Equity Flashcards

1
Q

What is Equity?

A
  • Our share of the pot expressed as a %
  • Reflects frequency our hand/range wins at showdown
  • If no future action, Pot x Equity = EV
  • If all-in with $400 pot and 56%, EV = $224
  • Could be a win, break-even, or loss, depending on context: how much we’ve put in pot
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2
Q

Where does Equity come from?

A
  • If GTO, equity distributed by position
  • BB loses a lot, SB a little, BTN profits
  • If we capture more than our equity we have an edge
  • Denying our opponents their equity share is how we win at poker
  • Making them fold is not the only way to do this
  • We deny them profitable opportunities
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3
Q

What is a Range Advantage?

A
  • One player’s range (or likely range) has more equity than another
  • Used to categorize flop scenarios
  • Tighter range usually stronger (therefore has the Range Advantage)
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4
Q

How Range Advantage Affects Play

A
  • Affects flop primarily
  • Player with advantage incentivized toward aggression - high equity encourages bigger pot
  • Disadvantaged player incentivized to passivity (low equity, therefore smaller pot)
  • Preflop range combined with board texture locates range advantage and informs strategy
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5
Q

Static Flop

A
  • Hand/range equities unlikely to change on future cards
  • Few draws, usually A/K/Q high
  • Some hands will have >90% equity vs range
  • Favours PFR
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6
Q

Neutral Flops

A
  • Equities change a little but not substantially
  • Some draws, usually Q/J/T high
  • Hands >80% to <20% equity but rarely >90% or <10%
  • Even the nuts (top set) vulnerable
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7
Q

Dynamic Flops

A
  • Volatile equities, likely to change dramatically on turn/river
  • Many draws/overcards, usually 9-high or lower
  • Few hands >70% or <30% equity
  • Flopped nuts are vulnerable
  • May give range advanrtage to PF caller
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8
Q

Turns and Rivers

A
  • Equities likely shift more heavily one way or other on turns
  • Turn continuing ranges narrower, more precise
  • Blank turn on dynamic board cuts draw equity in half
  • Blank turn on static: strong flop hand stronger
  • Draw hits neutral board: flop draws become nuts
  • Also true on river; some hands now 0% equity
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9
Q

Equity Realization

A
  • Desire to continue hand, see more cards
  • Check/call vs bet/raise
  • We have a chance of winning showdown
  • Important where raise may force us to fold
  • PFR with AdTd and BB defends
  • Flop 8d4h2s and BB checks
  • Checking allows free turn with good equity but weak hand when we think CR is likely
  • (Not necessarily saying ATs should check here)
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10
Q

Equity Capitalization

A
  • Desire to end hand and prevent more streets
  • Bet/raise
  • Major advantage: win dead money
  • Relevant when equity low or vulnerable
  • EG PFR with K6s and BB defends
  • Flop 842r, BB checks
  • Poor equity, few backdoors, so don’t mind folding to a CR
  • Villain likely folds often to a bet, so capitalize
  • Also applies to vulnerable nuts on flop
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11
Q

Equity Retention

A
  • How well equity is preserved if a hand gets called
  • EG PFR and BB defends wide; flop K62
  • Consider 44 vs 87s
  • 44 > 87s going to flop (55% vs 30%)
  • If we bet flop and get called, we’d rather have 87s: more turn cards let it pick up equity to barrel again vs CC
  • Better equity retention makes realization easier
  • Good equity but poor retention benefit by denying equity to villain - bet now
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12
Q

Equity Denial

A
  • Prevent opponent from realizing free equity
  • If villain folds 25% Eq hand, we benefit
  • Betting marginal hands vulnerable vs villain’s CF range
  • Not necessarily forcing a fold, just preventing freeroll
  • EG bet 55 on 7d4d2h to deny free card to: Ah6d, 9h8h, QdTs, Ac9c, KsTs
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13
Q

Fold Equity

A
  • The EV we gain through forcing folds
  • Many villains overfold, particularly on T/R in big pots
  • High pot + high fold eq = very profitable
  • High pot + low fold eq = very profitable
  • Low pot + high fold eq = profitable
  • Low pot + Low fold eq = chip burning
  • Need to understand likelihood of inducing folds
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14
Q

Poled vs Merged Equity Distribution

A
  • Top half of green range >80%
  • Remainder has <25%
  • All hands in blue are 45-50%
  • Extremely common dynamic in poker
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15
Q

Near-symmetrical equity distribution

A
  • Both ranges contain hands with >90% and <30%
  • Green’s range slightly stronger (as PFR)
  • Frequent occurrence on dynamic flops
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16
Q

Questions for reflection

A
  • Where does my edge come from: making villain fold, or winning when they don’t?
  • Am I frequently forced to fold hands with good equity postflop? Why?
  • Do I hesitate to bet marginal hands on dynamic boards?
  • Do I get tilted when I check and let villain catch up?