excess mortality Flashcards
in terms of being biologists, why are we interested in excess mortality
we are interested in:
- the health of individuals
- what determines health
- what factors are modifiable
- what can we do to improve health
how does the male and female life expectancy in Scotland compare to Europe and the rest of the UK
lower than the rest of Europe
lower than England and wales
how does the male and female life expectancy in west and central Scotland compare to European cities
it is lower than other European cities
out of all the UK cities, which one has the lowest life expectancy
Glasgow
what is the second lowest UK city in terms of life expectancy and is the gap between this city and the life expectancy of Glasgow big or small
Manchester
the gap between the life expectancy of the 2 cities is quite big
is Glasgow the only area in Scotland that falls below the life expectancy average
no there are other areas but it is the lowest
what area of Scotland has the lowest life expectancy
west central Scotland
what are Glasgow’s biggest killers
CVD T2D stroke cancer obesity alcohol drugs suicide
why can we not say that the lower life expectancy in Glasgow is due to socioeconomic deprivation and poverty
because other cities have similar socioeconomic background but with higher life expectancy so there must be other influencing factors
what does the Dahlgen and Whitehead model show
the link between socioeconomic, cultural and environmental factors on health
what factors have been used to assess deprivation for research into the Glasgow effect before
- car ownership - might not show deprivation - is sometimes a choice now
- male unemployment - why only male
- % of social class IV and V and overcrowding
what are most deaths in Scottish men caused by
heart disease
lung cancer
external causes (alcohol etc)
how do we know if a factor causes a health outcome or is merely associated with it
we can do different types of experiments to infer this
what are the different possibilities of relationship between 2 variables
X can cause Y Y can cause X X and Y are associated by artefact X and Y are associated by chance X and Y can be caused by Z, a third factor called a cofounder
what is a risk factor
something that increases your likelihood of getting a disease
what are the 2 types of risk factor
modifiable and non-modifiable
give 3 examples of modifiable risk factors
smoking, physical activity, diet
give 3 examples of non modifiable risk factors
age, ethnicity, family history
what were Glasgow’s most prominent risk factors in the past
overcrowding
slums
high risk manual labour in shipyards
high unemployment when the shipyard closed
what are the most prominent risk factors in Glasgow now
smoking
obesity
sedentary lifestyle
how many hypotheses are there as to why excess mortality exists
more than 40
what is excess mortality
where the number of deaths recorded is greater than the number expected on the basis of past data
what is more controlled, field or lab research
lab
what does a research design provide
a framework for the collection and analysis of data
what are the benefits of lab research
- controlled environment
- high end equipment
what are the challenges of field research
- accessibility - lots of unforeseen logistics
- much less control of the environment
a research design reflects the aims of the research, what does this include
in terms of the activity study
- expressing causal connections between variables
- generalizing beyond participants in the investigation
- understanding health risk/outcomes/behaviour over time
what are the steps in creating the research design framework
- previous research/gap/theory
- hypothesis
- aims and objectives/research questions - clear and neither too broad or too narrow
- descriptive (what’s going on)
- explanatory (why- causation) - needs to be researchable
- research methods
- quantitative
- qualitative
what are the 2 main quantitative study criteria
reliability and validity
what is reliability
refers to the consistency of an instrument/measurement
are the result repeatable
what are the 2 main types of reliability
internal consistency
inter rata
reliability is necessary but not sufficient in determining ……..…..
validity
what is validity
refers to the accuracy of an instrument/measurement
the degree to which you are measuring what you claim to measure
what are the different types of validity
measurement validity
internal validity
external validity - ecological validity - can the measurement be taken then translated and generalized to a real life situation
what is internal validity
the extent to which changes in the study dependent variable can be attributed to changes in the independent variable
what kind of studies have the highest internal validity
studies with control and randomisation
what is external validity
the extent to which the results can be generalised to another setting
the higher the ………….. validity the more the generalizability and external validity are compromised
internal
what are the 2 different broad types of research design
exploratory - pilot
conclusive
what are the 2 different types of conclusive research design
causal
descriptive
what are the 2 different types of causal research
RCT
Quasi
what are the 2 different types of descriptive research
cross sectional
longitudinal
what is meant by powered and non powered in primary and secondary outcomes of causal evaluation
it is to do with the number of cases in the study
the primary outcome needs to have enough cases to be able to draw a conclusion but can’t have too many as that would be unethical and time wasting
the secondary outcome does not need to be powered
what is quasi-experimental design
impact of an intervention without random assignment
what is the one group before and after design
measure outcome in exposed group before intervention apply intervention measure outcome again estimate the effect of the intervention can we immediately conclude - NO
what is secular change
saw effect due to something other than the intervention
what is the two group before and after design
2 groups - one exposed to the intervention and one not
measure baseline outcome in both groups
expose one group to intervention
measure outcome of both groups again
estimate effect of intervention by comparing groups
can we conclude immediately - NO
how can we solve participant and researcher bias
blinding system - researchers and participants don’t know the assignment of the groups
describe the Lanarkshire milk experiment
teachers put children into milk and non-milk groups but they generally put smaller less nourished children into the milk category which created a bias
study found that milk group were smaller and lighter but in reality the 2 groups were just not the same at baseline
what is a randomised control trial
randomisation is used to allocate people to the groups
measure at baseline
intervention is applied to the intervention group
measure the outcome
estimate the effect
why do we randomise
to eliminate bias and ensure there are no systematic differences between groups
what are limitations of randomised control trials
- can be large and expensive
- participants need to be willing
- ethics often questioned
- cannot always randomise individuals e.g. primary school children but can randomise groups e.g. 2 primary schools
- those randomised to control may not maintain their commitment - major threat to differential drop out
- external validity lowered due to highly controlled manner of RCTs
what is a cross-sectional study
snap shot study
each participant assessed at one point in time
allows researchers to look at many things at once
designed to determine what is happening now
cannot assume causation, only association
what are the 3 different types of sampling
random
stratified
convenience
what is random sampling
every member of the population has an equal chance of being picked
which type of sampling is the most representative
random
what is stratified sampling
separate groups e.g. ethnic minority vs. majority then sample systematically to ensure you have adequate samples in each group
what is convenience sampling
take those people who are available e.g. door knocking
which type of sampling is least representative
convenience - representability is questioned
what is a longitudinal design
involves measuring participants at more than one point in time
observing change in these participants gives a better basis for causal inferences than a cross sectional design
what are the challenges of analysing field data
data often messy - needs extensive cleaning
data missing - needs imputation
what are the different types of statistical testing
standard descriptive stats e.g. mean and stdv
comparison of means using t test
more complex tests (modelling) can also be carried out to look at associations
the more risk factors you have the greater/smaller your chance of getting a disease
greater
what is another name for a non-modifiable risk factor
biological risk factor
can the effect of non modifiable risk factors be reduced through changing modifiable risk factors
yes
modifiable risk factors could have an additive adverse effect on our health, what does this mean
combined risk factors increase you chance of getting a disease compared to risk factors on their own
what are disease genes and give 2 examples
genes that determine that you are going to get a disease
e.g. BRCA and CFTR
what are susceptibility genes
genes that increase the risk of getting a disease
what is genomics
looking at the while genome and its interactions
what is precision medicine
individual response to certain treatment
what is ageing
change in physiological function/cellular metabolism over time
what is senescence
the decline of fitness components of an individual with increasing age, owing to internal deterioration
what is gerontology
the scientific study of the biological, psychological and sociological phenomena associated with old age and ageing
what is geriatrics
the branch of medicine that deals with the diagnosis and treatment of diseases and problems specific to the aged
what is biogerontology
the study of the biology of ageing and longevity
what are the changes seen in the trajectories
the population demographic is changing
people are living longer
by 2050 over 15% of the worlds population will be over 65
in about 5 years the number of people over 65 will outnumber children under the age of 5 - this is driven by falling fertility rates and remarkable increases in life expectancy
what is a non-communicable disease
non-infectious - strongly linked to ageing
what is the leading non-communicable disease
CVD
what is the biggest risk factor for dementia
age
five examples of age related diseases
arthritis cancer alzhiemers diabetes heart disease depression
give examples of age related conditions
loss of hearing, vision etc
loss of coordination
increased proportion of fat to muscle
loss of bone density
worldwide women live an average of …… years longer than men
4
list some sex differences in diseases
men more likely to commit suicide
women more susceptible to depression and anxiety
most common cancer in women - breast
most common cancer in men - prostate
prostate cancer is a bigger killer than breast cancer
what is the effect of men and women having different fat and muscle distribution
can affect metabolic risk factors, cholesterol etc
different ethnicities have higher rates of poor health give some examples
some ethnic groups are more susceptible to T2D
some ethnic groups are more susceptible to CVD - indian Asian > European > african carribean - CVD risk also increase in those with diabetes
do reliability and validity apply to qualitative data
no
what is the point of qualitative data
usually for understanding how things work or to get an in depth understanding or a phenomenon
what are the 2 types of probability sampling for quantitative data
random
stratified
why don’t we use probability sampling for qualitative data
social factors are not predictable like objects
randomized events are irrelevant to social life
probability sampling is expensive and inefficient
what type of sampling do we use for qualitative studies
non-probability sampling - purposive sampling
what is purposive sampling
used to get an in depth understanding of a phenomenon
- where you understand the population that you are interested in and you sample across that population to get a broad range of views
- need to understand what the different types of experience may be then sample people accordingly
qualitative researchers seek saturation, what does this mean
when you stop getting new information
number aren’t an issue its more about if you have learned enough
do qualitative studies need to be powered
no
you just need to have sufficient cases in the study to be able to detect a significant difference in the outcome
qualitative researchers seek saturation, what do quantitative researchers look for
statistical validity
what is meant by qualitative data being analysed thematically
to answer the research question but also to reveal any unanticipated themes
is qualitative research deductive or inductive
generally inductive
what is meant by deductive
hypothesis and study designed to address it - hypothesis found to be correct or incorrect
what is meant by inductive
looking at interview transcripts and detecting theme within them - anything related to the research question and anything unrelated also
what are the steps in inductive analysis from initial observation to forming a theory
observation
pattern
tentative hypothesis
theory
how can we integrate quantitative and qualitative studies
we can use a quantitative study to test the theory or hypothesis created from a qualitative study
what is meant by qualitative analysis being highly subjective
how it is interpreted often depends on ones knowledge and background
we need teamwork to ensure analysis is robust (double coding and discussion)
give an overview of the lecturer’s football trial
use the loyalty men have to their football team to encourage them to attend a weight loss programme
aim - to see if the programme was effective in helping men lose weight 12 months after being in the 12 week programme
what were the main reasons to do the football trial
male obesity increasing rapidly in Scotland
almost 4/5 of middle aged men in Scotland are overweight or obese
what are barriers to weight loss for men
slimming and dieting to them are female activities
they are happy with their size
they control their weight through exercise
avoid NHS/commercial weight loss programmes
in the football trial why were the control group offered an opportunity to take part in the programme after the trial
because they were pretty certain it was going to be effective