Evidence Based Dentistry Flashcards
define risk
what are the chances?
can be good or bad
define outcome
something that might happen
what you actually measure
to do with statistics and epidemiology
what are statistics
numbers that summarise information
based on observations of large number of people
useful in predicting what is likely to happen in the future
the chance that an outcome will happen
use fractions = differences between 2 numbers
what is the numerator
top number in a fraction
number of people who actually experience the outcome
what is the denominator
bottom number in fraction
number of people who could potentially experience the outcome
what are risks and odds
ways of expressing chance in numbers
for binary events - they just express the chance of being in one of the 2 states
define risk in terms of numbers
number of events of interest / total number of observations
usually expressed as % or by saying the risk of the event happening was number in number eg one in four
define odds
number of events of interest / number of observations minus the event
usually not expressed as a %
the chances of the event were fraction of the chances of not the event eg one third of the chance
what questions should you ask to interpret risk?
risk of what?
- what is the outcome
how big is the risk?
- what are the chances
- out of how many
- what is the time frame
does the risk apply to me / my patients
- age
- sex
- lifestyle
how does this risk compare with other risks
- perspective
what questions should you ask when you see messages about risk reduction?
reduced risk of what?
- what outcome
- how much do you care
how big is the risk reduction
- what are my chances without treatment
- starting and modified risk
does the risk reduction information reasonably apply to me
- similar people to you / patients
what are the downsides
- side effects
- time
- cost
is the benefit worth the downsides
what are the starting and modified risks in drug studies
the chances of the outcome in the untreated and treated groups (those who did not take the drug and those that did)
what is another name for a 2 x 2 table
contingency table
explain what a pilot study is
not a main study
usually conducted with fewer people than needed
information gathered from these is not enough to take practice
explain the differences between study groups
sorry i couldn’t think how to word this better but
need to have 1 group as a control for the comparison
need to have the other group that is exposed to the treatment you are studying
what does the control group using the placebo show
starting risk
what does the treatment group undergoing the study show
the modified risk
what is the absolute risk reduction
difference in risk between groups
find risk in both groups then take them away from each other
what value would the absolute risk difference take if there was no benefit of the tested group over placebo?
0 = value of no difference
define number needed to treat (NNT)
the number of patients you would need to treat to prevent one patient from developing the disease / condition / outcome
define number needed to treat numerically
1 / absolute risk difference
always round up
result is the number of people you need to treat for 1 person to notice the difference
what is the risk ratio
how many times more likely is the result in one group than the result in the other group
= risk of test group / risk in placebo group
answer is how much more likely test group is than plan placebo group
what value would the risk ratio take if the risks in both groups were equal? ie no benefit of the test group over the placebo group
1 = value of no difference