Econometrics A Flashcards
What are the two types of data
- Cross-Sectional = observations at a point in time.
- Time-Series = observations of variables over time.
What are the properties of OLS estimators
- Efficiency = lowest variance.
- Unbiasedness = the sampling distribution of the estimator is centred on Q.
- Consistency.
What are errors in hypothesis testing
Type 1 error = rejecting null when it is true.
Type 2 error = not rejecting a false hypothesis.
What are the classical linear regression assumptions
CLRA1 - Model written.
CLRA2 - Explanatory variable is fixed.
CLRA3 - Variation in the X variable.
CLRA4 - Error has expected value of 0.
CLRA5 - No autocorrelation.
CLRA6 - Homoscedasticity.
CLRA7 - Population error is normally distributed.
What are the theoretical results of CLRAs
TR1 - OLS estimators are unbiased.
TR2 - BLUE.
TR3 - Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimator.
CLRAs zero conditional mean
CLRA1 - Model.
CLRA2 - Variation in the X variable.
CLRA3 - Error has expected value of 0.
CLRA4 - Disturbances are conditionally uncorrelated.
CLRA5 - Each disturbance has the same finite variance.
CLRA6 - Population error normally distributed.
What is R^2 and what is the formula
Goodness of fit. R^2 = 1 - (RSS/TSS) = ESS/TSS.
CLRAs multiple regressions
CLRA1 - Model.
CLRA2 - Error has expected value of 0.
CLRA3 - No regressors are constant.
CLRA4 - Not conditionally autocorrelated.
CLRA5 - Conditionally homoscedastic.
CLRA6 - Population error, conditional on the regressors, normally distributed.
What affects standard error of OLS estimators
- Variance of the error - increase variance of error = increase variance of estimator.
- Variance in X variable - decrease variance in X variable = increase standard error.
- Correlation between X and Z - increase correlation = increase standard error.
- Sample size, n - increase n = reduced standard error.
- Number of regressors, k - increase k = increase standard error.
What is mulitcollinearity and how to identify, detect and deal with them
Identify: high variance, low t-values, high R^2 value, wrong signs.
Detecting: use regression results, look at R^2 values.
Dealing: dropping one of the problem variables, use a different source of sample of data, change functional form, use estimated values from previous literature.
What are autocorrelated errors, sources, consequences, how to test for them and how to deal with them
A variable that is correlated with itself at different points in time. Violates CLRA4, errors are now autocorrelated.
Sources: Omission of explanatory variables or dynamic structure.
Consequences: OLS estimators still unbiased, equations for the variances of the OLS estimators are incorrect, OLS is no longer the best estimator (GLS).
Testing: DW test and Breusch-Godfrey test.
Dealing: GLS and Cochrane-Orcutt iterative procedure.
What are heteroscedastic errors, consequences, how to test for them and how to deal with them
Violates CLRA5 - disturbances are now heteroscedastic, the variances are different for each i.
Consequences: OLS estimators are still unbiased, equations for the variances of the OLS estimators are incorrect, OLS no longer best estimator (WLS).
Testing: White’s test, Breusch-Pagan test and Goldfield-Quandt test.
Dealing: Weighted Least Squares (WLS).