Financial Crisis III Flashcards
Start of the financial crisis in Europe
2007: subprime crisis in the USA –> effect on European Banks
september 2008: breakdown of Lehman Brother –> difficulties for other banks (bad loans, mistrust) –> investors reduced bank deposits
Start of the financial crisis in Europe
Credit crunch =
credit crisis, reduction of availability of loans
Start of the financial crisis in Europe
Effect on industry:
Effect on industry: 20% production decrease
German strategy
Follow Keynesian theory:
support banks with equity, loans and guarantees
increase government spending
increase support of industry (e.g reduce working hours)
Effects of german policy on business
- Banks in danger of insolvency were rescued –> trust in banks restored
- Automotive industry recovered because of car-scrap bonus
- industry in general recovered because of increased government support
- since industry kept qualified staff, recovery was easier
France Strategy
Follow Keynesian theory:
Support banks with equity, loans and guarantees
Increase government spending –> positive effects on banks & business in general
Industry profited also from german car-scrap bonus
Consequences of France and german strategy
no further bank insolvencies, industry recovered (rating AAA) get and far are important for backing the Euro restore fund
face between 2012-2013 downgraded
compare the economic situation of Greece and Spain and other MS with Ger & Fra
- GDP growth
- Unemployment rate
- Overall government debt
- Inaction rate
- Long-term interest rates
Economic policies EBC and IMF suggested Greece to pursue
2010: greece received loan commitments of IMF, ECB and EMU member countries to be able to pay interest on government debts
–> condition: greece should reduce government expenditure by 8% in 2011
reality: recession –> less revenues -> increasing government spending
Effects of loans condition:
- tax increases
- Reduction of government employment –> unemployment rises –> further recession
Economic policies EBC and IMF suggested Greece to pursue
Second rescue package:
Second rescue package: New loans with reduced interest rates longer term loans Banks reduce their claims support for reconstruction of Creek economy by EU (support for underdeveloped regions) increase of leverage of Euro rescue fund
Economic policies EBC and IMF suggested Greece to pursue
Spring 2012
Spring 2012: reduction of claims of private creation of 100 bn
Condition: Greece shall sell movement property and continue to reduce expenditure (increase taxes)
Greek reaction:
Reduction government expenditure
stat of privatization of state enterprises
Continuing protest because of continuing recession
Continued discussion about free fulfillment of required measures by IFM ECB EU
difficult social situation in Greece, political tension and protest