foreign exchange Flashcards
FX market
quote driven
OTC
no central counterparty
two-way prices
spot market (largest)
forward market (speculative)
adjustment +ve
discount
adjustment -ve
premium
IRP
exchange rates be/een 2 currencies for a given date in the future will account of the difference be/een interest rates
covered IRP
FORWARd EXCHANGE rates incorporate difference in interest rates be/een 2 countries
uncovered IRP
difference in interest rates be/een 2 countries equals the expected change #in exchange rates
F/S
(1+rvar)/(1+rbase)
PPP
exchange rates be/een 2 countries currencies will adjust automatically to take into account inflation rates
F/S = (1+ivar)/(1+ibase)
international fischer effect
in a global market with free capital flows the real interest rate will be equal in all countries
F/S =(1+ivar)/(1+ibase)=(1+Rvar)/(1+Rbase)
EXCHANGE rate regimes
fixed: to foreign currency
floating: no intervention, price of domestic currency allowed to reach its own value through demand and supply
managed or ‘dirty-floating’: intervention to coax exchange rate in a direction
arguments for exchange rates
reduced foreign exchange risk
increased gvmnt discipline in economic mngmnt
speculation is discouraged
arguments against exchange rates
no automatic balance of payment adjustment (deficits adjusted only through decrease in aggregate demand)
system requires large holdings of foreign currency reserves
loss of freedom of economic policy
OCA
entire region share singe currency
similar to fixed exchange rate
must have political union to work well