First Aid, Chapter 6 Research Principles Flashcards
What is the definition of cross-sectional study? What is an example? What are the strengths and weaknesses?
- Defined: Subjects sampled from a population and data regarding presence or absence of exposure and disease are collected at the same time
- Example: In a specific group, is there a relationship between smoking and lung cancer?
- Strengths: Inexpensive and quick to perform; population-based; and provides a timely “snapshot”
- Weaknesses: Recall bias; lacks time sequence (i.e., it is not always possible to discern whether the exposure preceded or followed the disease)
What is the definition of case series study? What is an example? What are the strengths and weaknesses?
- Defined: Tracks patients with a known exposure who have been given similar treatment, or examines their records for exposure and outcome
- Example: A clinical report on a series of patients
- Strengths: Provides a method of investigating uncommon diseases; inexpensive; and can be hypothesis-generating
- Weaknesses: No control group with which to compare outcomes; no statistical validity; and may be confounded by selection bias
If cost and time were unlimited, which two studies would yield the most robust data?
Cohort and RCT
What is the definition of case control study? What is an example? What are the strengths and weaknesses?
- Defined: Compare subjects who have a condition (the “cases”) with patients who do not have the condition but are otherwise similar (the “controls”), examining how frequently the risk factor is present in each group
- Example: Do women who use hormone replacement therapy (HRT) have reductions in the incidence of heart disease?
- Strengths: Inexpensive and quick study of (several) risk factors; useful in studying infrequent events or when populations would have to be tracked for long periods of time (e.g., development of cancer); and useful for generating odds ratio (OR)
- Weaknesses: Do not indicate the absolute risk of factor in question; suffer from confounders since it can be difficult to separate the “chooser” from the “choice” (e.g., those who wear bike helmets vs. those who choose not to wear bike helmets); and do not show cause and effect; recall bias
What is the definition of cohort study? What is an example? What are the strengths and weaknesses?
- Defined: Form of longitudinal study comparing a group of people who share a common characteristic or experience within a defined period with another group. Importantly, cohort identified before appearance of the disease or condition under investigation
- Examples: Framingham Heart Study and Nurses’ Health Study
- Strengths: Longitudinal observations over time; collection of data at regular intervals; reduced recall error; considered gold standard in observational epidemiology; and useful for generating relative risk (RR)
- Weaknesses: Expensive to conduct, sensitive to attrition, and requires lengthy follow-up time to generate useful data
What is the definition of a randomized control trial? What is an example? What are the strengths and weaknesses?
- Defined: Random allocation of different interventions to subjects
- Example: Comparison of a standard drug therapy with a new experimental medication regimen; comparison of a new drug with placebo group
- Strengths: Consistent selection of subjects and randomization removes most forms of bias
- Weaknesses: Expensive; attrition to or loss of follow-up occurs; and treated individuals may not be fully compliant with treatment
What is a nominal variable? What is an example?
Data in the form of frequencies fitting discrete, distinct categories.
Example: Race; gender; counting a class, where each individual is either a male or a female, and they cannot be ranked numerically by this data
What is an ordinal variable? What is an example?
Measures of physical quantities that can be ranked
Example: Small, medium, large; responses on a Likert scale
What is an interval variable? What is an example?
Differences between the values correspond to real differences between the physical quantities that the scale measures
Example: Differences in height correspond to actual physical differences
What is a type 1 error? Give an example.
Type I Error—Occurs when the null hypothesis is falsely rejected. A p value indicates the chance that an error is made by accepting the difference between treatments when, in reality, there was no true difference.
-Example: The null hypothesis states no difference exists between the response to drug A and the response to drug B.
o Drug A increased (forced expiratory volume in 1 second) (FEV1) by 0.41 L
o Drug B increased FEV1 by 0.05 L
o p
What is a type 2 error? Give an example.
Type II Error—Occurs when the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is false. In other words, the study fails to find a true difference when one is actually present. A common reason for a type II error is that the sample size is too small.
-Example: The null hypothesis states that there is no difference between the response to drug A and drug B.
o Drug A increased FEV1 by 0.26 L
o Drug B increased FEV1 by 0.09 L
o p = 0.25
-Conclusion: Drug A is “not significantly” better than drug B.
What is the statistical power of a study?
The percentage chance that a difference will be detected if a difference does exist.
-Calculation: 1 minus the probability of a type II error. For example, if the probability of a type II error in a study is 5%, the statistical power of the study is 95%.
What percentage of a bell-shaped normally distributed population is within 1 standard deviation? 2 standard deviations?
Produces a bell-shaped curve, where 68% of observations are within one standard deviation (1 SD), and 95% of observations are within 2 SD. Thus, 2.5% of observations are greater than 2 SD above the 95% level, and 2.5% are less than the 95% level. These two populations of 2.5% of observations represent the “two tails” of the bell-shaped curve.
What is a p-value?
Express the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis due to chance, when the null hypothesis is true (type I error). Example: If p = 0.05, there is a 5% chance that the observed results are due to chance alone.
What is an odds ratio?
The probability of occurrence of an event over the probability of nonoccurrence. For example, OR = odds that a case was exposed / odds that a control was exposed. Here, however, the term odds can be defined differently, according to the situation.
What is relative risk?
The ratio of the risk of disease (or death) among people who are exposed to the risk factor compared with the risk among people who are not exposed. Alternatively, relative risk can be defined as the ratio of the cumulative incidence rate among those exposed compared with the rate among those not exposed. In either case, the term relative risk is synonymous with risk ratio.
What is prevalence?
The percentage of the population with existing disease (at one time point or during one time period) and, as such, is a measure of present disease (prevalence = present).
What is incidence?
Incidence—The number of new disease cases in the population over an interval of observation (incidence = new).
What is sensitivity? What is the calculation?
Sensitivity—The fraction of all true cases the test detects (i.e., among those who have the disease, it refers to how many test positive).
- Defined as true-positive tests or number with disease
- Sensitivity is associated with the false-negative rate of a test; and, therefore, can be used to rule out disease. For tests with a low false-negative rate, a negative result rules out disease. (Recall tip: SNout.) -Calculation: Sensitivity = true positive / (true positive + false negative) or a/(a +c)
What is the specificity of a test?
Specificity—The fraction of all negative cases the test detects (i.e., among those who do not have the disease, it refers to how many test negative).
- Defined as true-negative tests / number without the disease
- Tests with high specificity are associated with a low number of false positives and can be used to rule in disease. (Recall tip: SPin.)
- Calculation: Specificity = true negative / (false positive + true negative) or d/(b + d)
What is the positive predictive value? What is the calculation?
Positive Predictive Value (PPV)—Describes the probability that a positive test indicates disease.
Calculation: PPV = True positive / (true positive + false positive) or a/(a + b)
-PPV determines how many actually have the disease from among those who test positive. This information is found on the first row of a 2 × 2 table (Table 6-3).
What type of error occurs when the null hypothesis is falsely rejected?
Type I error
What is the negative predictive value? What is the calculation?
Negative Predictive Value (NPV) —Describes the probability that a negative test indicates no disease
- Calculation: NPV = True negative / (true negative + false negative) or c/(c + d).
- Values for NPV calculation are found on the second row of a 2 × 2 table (Table 6-3).
- Example: A new allergy test finds that, in patients with the disease, 80 are positive (true positives), whereas 5 without the disease tested positive (false positives). Of those testing negative, 95 do not have the disease (true negatives); but 20 that had the disease tested negative (false negatives). Table 6-4 shows details of the constructed 2 × 2 table in this scenario.
What is the formula for absolute risk reduction? Relative risk? Relative risk reduction? Number needed to treat?
ARC = the AR of events in the control group
ART = the AR of events in the treatment group
Absolute risk reduction (ARR) = ARC – ART
Relative risk (RR) = ART/ARC
Relative risk reduction (RRR) = (ARC – ART)/ARC
RRR = 1 – RR
Number
needed to treat (NNT) = 1/ARR