Equity - Market Efficiency + overview of equity securities + industry analysis (Rd 46-48) Flashcards
Which of the following statements about market efficiency is least accurate?
A)
The semi-strong form EMH addresses market and non-market public information.
B)
The weak-form EMH suggests that fundamental analysis will not provide excess returns while the semi-strong form suggests that technical analysis cannot achieve excess returns.
C)
The strong-form EMH assumes cost free availability of all information, both public and private.
B
The weak-form EMH suggests that technical analysis will not provide excess returns while the semi-strong form suggests that fundamental analysis cannot achieve excess returns. The weak-form EMH assumes the price of a security reflects all currently available historical information. Thus, the past price and volume of trading has no relationship with the future, hence technical analysis is not useful in achieving superior returns.
The other choices are correct.
The strong-form EMH states that stock prices reflect all types of information: market, non-public market, and private. No group has monopolistic access to relevant information; thus no group can achieve excess returns. For these assumptions to hold, the strong-form assumes perfect markets - information is free and available to all.
____ reflects current available security market data
____ reflects info from both public and private source
____ reflects without bias to new public information
p - weak form market efficiency
f - strong form market efficiency
mf - semi-strong form market efficiency
Investors ___ (can/cannot) achieve positive risk adjusted returns on average by using technical analysis in weak form market efficiency
cannot
Investors ___ (can/cannot) achieve positive risk adjusted returns on average by using _____ analysis in weak form market efficiency
technical
Investors cannot achieve positive risk adjusted returns on average by using technical analysis in ___ form market efficiency
weak
Investors ___ (can/cannot) achieve positive risk adjusted returns on average by using fundamental analysis in semi strong form market efficiency
cannot
Investors cannot achieve positive risk adjusted returns on average by using ____ analysis in semi strong form market efficiency
fundamental or technical - not consistently achieve
However, fundamental analysis is necessary if market prices are to be semi-strong form efficient.
Investors cannot achieve positive risk adjusted returns on average by using fundamental analysis in ____ form market efficiency
semi strong
____ form market efficiency doesn’t really exist in real life since markets prohibit inside trading
strong
Which of the following forms of the EMH assumes that no group of investors has monopolistic access to relevant information?
A) Weak-form.
B) Both weak and semistrong form.
C) Strong-form.
C
According to the strong-form EMH, security prices reflect all information, which includes the privately available (monopolistic) information.
An efficient capital market:
A)
fully reflects all of the information currently available about a given security, including risk.
B)
does not fully reflect all of the information currently available about a given security, including risk.
C)
fully reflects all of the information currently available about a given security, excluding risk.
A
An efficient capital market fully reflects all of the information currently available about a given security, including risk.
The more ____ a market is, the ____ its reaction will be to new information.
efficient; quicker
If the market is ____, active investment strategies cannot earn positive risk-adjusted returns consistently, and investors should therefore use a passive strategy.
fully efficient
If the market is fully efficient, active investment strategies ____ earn positive risk-adjusted returns consistently, and investors should therefore use a _____ strategy.
cannot; passive
The statement, “Stock prices fully reflect all information from public and private sources,” can be attributed to which form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH)?
A) Strong-form EMH.
B) Weak-form EMH.
C) Semistrong-form EMH.
A
This is the definition of the strong-form EMH. Private sources include insider information, such as persons holding monopolistic access to information relevant to the formation of prices.
Octagon Advisors believes that the market is semi-strong efficient. The firm’s portfolio managers most likely will use:
A) an enhanced indexing strategy that relies on trading patterns.
B) passive portfolio management strategies.
C) active portfolio management strategies.
B
If the market is semi-strong efficient, portfolio managers should use passive management because neither technical analysis nor fundamental analysis will generate positive abnormal returns on average over time.
- price rapidly adjust according to new information, so using passive technique is better
If markets are strong-form efficient, ___ (active/passive) investment management does not consistently result in abnormal profits.
active
Even if markets are strong-form efficient, portfolio managers can add value by establishing and implementing portfolio risk and return objectives and assisting with ____ (3)
- portfolio diversification
- asset allocation
- tax minimization
Even if markets are ___ efficient, portfolio managers can add value by establishing and implementing portfolio risk and return objectives and assisting with portfolio diversification, asset allocation, and tax minimization.
strong-form
The measure of an asset’s value that can most likely be determined without estimation is its:
A) fundamental value.
B) market value.
C) intrinsic value.
B
The current price of a traded asset is its market value. An asset’s intrinsic or fundamental value is the price a rational investor with complete information about the asset would pay for it.
The value of an asset that a rational investor with full knowledge about the asset’s characteristics would willingly pay is best described as the asset’s:
A) market value.
B) intrinsic value.
C) theoretical value.
B
Intrinsic value is the price a rational investor with full knowledge about an asset’s characteristics would willingly pay for the asset.
If the momentum effect persists over time, it would provide evidence against which of the following forms of market efficiency?
A) Both weak form and semistrong form.
B) Weak form only.
C) Semistrong form only.
A
The momentum effect suggests it is possible to earn abnormal returns using market data. All three forms of market efficiency (weak form, semistrong form, and strong form) assume that market prices fully reflect market data.
Investor overreaction that has been documented in securities markets is most likely attributable to investors exhibiting:
A) loss aversion.
B) conservatism.
C) risk aversion.
A
Loss aversion refers to the tendency for investors to dislike downside risks more than upside risks creating asymmetrical risk preferences. This dislike of losses may be a cause of investor overreaction.
C - The standard economic notion of risk aversion assumes symmetric risk preferences.
B - Conservatism is the behavioral bias whereby investors react slowly to new information and is unlikely to cause overreaction.
A market’s efficiency is most likely to negatively affected by:
A) a ban on short selling.
B) a high amount of trading activity.
C) substantial analyst coverage of the exchange listed companies
A
Research supports the conclusion that short selling helps to prevent market prices from becoming overvalued, while limiting short selling has the opposite effect. More analyst coverage and more liquidity contribute to market efficiency.
A ____ is something that deviates from the efficient market hypothesis.
market anomaly
What tend to make markets more efficient? (2)
- Large numbers of market participants
- Greater information availability
What tend to make markets less efficient? (2)
- Impediments to arbitrage short selling
- High costs of trading and gathering information
Impediments to arbitrage short selling makes markets ___ efficient
less
Greater information availability makes markets ___ efficient
more
High costs of trading and gathering information makes markets ___ efficient
less
Large numbers of market participants makes markets ___ efficient
more
Which of the following would provide evidence against the semistrong form of the efficient market theory?
A)
Low P/E stocks tend to have positive abnormal returns over the long run.
B)
All investors have learned to exploit signals related to future performance.
C)
Trend analysis is worthless in determining stock prices.
A
P/E information is publicly available information and therefore this test relates to the semistrong-form EMH.
C - Trend analysis is based on historical information and therefore relates to the weak-form EMH.
B - In an efficient market one would expect 50% of pension fund managers to do better than average and 50% of pension fund managers to do worse than average. If all investors exploit the same information no excess returns are possible.
Compared to a publicly traded firm, a private equity firm is most likely to:
A) exhibit stronger corporate governance.
B) be more concerned with short-term results.
C) disclose less information about its financial performance.
C
Private equity firms are not held to the same financial reporting requirements as publicly traded firms. Less public scrutiny and limited financial disclosure may lead to weaker corporate governance. However, with less pressure from public shareholders, a private equity firm is typically more able to focus on long-term performance.
Compared to publicly traded firms, private equity firms have
- ____ reporting costs
- ____ ability to focus on long-term prospects
- (potentially) _____ return for investors once the firm goes public.
- lower reporting costs,
- greater ability to focus on long-term prospects,
- (potentially) greater return for investors once the firm goes public.
Private equity investments are
____ (illiquid/liquid)
- firm financial disclosure may be ____ (more/less) than public companies
- corporate governance may be ____ (stronger/weaker) than public companies
- _____ focus on long-term prospects
- private equity investments are illiquid
- firm financial disclosure may be limited
- corporate governance may be weaker
- less focus on long-term prospects.
Private equity securities most likely:
A) are issued to individual investors.
B) trade in over-the-counter dealer markets.
C) are illiquid and do not have quoted prices.
C
Private equity securities are illiquid and do not trade in public securities markets. Holders of private equity must negotiate with other investors to sell the securities. Private equity securities are typically issued to qualified institutional investors.
______ is the difference between the financial statement value of the firm’s assets and liabilities.
Book value of equity
The book value of equity is the difference between ____ and _____
- financial statement value of the firm’s assets
- liabilities
____ of equity reflect the firm’s past operating and financing choices.
BV
____ (positive/negative) retained earnings increase the book value of equity.
Positive
Positive retained earnings _____ (increase/decrease) the book value of equity.
increase
The ____ value of equity is the share price multiplied by the number of shares outstanding.
market
____ value of equity reflects investors’ expectations about the timing, amount, and risk of the firm’s future cash flows.
Market
The market value of equity is _____.
the share price multiplied by the number of shares outstanding
Market value reflects investors’ expectations about the _____, ______, and _____ of the firm’s future _____
timing, amount, and risk cash flows (value or prospect are both ok)
Which of the following statements about book value of equity is most accurate?
A)
Book value of equity reflects the market’s perception of the firm’s prospects.
B)
Increases in retained earnings decrease book value.
C)
The primary goal of firm management is to increase the book value of the firm’s equity.
C
Increasing book value is the primary goal of firm management.
B - Increases in retained earnings increase book value.
A - The market value of equity reflects investor perception of the firm’s future value.
Other things equal, which of the following types of stock has the most risk from the investor’s perspective?
A) Callable common share.
B) Callable preferred share.
C) Putable common share.
A
Callable shares have more risk than putable shares because the issuer can exercise the call option (which limits the investor’s potential gains) while the investor can exercise the put option (which limits the investor’s potential losses, assuming the firm is able to meet its obligation).
B - Preferred shares have less risk for the investor than common shares because preferred shares have a higher priority claim on the firm’s assets in the event of liquidation, and because preferred dividends typically must be paid before common dividends may be paid.
_____ stockholders must receive dividends before ____ stock dividends can be paid
Preferred; common
_____ stock is less risky than ____ stock because the former pays a known, fixed dividend to investors.
Preferred; common
____ stockholders have a claim equal to ___value if the firm is liquidated.
Preferred; par
Order of risk:
- putable vs callable
- non-cumulative preferred vs cumulative preferred
- common vs preferred
- Putable shares are the least risky and callable shares are the most risky.
- Cumulative preferred shares are less risky than non-cumulative preferred shares, as any dividends missed must be paid before a common stock dividend can be paid.
- preferred stock is less risky than common stock
Common equity share types ranked from least risky to most risky are:
A) putable, option-free, callable.
B) callable, putable, option-free.
C) option-free, putable, callable.
A
Putable shares are the least risky because the investor can sell the shares back to the issuer at a predetermined price. Callable shares are the most risky because the issuer can buy the securities back at a predetermined price, which limits the upside for the investor.
The primary reason for a firm to issue equity securities is to:
A) increase publicity for the firm’s products.
B) improve its solvency ratios.
C) acquire the assets necessary to carry out its operations.
- what are some solvency ratios?
C
While issuing equity securities can improve a company’s solvency ratios and increase the firm’s visibility with the public, the primary reason to issue equity is to raise the capital needed to acquire operating assets.
solvency ratios include:
- debt to equity
- debt (total liabilities over total assets) low is bettter
- equity ratio (total equity over total assets) high is better
Which of the following statements about the role of equities in financing a company’s assets is most accurate?
A) The book value and market value of equities is usually the same.
B) Equity capital is typically used for the purchase of long-term assets and expansion into new areas.
C) Management can directly increase the market value of equity by increasing net income.
B
Equity capital is used for the purchase of long-term assets, equipment, research and development and expansion into new businesses or geographic areas.
A - Book value and market value of equities are almost always valued differently.
C - Management can only indirectly affect the market value of equity.
Two investors, Craig Tower and Erin Gray, own 100 shares each of the same company. Tower receives a quarterly dividend while Gray does not. This is most likely because Tower:
A) owns common shares while Gray owns preferred shares.
B) owns a different class of stock than Gray.
C) purchased his shares after Gray purchased her shares.
B
Different classes of common stocks can have different features with respect to dividends, stock splits, voting power and seniority if the firm’s assets are liquidated.
A - If Gray owns preferred shares, she would be more likely to receive a dividend than Tower’s common shares.
C - If Gray had purchased shares before an ex-dividend date and Tower purchased the same class of shares after that ex-dividend date, Gray would receive a dividend that Tower did not.
Cheryl Brower and Todd Sutter each own 100 shares of Hills Company stock. In a recent proxy vote, Brower had 100 votes but Sutter had 10 votes. The most likely reason for this difference in voting rights is that:
A) Brower is a director of Hills Company.
B) Hills Company uses a statutory voting method.
C) Brower and Sutter own different classes of stock.
C
Companies may issue classes of stock (e.g., Class A and Class B shares) that differ in aspects such as voting rights, dividends, or priority of claims in liquidation.
With which of the following types of equity shares does the investor typically have the greatest voting power?
A) Common shares.
B) Unsponsored depository receipts.
C) Participating preference shares.
A
While common shares have voting rights, preference shares typically do not. With unsponsored depository receipts, the depository bank retains the right to vote the shares.
Liquidity of private equity is most likely:
A) greater than liquidity of public equity.
B) less than liquidity of public equity.
C) about equal to liquidity of public equity.
B
Private equity securities are not registered to be traded in a public market, and therefore are less liquid that public equity.
When analyzing an industry characterized by increasing book values of equity, return on equity for a period is most appropriately calculated based on:
A) beginning book value.
B) ending book value.
C) average book value.
C
When book values are not stable, analysts should calculate ROE based on the average book value for the period. When book values are more stable, beginning book value is appropriate.
In a period when U.S. equity prices are increasing and the U.S. dollar is depreciating, which of the following investors in U.S. equities is most likely to earn the highest return in the investor’s local currency?
A) U.S. investor who reinvests dividends.
B) Non-U.S. investor who reinvests dividends.
C) Non-U.S. investor who does not reinvest dividends.
A
Sources of return on equity securities include price appreciation or depreciation, dividend income, and foreign exchange gains or losses for investors outside the country. In an increasing equity market, reinvesting dividends is likely to increase returns compared to not reinvesting dividends. If the currency is depreciating, investors from outside the country will experience foreign exchange losses that decrease their returns.
A firm’s cost of equity capital is least accurately described as the:
A) minimum rate of return investors require to invest in the firm’s equity securities.
B) expected total return on the firm’s equity shares in equilibrium.
C) ratio of the firm’s net income to its average book value.
C
The ratio of the firm’s net income to its average book value is the firm’s return on equity, which can be greater than, equal to, or less than the firm’s cost of equity.
B and A - Cost of equity for a firm can be defined as the expected equilibrium total return in the market on its equity shares, or as minimum rate of return that investors require as compensation for the risk of the firm’s equity securities.
The ratio of the firm’s net income to its average book value is the firm’s _____, which can be greater than, equal to, or less than the firm’s cost of equity.
return on equity
The ratio of the firm’s net income to its average book value is the firm’s return on equity, which can be ____ than the firm’s cost of equity.
greater than, equal to, or less
The ratio of ______ is the firm’s return on equity, which can be greater than, equal to, or less than the firm’s cost of equity.
the firm’s net income to its average book value
Cost of equity is defined as? (2)
- expected equilibrium total return in the market on its equity shares
- minimum rate of return that investors require as compensation for the risk of the firm’s equity securities.
Johnson Company shuts down and is liquidated. Bob Smith owns 100 common shares of Johnson, but has a lower priority of claims than Al Jones, who also owns 100 common shares. Smith most likely owns:
A) Class B shares.
B) non-cumulative shares.
C) non-participating shares.
A
Some firms have different classes of common stock (e.g., Class A and Class B shares). These classes may be distinguished by factors such as voting rights and priority in the event of liquidation. Participating and non-participating, cumulative and non-cumulative refer to characteristics of preferred stock.
Compared to preferred stock, common stock is most likely to:
A) exhibit a lower standard deviation of returns.
B) provide a higher average return.
C) pay more frequent dividends.
B
Common stock is more risky than preferred stock and is expected to provide higher average returns. Preferred stock promises fixed periodic dividends. Common stock can be dividend-paying or non-dividend paying and the dividends are at management’s discretion.
common stock dividend has the following characteristics (comparing to preferred stock):
- ____ average return
- ____ risk
- ____ dividend at mgt discretion
- higher
- higher
- varied or none
Two seats on a board of directors are to be elected. A voting system in which the owner of 100 shares may cast 100 votes in each of the board elections is a:
A) statutory voting system.
B) proportional voting system.
C) cumulative voting system.
A
In a statutory voting system, a shareholder can vote in each separate board election based on the number of shares she owns. Under cumulative voting, the shareholder may choose to cast her total number of votes (200 in this example) for a candidate in one of the elections.
In a ____ voting system, a shareholder can vote in each separate board election based on the number of shares she owns
statutory
In a ____ voting system, the shareholder may choose to cast her total number of votes (200 in this example) for a candidate in one of the elections.
cumulative
______ preferred shares require any dividends that were missed in the past (dividends in arrears) to be paid before common shareholders receive any dividends.
Cumulative
____ preferred shares receive extra dividends if firm profits exceed a pre-specified level and a value greater than the par value if the firm is liquidated.
Participating
Characters of preferred stock dividend
- fixed rate
- not contractually obligated to pay
What are some types of preferred stocks? (3)
- participating vs non-participating
- convertible vs non-convertible
- cumulative vs non-cumulative
Does preferred stock have voting rights?
No