Fundamentals Lesson 4 Flashcards
Monetary & Fiscal Policy
Expansion is ____?
Contraction is ____?
Expansion: Loosening
Contraction: Tightening/Slow Down
Shift in Demand Curve due to:
Income
Taxes
Savings Rate
Disposable Income
Shift in Supply Curve due to:
Changes in technology
Competition
Anything other than price
Price at which quantity demanded equals quantity suppliers is:
Equilibrium
Elastic demand:
Responds significantly to changes in price
Almost horizontal
Inelastic demand:
Responds little to change in price
Almost vertical
Business Life Cycle: Peak: Recession: Trough: Expansion:
Peak: inflation, interest rates, GDP - highest / unemployment - lowest
Recession: inflation, interest rates, GDP - decreasing / unemployment - increasing
Trough: inflation, interest rates, GDP - lowest / unemployment - highest
Expansion: inflation, interest rates, GDP - increasing / unemployment - decreasing
Invest in what during: Expansion: Peak: Contraction/Recession: Trough:
Expansion: short-duration bonds & equities
Peak: equities/hard assets (gold & real estate)
Recession: short-term cash & bonds until market settles
Trough: high-duration bonds, stock purchases late in cycle
Consumer durables & capital goods are ____ in nature & fluctuate ____ with the business cycle.
Cyclical
Directly
Example Exam Question: During recession, which is true? 1. Supply of goods & services decreasing 2. Interest rates decreasing 3. Unemployment decreasing 4. Inflation decreasing
A. 1,2,3 B. 1,3 C. 1,2,3,4 D. 1,2,4 E. 1,2
D
GDP vs GNP
Gross Domestic Product: produced in US regardless of ownership
Gross National Product: produced by country’s citizens regardless of where
Recession: __ consecutive months of declining GDP
Depression: __ consecutive months of recession
6
18
Inflation formula:
Inflation = (price levelx - price levelx-1) / price levelx-1
Moderate inflation would be __-__% per year
1-2%
Galloping inflation is when money loses value _____
Very quickly
Deflation:
Opposite of inflation; prefer to hold cash
Disinflation:
Decline or slowdown in rate of inflation
Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures:
Price change in basket of goods & services at retail level
Applicable to consumer purchases (2-3%)
Producer Price Index (PPI) measures:
Price changes in wholesale & manufacturing sectors
Economic indicators:
Leading:
Coincident:
Lagging:
Leading: anticipate changes
Coincident: change along with changes in business cycle
Lagging: summarize or confirm past performance
Leading Indicator Examples
Initial unemployment claims Stock prices Money supple New manufacturing orders New private housing units Consumer sentiment
Coincident Indicator Examples
Employees on payroll
Personal income
Industrial production
Manufacturing sales
Lagging Indicator Examples:
Average duration of unemployment Change in CPI Change in labor cost per unit Consumer credit to income Value of outstanding loans Average price rate charged by banks
Monetary Policy:
Controlled by ____?
Federal Reserve - they control money supply & influence interest rates