Debt: valuation Flashcards
credit ratings factors
> default
payment priority
projected recovery
financial stability
gross redemption yield
flat yield + profit yield
flat yield (return from coupons)
gross annual coupon/ market price *100%
profit yield
(profit(or loss)/ n)/ market price
bond trading above par and below par
GRY < Flat yield < coupon
GRY > Flat yield > coupon
net redemption yield
income tax on coupon
not tax payable on gain
net coupon
gross coupon*(1-t)
grossed up net redemption yield
compares assets with different tax treatments
NRY / (1-t)
Interest rate effect on bonds can lead to
shift (increase or decrease in yields) or twist (change of shape of curve)
ex-coupon date (cannot receive next coupon payment)
7 business days
dirty price less than clean price
clean price = dirty price on coupon payment date
dirty price =
clean price on coupon payment date
duration
sum(PV of cf * time to CF)/sum(PV of cf)
modified duration (change in price for a 1% change in yield)
> assumes linear
> over estimates price falls
> under estimates price rises
D / (1+r)
changeinprice = -MD * change in r * bonds current price
upward sloping yield curve
forward rate > spot rate > GRY (weighted avg of Forward rate and spot rate)
downward yield curve
forward rate < spot rate < GRY
MODIFIED DURATION
linear assumtion between price and yield
estimated price for bond lower than the actual new price
difference small for smaller change in yields
less accurate for larger changes in yields
estimating forward rates
(1+a)*(1+b)=(1+c)
annuity
P= coupon*1/r(1-1/(1+r)^n) + capital/(1+r)^n
S&P investment grade
AAA
AA
A
BBBB
AAA CC D not subdivided
Moody’s investment grade
Aaa
Aa
A
Baa
Aaa C not subdivided
for credit risk review
financial statement analysis, capital structure, leverage and asset protection
macroeconomic forecasts
industry trends
regulatory developments
bond’s covenant
PBIT/interest payable
operating income/sales
interest-bearing debt/ordinary shareholders funds
GRY cannot be calculated for
undated stocks
warrant stocks
total return
ytm + interest rate + sector/quality + residual effect
decomposing yields
shift return:
changes in the level of the yield curve.
yields increase or decrease by the same amount across all maturities
twist return:
change in slope of yield
yield curve to steepen buy short-dated bonds and sell long-dated
spread return:
generated through taking bonds different to benchmark