Global Health - Infectious Disease Flashcards
What are 3 origins of human infections?
- Inherited from our ancestors
- Acquired from wildlife
- Acquired from livestock
What is the fraction of transmission by animal reservoirs and why?
60-70% (2 and 3)
Animal reservoirs = zoonosis
Humans increasingly involved due to interference with animals and because we are a dominant species
What are some world changes in transmission of infectious disease?
- Increasing population density
Faster transmission
Each transmission event is opportunity for increased rate of evolution - Migration of people allows faster transmission as environment is changing for virus very quickly so must adapt to selection pressure
- Airplane travel takes -24hrs (incubation period for most microorganisms)
What is epidemiology?
ability to quantify disease occurrence in populations
What is a case?
person with the disease, health disorder of suffering from the event of interest
How is prevalence calculated?
- frequency of disease in a population at a point in time
- it is a proportion: number of cases/number of people in population
What does prevalence measure?
Measures burden of disease in a population from a cross sectional study
It compares the burden of chronic disease between populations
Prevalence = ALL CASES
What does incidence measure?
Number of new cases of disease within specific time interval
It is a probability/risk that individual will develop disease in that specific time period
Incidence = NEW CASES
What does prevalence depend on?
Number of new cases (incidence) and time they remain cases before death/recovery
How is incidence calculated?
define time period
define total population at risk (denominator)
need an accurate test to define a true cases
What is the challenge of designing a test to define a true case?
Easy for infections with short time period
But chronic disease (HIV hard to find positive antibody test that can identify new infection)
How does incidence influence policy makers?
When incidence near 0, outbreak over
How can incidence stay same but prevalence increase?
People with condition are kept alive e.g. HIV treatment
What is mortality?
number of deaths from specific disease condition in given time period
deaths from disease in given time period/population at start of time period
What does it mean if the mortality = incidence?
Epidemic is stable
What is the contradiction with reduced mortality with HIV?
More people alive with antiretroviral therapy
Mortality reduces - people alive longer
Transmit virus to sexual partners, babies causing incidence to rise
Prevalence also increases as people not dying
Explain the relationship between prevalence and mortality?
Define prevalence and mortality
Is treatment confers survival benefit (ART for those living with HIV), mortality falls and prevalence increases
For rapidly fatal diseases (Ebola) rapid mortality, large number of cases but low prevalence
What is morbidity?
number of cases of ill health, complications and side effects attributed to particular condition over particular time period