Hoofdstukken boek Flashcards
What kind of tools are nudges?
Nudges are low-cost tools that alert, remind, or mildly warn people by exploiting human psychology, thereby molding behavior in powerful ways.
Libertarian Paternalism
People should be free to do what they want and opt out if they want. Make it easy for people to go their own way but try to make choosers better off as judge by themselves.
Libertarian: choice-preservering & opting out it easy.
Paternalism: guid/influence people’s choices in a way that will make them better off, as judged by themselves. Effort to protect people against their own errors by guiding them to choices they would make if they were fully informed and free from biases.
What are common misconceptions on human decision making that are often found in policy makers?
Misconception 1: It’s possible to avoid influencing people’s choice with nudges.
- Agents must make a choice that will affect the behaviour of some other people.
Misconception 2: paternalism always involves coercion.
- No coercion is involved, so paternaism should be acceptable even to those who most embrace freedom of choice.
(Misconception 3: governments steering citizens choices is manipulative because they use scientific evidence for their own policy.)
Choice architecture
Involves organizing any context in which people make decisions.
Though no design can be perfect, choice architects are always faced with tradeoffs and must make a decision of some sort.
Thus, the question is not whether to go about engaging in choice architecture, but how best to do so.
When are you a choice architect?
If you indirectly influence the choices other people make.
What is the main difference between System 1 and 2?
Speed
True or false: System 1 can guide us in the wrong direction
True, but not always.
It can be adaptive. You have an intuitive understanding of complex cases because your reasoning is automatic.
Anchoring heuristic
You start with an anchor and adjust in a direction you think is appropriate. The adjustment if often insufficient. The more you ask, the more you tend to get.
Nudge by giving a starting point for your thought process. This results in bias when our adjustments are insufficient or when obviously irrelevant anchors creep into the decision-making process.
Through what does anchoring work?
Through framing, starting point and defaults.
Representativeness heuristic
Similarity/stereotype heuristic
We judge how likely it is that A belong to category B by thinking about how similar A is to our stereotype of B. But you ignore base rates.
You use cues other than numbers. You neglect the base rate and think of a stereotype.
‘global = local’
Availability heuristic
People assess the likelihood of risks by asking how readily examples come to mind.
Closely related to availability:
- Accessibility (recent events)
- Salience (vivid and easily imagined)
This can lead to overestimating the probability of recent or dramatic harms and to underestimate the probability of subtle or unfamiliar harms.
What kind of behaviour does the availability heuristic explain?
Risk-related behaviour.
A nudge for the availability heuristic
A nudge can be reminding people of the true probabilites.
Why is the availability heuristic a problem?
Governments allocate resources in a way that fits people’s fears rather than in response to the most likely danger.
What heuristic do travel insurances use to their advantage?
Availability => affect heuristic (substituting fear)
People are more willing to pay for a more fearful situatino.
What heuristic do casinos use to their advantage?
Availability heuristic
They make the memories of winning clearer in our mind due to the sounds and hysteria among a winner. That way you remember these events more easily and think that you will win as well.
Overconfidence
People tend to have self-serving biases through which they focus on their strengths, while overlooking or rejecting their faults.
Regardless of whether the stakes are high or low.
Especially for complicated tasks.
Optimism
A bias where people are unrealistically optimistic.
This explains risk-taking.
An example is the ‘above average effect’.
E.g., not adding money to an emergency fund because you overestimate your job security.