Exam 1 Flashcards
What are the main obstacles to our understanding of nuclear issues?
Technical complexity, technological evolutions, secrecy, misleading rhetoric, lack of observable facts, limits of experts, nuclear issues are entangled with larger questions
What are the consequences of the obstacles to our understanding of nuclear issues?
Fundamental disagreements and major gaps in knowledge
What are the two processes to developing nukes?
Uranium enrichment and plutonium reprocessing
What is uranium enrichment based on?
Uranium 235
What are the advantages/disadvantages of uranium 235?
Advantage: easier to hide
Disadvantages: More complex and expensive
What are the civilian applications of nuclear technology?
Producing electricity, medical care, motor energy, peaceful nuclear explosions (mining/earthworks)
How many nuclear weapons exist today?
13,355 warheads
How many nuclear weapons existed in the 1980s?
about 70,000
How many nukes could be produced with the worlds fissile materials?
Hundreds of thousands
How many nuclear tests have been conducted?
2056
What is the combined yield of all of the world’s nuclear tests?
500 megatons, or 16,000 Hiroshimas
What are some of the consequences of nuclear weapon development?
Medical and environmental
What are the current nuclear weapon states?
US, Russia, UK, France, China, Israel, India, Pakistan, North Korea
When did the US first develop a nuclear weapon?
1945
How many weapons are currently in the arsenal of the US?
5,800
When did Russia first develop the nuclear weapon?
1949
How many weapons are in Russia’s arsenal today?
6,370
When did the UK first develop the nuclear weapon?
1952
How many weapons are currently in the arsenal of the UK?
215
When did France first develop the nuclear weapon?
1960
How many nuclear weapons are in France’s arsenal?
300
When did China first develop the atomic weapon?
1964
How many weapons are currently in China’s arsenal?
290
When did Israel first develop the atomic weapon?
late 1960s-70s
How many weapons are in Israel’s arsenal?
80
When did India first develop the atomic weapon?
1998
How many nuclear weapons are in India’s arsenal?
130
When did Pakistan first develop the nuclear weapon?
1998
How many nuclear weapons are in Pakistan’s arsenal?
150
When did North Korea develop the atomic weapon?
2006
How many weapons are in North Korea’s arsenal?
20
How many weapons are dispersed around the world under the NATO sharing agreement?
150-200
What scientific discoveries lead to the Manhattan Project?
Einstein’s theory of special relativity and Rutherford’s discovery of the atomic nucleus
What was the origin of the Manhattan Project?
Fears of a Nazi nuclear program
Who led the Manhattan project?
Oppenheimer
How many people were involved in the Manhattan project?
500,000
What was the total cost of the Manhattan Project?
$21 billion
When was the first ever nuclear test?
July 16, 1945
When was the bomb dropped on Hiroshima?
August 6, 1945
What was the name of the bomb dropped on Hiroshima?
Little boy
What type of bomb was dropped on Hiroshima?
Uranium
What was the death toll in Hiroshima?
90,000-160,000
When was the atomic bomb dropped on Nagasaki?
August 9, 1945
What was the name of the bomb dropped on Nagasaki?
Fat man
What type of bomb was dropped on Nagasaki?
Plutonium
What was the death toll in Nagasaki?
60,000-80,000
Did traditionalists think the US had to drop the nuclear bomb?
Yes
Why did traditionalists say the US had to drop the nuclear bomb?
To end the war and avoid losing hundreds of thousands of American lives in an invasion of Japan
Did the revisionists think that the US had to drop the atomic bomb?
No
Why didn’t revisionists think the US had to drop the atomic bomb?
Japan was ready to surrender and expected US casualties were not as high as stated
What did revisionists say the real rationale of the US dropping the atomic bomb on Japan was?
To intimidate the Soviets and racism
What is the view of middle ground scholars on whether the US had to drop the atomic bomb?
Japan was not about to surrender, the bomb helped accelerate the end of the war, Truman deserves credit for his humanist approach, but there were other alternatives to invading Japan
What is the nuclear revolution theory?
Nukes have changed IR forever
What is the dominant view on the end of WWII?
The nuclear weapons dropped on Japan ended the war
What is the counter-argument on the end of WWII?
Soviet entry into the war on Japan ended WWII
What is the evidence that nukes were not a game changer?
Effectiveness of traditional bombing raids, view of US leaders, and the lack of focus in Japan on the nuke
How many nukes did US leaders expect to drop by November of 1945?
At least 10
How many days after Hiroshima did it take for Japan’s Supreme Council to meet?
3 days
Was the nuke at the heart of the Supreme Council of Japan’s decision making at the end of WWII?
No
Why did we overestimate the impact of the atomic bomb?
Archives were destroyed, apparent link between timing of bombs and Japan’s surrender, US talking up the bomb to claim credit, Japan taking up the bomb to please the US
How many nuclear tests did the US conduct in the Marshall Islands?
About 100
Why does it matter that we reassess the role of nukes in 1945?
Because it is the only case of nukes being used, its a crucial case to assess the roles of nukes in International Relations
What assumptions are made when discussing the nuclear revolution?
Leaders will act with more caution, military victory/conquest is no longer possible, and building huge nuclear arsenals is pointless
What is the concept of deterrence?
The prevention of action by the fear of consequences, in nuclear weapons talk, having a secure second strike
What is the assumption made about nuclear deterrence?
It will enhance security
What are the questions states must ask when practicing deterrence?
What do you want to deter, how many nukes, where will they be deployed, what delivery vehicles, what level of readiness, is nuclear war fighting even an option
What is the policy of minimum deterrence?
Deter nuclear attacks only on the homeland and no first use
What are nuclear weapons like in minimum deterrence states?
Few weapons and low accuracy
What is the alert status in minimum deterrence states?
Low alert, de-targeted weapons, de-mated weapons
What are the examples of minimum deterrence states?
China and North Korea
What is the doctrine of limited deterrence?
Deter nuclear attacks on the homeland and deter some other attacks (chemical/biological)
What are nuclear weapons like in limited deterrence states?
Few weapons but accuracy matters
What is the alert status in minimum deterrence states?
Some assets on alert
What are the examples of limited deterrence states?
Uk, France, and India
What is the doctrine of maximum deterrence?
Deter all major attacks on the homeland and allies, seek the ability to destroy other arsenals, and strategize nuclear warfighting
What’re nuclear weapons like in maximum deterrence states?
Huge numbers of weapons with huge accuracy
What is the alert status in maximum deterrence states?
High alert globally, targeted and acted, ready for preemptive use
What are the examples of maximum deterrence states?
US, Russia
What are some ways deterrence don’t guarantee stability?
Risk of a security dilemma, risk of miscalculation, emboldenment, deterrence is even more unstable during crises, and some leaders can be irrational
What happened at the Potsdam conference in 1945?
Truman informed Stalin about the nuke
What did Truman hope would happen when he told Stalin the US had a nuke?
Stalin would endure a US led international order