Forecasting

Question 1

Name 6 technology forecasting methods and describe the scenario analysis. – 3,5 points

Answer 1

Question 2

Name 6 technology forecasting methods and describe the scenario analysis. – 3,5 points

Answer 2

Question 3

Name 6 technology forecasting methods and describe the scenario analysis. – 3,5 points

Answer 3

1. Lead-user-analysis
2. Scenario Analysis
3. Quality Function Deployment
4. Trend analysis / trend extrapolation
5. Lead-Supplier-Analysis
6. Analysis of R&D Budgets / R&D Projects
7. Publications-/ Patent-Frequency-Analysis

Question 4

Name 6 technology forecasting methods and describe the method lead supplier – 3,5 points

Answer 4

Question 5

Please describe the four steps to set up a monitoring radar. – 2 points

Answer 5

1. Dividing the radar in sectors to structure the search fields
2. “Time axis” to describe the readiness
3. Company based rating of the search fields
4. Assign technologies into the search fields & readiness

Question 6

Please name technology forecasting methods which are suitable for a forecast of more than 20 years. – 1,5 points

Answer 6

• *1.Delphi study
  2. scenarios
  3. lifecycle analysis**

Question 7

What is the main task of knowledge management? – 1 point

Answer 7

to structure knowledge and to make it easy accessible

Question 8

Draw a chart which visualizes the increase of financial involvement on the increase of decision making process. Please name 5 possible forms of involvement – 6 points

Answer 8