Fundamentals Lesson 4 Flashcards
Monetary & Fiscal Policy
Expansion is ____?
Contraction is ____?
Expansion: Loosening
Contraction: Tightening/Slow Down
Shift in Demand Curve due to:
Income
Taxes
Savings Rate
Disposable Income
Shift in Supply Curve due to:
Changes in technology
Competition
Anything other than price
Price at which quantity demanded equals quantity suppliers is:
Equilibrium
Elastic demand:
Responds significantly to changes in price
Almost horizontal
Inelastic demand:
Responds little to change in price
Almost vertical
Business Life Cycle: Peak: Recession: Trough: Expansion:
Peak: inflation, interest rates, GDP - highest / unemployment - lowest
Recession: inflation, interest rates, GDP - decreasing / unemployment - increasing
Trough: inflation, interest rates, GDP - lowest / unemployment - highest
Expansion: inflation, interest rates, GDP - increasing / unemployment - decreasing
Invest in what during: Expansion: Peak: Contraction/Recession: Trough:
Expansion: short-duration bonds & equities
Peak: equities/hard assets (gold & real estate)
Recession: short-term cash & bonds until market settles
Trough: high-duration bonds, stock purchases late in cycle
Consumer durables & capital goods are ____ in nature & fluctuate ____ with the business cycle.
Cyclical
Directly
Example Exam Question: During recession, which is true? 1. Supply of goods & services decreasing 2. Interest rates decreasing 3. Unemployment decreasing 4. Inflation decreasing
A. 1,2,3 B. 1,3 C. 1,2,3,4 D. 1,2,4 E. 1,2
D
GDP vs GNP
Gross Domestic Product: produced in US regardless of ownership
Gross National Product: produced by country’s citizens regardless of where
Recession: __ consecutive months of declining GDP
Depression: __ consecutive months of recession
6
18
Inflation formula:
Inflation = (price levelx - price levelx-1) / price levelx-1
Moderate inflation would be __-__% per year
1-2%
Galloping inflation is when money loses value _____
Very quickly
Deflation:
Opposite of inflation; prefer to hold cash
Disinflation:
Decline or slowdown in rate of inflation
Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures:
Price change in basket of goods & services at retail level
Applicable to consumer purchases (2-3%)
Producer Price Index (PPI) measures:
Price changes in wholesale & manufacturing sectors
Economic indicators:
Leading:
Coincident:
Lagging:
Leading: anticipate changes
Coincident: change along with changes in business cycle
Lagging: summarize or confirm past performance
Leading Indicator Examples
Initial unemployment claims Stock prices Money supple New manufacturing orders New private housing units Consumer sentiment
Coincident Indicator Examples
Employees on payroll
Personal income
Industrial production
Manufacturing sales
Lagging Indicator Examples:
Average duration of unemployment Change in CPI Change in labor cost per unit Consumer credit to income Value of outstanding loans Average price rate charged by banks
Monetary Policy:
Controlled by ____?
Federal Reserve - they control money supply & influence interest rates
3 Main Goals of the Federal Reserve:
- Maintain long term economic growth
- Maintain price levels supported by the economy
- Maintain full employment
Ease Monetary Policy (_____ money supply & _____ interest rates)
Increase money supply & Decrease interest rates
Tighten Monetary Policy (_____ money supply & _____ interest rates)
Decrease money supply & Increase interest rates
4 Tools Federal Reserve Can Use:
- Reserve Requirement
- Discount Rate
- Open Market Operations
- Excess Reserves
Reserve Requirement:
As RR increases, there’s ____ cash available to lend. Money supply ____ & interest rates ____?
Less
Decreases
Increase
Reserve Requirement:
As RR decreases, there’s ____ cash available to lend. Money supply ____ & interest rates ____?
More
Increases
Decrease
Discount Rate:
Overnight interest rate banks can borrow from Fed at to meet RR.
Discount Rate:
As DR decreases, short term interest rates ____?
Decrease
Discount Rate:
As DR increases, short term interest rates ____?
Increase
The Federal Reserve does NOT control the prime lending rate.
DR is banks borrowing from Fed.
Fed Funds Rate is banks from banks.
Open Market Operations:
As Fed buys/sells government securities, money supply is influence & places pressure on interest rates
Open Market Operations:
As Fed buys Treasuries, money supply ____ & interest rates ____?
Money supply increases
Interest rates decrease
Open Market Operations:
As Fed sells Treasuries, money supply ____ & interest rates ____?
Money supply decreases
Interest rates increase
Excess Reserves:
Monies bank holds at Federal Reserve in excess of RR
Expansionary or Contractionary: Increase in RR, Increase in DR, Sales of Treasuries, Increase in Excess RR
Contractionary (Tighten)
Money supply decreases & interest rates increase
Expansionary or Contractionary: Decrease in RR, Decrease in DR, Buying of Treasuries, Decrease in Excess RR
Expansionary (Loosen)
Money supply increases & interest rates decrease