FM W2 Flashcards
what is risk
the measure of uncertainty about the future payoff to an investment, assessed over some time horizon, relative to a benchmark
what is the expected value
the mean = sum of probabilities multiplied by their payoffs
what is a risk-free asset
an asset whose return is the risk free rate of return
what is the value at risk
the worst possible loss over a specific horizon at a given probability
what effect does a riskier investment have on the risk premium
increase risk = increase risk premium
what are the two main types of risk
- Affecting a fewer number of people - idiosyncratic and diversifiable.
- Those affecting everyone - systematic and undiversifiable.
2 types of idiosyncratic risk
- Bad for one sector of the economy, but good for another.
- Unique risk specific to one person or one company and no one else.
what is hedging
a way of reducing idiosyncratic risk by making 2 investments with opposing risk to eliminate the risk
what is spreading
reducing idiosyncratic risk by making 2 investments that are unrelated
what is the bond supply curve
the relationship between the price and the quantity of the bonds people are willing to sell, all else being equal
what is the bond demand curve
the relationship between the price and the quantity of the bonds that investors demand, all else being equal
what affects bond supply
- increase gov borrowing = increase supply.
- improved business conditions = increase supply.
- increased expected inflation = reduced cost of borrowing = increased supply.
what affects bond demand
- increase wealth = increase demand.
- increase expected inflation = decrease demand.
- increase interest rates = decrease demand.
- increased liquidity = increase demand
why are bonds risky
- Default risk - the bond’s issuer fails to make the promised payment.
- Inflation risk - investors cannot be sure of what the real value of payments will be.
- Interest-rate risk - investors don’t know the holding period return of a long-term bond.
what is the risk premium
the spread between the interest rates on bonds with default risk and the interest rates on treasury bonds.