EXpansion considerations Flashcards

1
Q

make use of any local debt financing

A

eg

management should take note of the fact that the interest rates in
Kenya are much higher than in South Africa. Interest rates in Namibia are
closer to that of South Africa.

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2
Q

Currency risk

A

Once Breeze operates in more than one country, its operations would
have greater exposure to foreign currency risk. The severity of this
exposure is influenced by the exchange rates of
the different countries.

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3
Q

Distance

A

delays and
damage during transportation. This would imply

further away from Cape Town, the greater the
transportation cost and possible chance of damage.

geographically,
it would suggest that it would be the cheapest (and easiest) from a
transportation perspective

A closer venue will also make managing the foreign office easier: it
will be faster to travel to the site, the cost of travelling
would be generally lower, and there are less time differences. All of
these would favour expansion to Namibia

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4
Q

Language barriers

A

The fact that the main business language in Morocco is French, rather
than English, presents a risk that miscommunication could occur
when instructions are sent from the head office in South Africa,
contract with customers could be more difficult and there could
be possible miscommunication between
supervisors and locally sourced staff

The miscommunication could lead to a loss of customers
and/or reputational damage/incurring additional costs for
translation or legal services.

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5
Q

GDP per capita and higher GDP growth

A

Countries with higher GDP per capita and higher GDP growth have
greater need and capacity to invest in new infrastructure. All of the
countries being considered have higher GDP growth rates than in
South Africa and are therefore
more attractive for investment, although Kenya has the highest
growth rate of the three (nearly three times SA’s growth rate).

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6
Q

low GDPs

A

The low GDPs also indicate a higher degree of poverty in the country:
this could possibly indicate or lead to higher crime rates, more
political unrest, more hijackings/piracy, etc. Kenya
has the lowest GDP of the countries under investigation.

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7
Q

lowest GDP growth rate

A

Morocco also has the lowest GDP growth rate, which seemsto
indicate that economic recovery may take longer / be slower than for
the other countries.

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8
Q

Higher unemployment rates

A

could be an opportunity, as governments
in these countries are more likely to support new investments that
create jobs, and Breeze is known for creating
jobs in SA.

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9
Q

very low unemployment rates

A

This could
mean that it may be difficult to find the right skilled people who are
available to start working for the foreign office within the next year,
or that premiums will have to be paid to acquire skilled workers.

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10
Q

Liveability scores - Life style

eg similarity in the liveability index scores of Morocco and
South Africa

A

it may be easier to convince SA staff members to work
in Morocco to supplement a local skills shortage. / Given the
relatively low liveability index score of Kenya and Namibia, it may be
difficult to convince South African staff members to work and live
there, even on a temporary basis.
(for example: health, safety, quality of life, transport)

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11
Q

Regulatory risk

A

Doing business in other countries with different laws and regulations
could lead to increased regulatory risk. From the ease of doing
business scores, Morocco and Kenya (which both rank lower than
South Africa) would present higher regulatory
risk than Namibia

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12
Q

Current environmental performance

A

Kenya has the highest environmental performance score but has seen
no improvement in its environmental score over the past ten years

In addition, Kenya already generates over 70% of its electricity
from renewable sources. This reduces the need for
urgency in investing in new renewable energy projects, such as wind
energy (i.e. limited growth prospects).

With such a high level of renewable sources already being used in
Kenya, it is also likely that competition between providers of
alternative energy would be stiff – the market is nearly saturated

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13
Q

Countries with lower levels of renewable sources are likely to have
less (but growing) competition levels

A

obtain a first-mover advantage

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14
Q

improvement in its environmental score

A

Namibia has shown a better improvement in its environmental score
over the past ten years and obtains only 26,5% of its electricity from
renewable sources. This potentially presents a
better opportunity for growth than Kenya.

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15
Q

Morocco has shown the most improvement in its environmental score
over the past ten years. This suggests increasing government and
societal support for investment in
environmental activities.

A

highest tax rate which leads to the lowest
return on investment for Breeze

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16
Q

tax rates

A

All countries’ tax rates are higher than that of SA, but other taxes
such as taxes on fuel, VAT, UIF, import duties, etc., also
need to be considered.

17
Q

double-tax
agreements

A

Do any of the countries in question have double-tax
agreements with SA? If so, this should be taken into account in
assessing the expected net cash flow

18
Q

potential level of
demand and pricing

A

As such, for demand to exist, there must be
government regulation to allow new wind farms
to feed into / sell to the national electricity grid

19
Q

culture

A

If the culture in other countries is significantly different to that in South
Africa staff might struggle which could increase the rotation of staff
members stationed in these countries

20
Q

political and socio-economic landscape

A

needs to be investigated in more
detail. For example: The level of corruption in the various countries. It could
be tough to operate in countries where
bribery and corruption is rife or where there is notable political instability.

21
Q

cost of operation

A

What is the cost of operation in each country? If these are too high,
it may not be viable to set up an office in another country.

22
Q

exchange controls

A

Consider any exchange controlsin the various countries. The risk of
repatriating funds to SA should be taken into consideration.

23
Q

resources

A

The availability of resources (other than labour) and infrastructure in
the prospective countries needs to be considered.

24
Q

incentive schemes

A

Does any of the countries have specific incentive schemes (e.g. low tax
rates, rebates) for new operations (or new renewable energy
operations) that are started by foreign investors?

25
Q

limited experience

A

In addition, Breeze has limited experience with construction timelines in the
rest of Africa, except for Kenya, which may lead to variable consideration
from performance bonuses being constrained. This could put pressure on
revenue in the early years of expansion
and thereby impact on the cash flows of the firm

26
Q

other SA companies

A

Consider whether other SA companies are operating in the identified
country – if not, why not?
For example: Local banking partner operating there?

27
Q
A
28
Q

travel requirements

A

Consider travel requirementsfor staff travelling to the foreign offices.
For example, visas, medical requirement, COVID-19 vaccine passports
(Kenya requires a yellow fever inoculation)