Growth & Model of Production Flashcards
5 positives of GDP as a measure
- easy comparison across time and countries
- objective and direct
- natural metric = money
- increased productive capacity affects healthcare & other welfare related aspects
- Strongly +VE correlated with direct measures of well-being
4 issues with GDP
- income inequality
- more vs less educated workers
- urban vs rural
- externalities
3 steps for macroeconomists
- document facts
- build model to explain facts
- examine model effectiveness
Model =
a mathematical representation of a hypothetical world that we use to study economic phenomena.
Production functions shows
How much output can be produced with a given number of inputs.
production function =
Y = F(K, L) = A bar K^a L^(1-a)
change in Y due to (3)
- change in capital stock
- change in labour
- change in efficiency of production
3 properties of cobb-douglas production fucntion
- Increasing in both inputs
- Decreasing MPK&MPL = concave
- CRS
Argument for CRS
Replication argument: if all factors duplicate, we can set up an identical copy of the production process = output doubled.
Under CRS, how can we express output per worker?
Y/L = F(K/L, L/L) = F(K/L, 1) y = f(k)
What value does alpha take? Why?
alpha = capital share of income = 1/3 in data
1 - alpha = 2/3 = labour share of income
Representative firm problem
MAX Pi = F(K, L) - wL - rK
What do we assume about price of output?
Normalise price to 1
Markets are…
perfectly competitive so w and r are taken as given by a firm.
K hiring rule
MPK = r
alpha A bar (L/K)^1-a = r
alpha (Y/K) = r
L hiring rule
MPL = w
(1-alpha) A bar (K/L)^a = w
(1-alpha) (Y/L) = w
What do we assume about supply of factors?
K = K bar
L = L bar
supply fixed and exogenous
5 endogenous variables
Y, L, K, w, r
5 equations
- production function
- Hiring K rule
- Hiring L rule:
- K market clears: K = K bar
- L market clears: L = L bar
5 solutions to our GE
Y* = A bar K bar^a L bar^1-a L* = L bar K* = K bar r* = alpha Y*/K* = alpha A bar L/K ^2/3 w* = (1-alpha) Y*/L* = (1-a) A bar K/L ^1/3
Link between K and L markets
Supply of K affects wage rate (and supply of L affects rental rate)
Profits in GE
Zero profits in perfect competition
All income paid as remuneration to K and L
rK + wL = Y*
What does developing accounting try to do?
Use postulated production function to account for cross-country differences in GDP.
2 assumptions for developing accounting
- alpha same for all countries = 1/3
2. set A bar = 1 for all countries
Outcomes of developing accounting exercise - is this model any good?
Model over-predicts other countries’ GDP as proportion of USA’s. SO model relying only on change in K = under-predicts cross-country gaps in GDP.
Is it realistic to assume A bar = 1 for all countries?
NO - in reality A bar differs wildly
How much of cross-country GDP differences does capital per person explain?
1/3
How much of cross-country GDP differences does TFP explain?
2/3
So rich countries are richer due to… (2)
- More K per person
2. More importantly, use K and L more efficiently.
Main interpretation of TFP =
technology - tech innovation/adoption
2 other explanations of TFP
Human K - education and skills
Institutions