Hypothesis testing Flashcards
Estimation
- using the sample data we estimate the distribution of a parameter in the population from which the sample was drawn
- two types of estimation:
- point estimation
- interval estimation
Point estimation
-estimate a single value for a parameter that will probably be close to the true value
Interval estimation
-find an interval (confidence interval) that has a given probability (the confidence coefficient) of including the true value of the parameter within its specified range
Hypothesis testing
-we test the null hypothesis that a specified parameter of the population has a specified value by looking at the sample value
Hypotheses
-statements that provisionally link two variables
Theories
-sets of definite propositions or facts that are more or less verified already
Popper’s logic
-to prove something is very hard, to disprove is relatively easy
Null hypothesis
- H0
- this is the statement in opposite which scientists want to disprove or reject
Alternate hypothesis
- H1
- gets accepted if the null hypothesis gets correctly rejected
- the alternate hypothesis is what the scientists actually believe in and are trying to demonstrate
One tailed hypothesis
- refers to the statement that differences between groups occur in one direction only ie A>B
- in this case, the alternative hypothesis will be A in not greater than B
Two-tailed hypothesis
- refers to the statement that differences exist between the two groups but the direction of such differences are not specified ie A>B or B>A but A is not equal to B
- in these cases the alternative hypothesis would be that A=B
- significance level of two tailed hypothesis are halved so larger differences are required to reject a two-tailed null hypothesis
- this is considered more rigourous and is preferred
Rejecting the null hypothesis
- it is desirable to reject H0 and approve H1
- use significance level p, which is the probability of rejecting the H0 when H0 is indeed true
- the higher the p, the better the fit between data and H0
- if the p value is low then H0 is not valid and we can reject it if p is very low
- very low p value= 0.05