dividends) and capital values (prices) can be volatile

Term: equities can generally be held in perpetuity

Exchange rate (Currency RIsk): Varied
Expenses: dealing expenses are linked to marketability

Marketability: marketability depends on the size of the company and whether listed

Tax: income and capital gains taxed differently by different investors

45
Q

Features of Preference Shares

A

● The dividend on a preference share is usually a fixed percentage of the par
value
…and is always paid before any distribution to ordinary shareholders.
● The dividends do not have to be paid if profits are insufficient.
● They are generally cumulative so that if a dividend is unpaid, the arrears must also be paid off before any payment is made to ordinary shareholders.
● They usually rank before ordinary shares for repayment on winding up.
● Most preference shares have no final redemption date.
● They do not normally carry voting rights.

46
Q

Investment and risk characteristics of domestic property

A

Security: Depends on the quality of the tenant(s), site value, political risk

Yield:
long-term return expected to be positive in real terms (inflation hedge)
● required long term return between government bonds and equities
● running yield varies, usually between government bonds and equities - running yield - rental income (net of management expenses) / cost of purchase (gross of all purchase costs)

Spread/Capital volatility: Step income (rent); capital values (prices) can be volatile but less than shares

Term: Freehold can be held in perpetuity

Expenses: dealing expenses higher than other asset classes; management costs high

Marketability: Very unmarketable as can take months/years to sell a large property

Tax: income and capital gains taxed differently by different investors

+ investment characteristics can be changed by the owner

+ property could be used by investor (i.e. utility value)

47
Q

What is a collective investment scheme?

A

o Structure for the management of investments on a grouped basis
- Structure is split between a trust (trust deed) and a company (articles), each of which can be open- or closed ended
o Will have a stated investment objective

Purpose (of CIS’s from the investor’s perspective)

  • Diversification and lower portfolio risk
  • Access to expertise
  • Access to larger / unusual investments
  • Economies of scale (reducing investment expenses)
  • Possible tax advantages

Purpose (of CIS’s from the managers of the CIS’s perspective)

  • To follow the stated investment objective
  • To create return for investors commensurate with the level of risk taken
48
Q

Define closed-ended in the context of CISs

A

In a closed-ended scheme once the initial tranche of money has been invested the fund is closed to new money. After launch, the only way of investing in the ITC is to buy shares from a willing seller.

49
Q

Define open-ended in the context of CISs

A

In an open-ended scheme managers can create or cancel units in the fund as new money is invested or disinvested.

50
Q

Define a futures contract

A

A standardized, exchange-traded contract to buy (or sell) a specified asset at a specified price on a specified date in the future

51
Q

Define a forward contract

A

A non-standardized, OTC traded contract to buy (or sell) a specified asset at a specified price on a specified date in the future

52
Q

State the key risks to which an investor in the following asset classes is exposed:

  1. Conventional government bonds
  2. Corporate bonds
  3. Equities
A
  1. Conventional government bonds – Inflation risk
  2. Corporate bonds – default, inflation, marketability and liquidity risk.
  3. Equities – non-payment of dividends, dividend / price volatility, marketability, liquidity and systemic risk (driven by market sentiment)
53
Q

How is the general level of the market in any asset class determined?

A

By the interaction of buyers and sellers, i.e. supply and demand

  • Price ↑ (i.e. Yield ↓) when demand ↑ or supply ↓
  • Price ↓ (i.e. Yield ↑) when demand ↓ or supply ↑
  • Demand for most investments is very price elastic due to close substitutes being available (small slope)
54
Q

Yield Curves

A

Yield Curve (YC) is a reflection of how demand and supply translate into bond prices (and yields);

  • YC = best fit curve through a plot of yields and durations for individual bonds (usually of similar credit quality);
  • YC is a useful tool for investors (e.g. for valuations and for portfolio management) and provides a good overview of yields and of supply/demand;
  • YC need not be based on GRY – it could be based on zero coupon yields.
55
Q

List the main theories of the conventional bond yield curve

A

Expectations Theory
Liquidity Preference Theory
Inflation Risk Premium Theory
Market Segmentation Theory

56
Q

Investment valuation methods

A

Book Value

  • Historical
  • Written up or written down

Market Value Related

  • Market Value
  • Smoothed Market Value
  • Fair Value
  • Arbitrage Value

Discounted Cashflow

  • Deterministically Calculated
  • Stochastic Modelling
57
Q

Suggest 5 ways of valuing equities

A
  1. Market value
  2. Discounted dividend model
  3. NAV per share
  4. Measurable key factor approach
  5. EVA
58
Q

State the formula for the simplified dividend discount model, defining all terms used and stating assumptions.

A

V = D/(i-g)

V is the value of the share
D is the dividend in exactly one year’s time
i is the investor’s required rate or return
g is the dividend growth rate

Assumptions:

  1. Dividends paid annually with the next payment in 1 years time.
  2. Dividends grow at a constant rate g per annum
  3. The required rate of return, i, is independent of the time at which the payments are received and divideds can be reinvested at this rate.
  4. i and g are both real or both nominal with i > g
  5. Shares are held in perpetuity
  6. No taxes or expenses
59
Q

Callable bond

A

bond that the borrower can choose to repay at any time.

60
Q

puttable bond

A

the investor can demand repayment at any time.

61
Q

List 15 factors that influence the long term investment strategy of an institutional investor

A

SOUNDER TRACTORS

Size of the assets (absolute / relative)
Objectives
Uncertainty of the liabilities
Nature of the liabilities
Diversification
Existing asset portfolio
Return (expected long term)
Tax treatment of the assets / investor
Restrictions - statutory / legal / voluntary
Accrual of liabilities in the future
Currency of the existing liabilities
Term of the existing liabilities
Other funds' strategies (competition)
Risk appetite
Solvency requirements and accounting requirements
62
Q

What are the two key principles of investment?

A
  1. A provider should select investments that are appropriate to the nature, term, currency and uncertainty of the liabilities and the provider’s appetite for risk.
  2. Subject to the first constrain, the investments should be selected to maximize the overall return on the assets, where overall return includes both income and capital gains.
63
Q

Give 8 examples of how the regulatory framework might limit what a provider wants to do in terms of investment

A

TECH SCAM

Types of assets the provider can invest in
Extent to which mismatching is allowed
Currency matching requirement
Hold certain assets

Single counterparty maximum exposure
Custodianship of assets
Amount of any one assets used to demonstrate solvency may be restricted
Mismatching reserve

64
Q

Define the term ‘risk budgeting’

A

The term risk budgeting refers to the process of establishing how much risk should be taken and where it is the most efficient to take the risk (in order to maximize return)

The risk budgeting process has two parts:
1. deciding how to allocate the maximum permitted overall risk between active risk and strategic risk

  1. allocating the total active risk budget across the component portfolios

Risk budgeting is, therefore, an investment style where ASSET ALLOCATIONS
are based on an asset’s risk contribution to the portfolio as well as on the asset’s expected return.

Overall risk = strategic risk + active risk + structural risk

Risk tolerance is main influence on SAA

65
Q

Strategic risk

A

The risk of poor performance of the strategic benchmark relative to the value of the liabilities

66
Q

Structural risk

A

The risk of underperformance if the sum of the individual benchmarks given to fund managers does not add up to the strategic benchmark

67
Q

Active risk

A

The risk of underperformance if the fund managers do not invest exactly in line with the individual benchmarks as they are given.

68
Q

Define MWRR

A

The MWRR is the discount rate at which present value of inflows = present value of outflows in the portfolio

The main disadvantage of the MWRR is that it places a greater weight on the performance in periods when the portfolio size is largest.

Therefore, if a manager outperforms the benchmark for a long period when the fund is small, and then (after the client puts more money into the fund) the manager has a short period of under-performance, the MWRR may not treat the manager fairly over the whole period. This is particularly an issue since deposits into and withdrawals out of the fund are not usually within the manager’s control.

69
Q

Define TWRR

A

The TWRR is the compounded growth rate of a unit investment over the period being measured. It is the product of growth factors between consecutive cashflows,

The TWRR will not identify the manager who has a skill at managing small funds and is weak at managing large funds, or vice versa.

70
Q

Developing a deterministic/stochastic model

A

Specify the problem

  • Pricing vs Reserving
  • Are we interested in snapshot reserves or cashflows over time
  • Internal or external use

Collect and modify data where necessary

Choose:

  • Model (whether to use a stochastic or deterministic model or a hybrid, and which one of the available models)
  • Variables (claims, expenses and premiums)
  • Parameters (economic, demographic, …)
  • Stochastic: prob density function and correlation matric)

Construct the model and check for errors

Check “goodness of fit”

  • Output reasonable
  • Can you replicate last year’s results
  • Scenario/sensitivity tests
  • Spot checks

If okay, calculate and interpret the results