Exam #3 Review Flashcards
In the context of data patterns in a time series, _____ are characterized by repeatable periods of ups and downs over short periods of time.
a. random variations
b. seasonal patterns
c. cyclical patterns
d. irregular variations
b. seasonal patterns
Pizza delivery peaks on weekends
In the context of data patterns in a time series, _____ are regular patterns in a data series that take place over long periods of time.
a. random variations
b. seasonal patterns
c. cyclical patterns
d. irregular variations
c. cyclical patterns
In the context of data patterns in a time series, _____ are unexplained deviation of a time series from a predictable pattern.
a. random variations
b. seasonal patterns
c. cyclical patterns
d. irregular variations
a. random variations
In the context of data patterns in a time series, _____ are one‐time variations that are explainable.
a. random variations
b. seasonal patterns
c. cyclical patterns
d. irregular variations
d. irregular variations
After the 9/11 terrorist attacks, forecasts that predicted financial trends and airline passenger volumes were discarded due to the effects of this one‐time event
Marvin Windows conducted a regression analysis. They predicted that the sales are related to time by a linear function y = 240 + 340t. Using simple linear regression, calculate the forecast for sales in year 6.
a. 580
b. 2,280
c. 2,550
d. 1,350
b. 2,280
y = 240 + 340t
= 240 + 340 (6)
= 2,280
Alex, a manager at Symbic Inc., plotted the company’s total energy costs of 1 billion dollars over the past 10 years on a chart. The chart suggested that the energy costs appear to be increasing in a fairly predictable linear fashion and that the energy costs are related to time by a linear function y = 3 + 5t, where y represents the estimate of the energy cost in year t. Given the equation, which of the following is the value of the intercept of the straight line that best fits the time series?
a. 1
b. 3
c. 5
d. 10
b. 3
y = 3 + 5t
Intercept value is b0, or 3
Coefficient of independent variable is b1, or 5
_____ occurs when the average unit cost of a good or service begins to decrease as the capacity and/or volume of throughput increases.
a. Economies of scale
b. Diseconomies of scale
c. Demand flags
d. Nonphysical constraints
a. Economies of scale
_____ occurs when the average unit cost of a good or service begins to increase as the capacity and/or volume of throughput increases.
a. Economies of scale
b. Diseconomies of scale
c. Demand flags
d. Nonphysical constraints
b. Diseconomies of scale
Greyon Spinning mills Inc. owns 600 spinning machines. Out of these, only 500 are used in a given year. Given this information, the utilization of spinning machines are Greyon Spinning Mills Inc. is _____.
a. 0.75
b. 0.83
c. 0.90
d. 1.2
b. 0.83
Utilization = Resources Used / Resources Available
500 / 600
At Rues and West Bros., a spare parts manufacturing company, the most important competitive priority is quality. Only a few key spare parts are produced using similar process designs. In this scenario, Rues and West Bros. _____.
a. is a focused factory
b. has no throughput
c. is an unfocused factory
d. uses a mass customizable strategy
a. is a focused factory
Suppose that the time for the first unit is 250 minutes, and we start an 80% learning curve. How much time will the 6th unit take?
a. 220.45
b. 180.89
c. 140.42
d. 120.18
c. 140.42
y = a * x^b
a = time to produce first unit
x = unit you are interested in
b = Log P / Log 2
Log P is learning curve rate
Log (0.80) / Log 2 = - 0.32
y = 250 * 6^ (- 0.32)
= 140.42
In one method of calculating utilization, _____ is divided by Resources Available.
a. Resources Used
b. Service Rate
c. Number of Servers
d. Resource Capacity
a. Resources Used
Besides resources used divided by resources available, what is another way to calculate resource utilization?
Demand Rate / (Service Rate * # of Servers)
_____ time is the average time it takes to complete one cycle of a process.
a. Flow
b. Mean
c. Standard
d. Elemental
a. Flow
Analytical queuing models assume a Poisson probability distribution for _____.
a. arrivals
b. demands
c. service times
d. departures
a. arrivals