Equity Flashcards
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Gordon Growth Model (Risk Premium)
Equity risk premium = Yield + g - RfLT
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Ibbotson-Chen (Risk Premium)
Equity risk premium = (1 + inflation) * (1 + g) * (1 + P/E) - 1 + Yield - Rf
Only appropriate for developed countries where public equities represent large part of economy
Inflation defined as the difference beteween T-Bond and TIPS (inflation linked bond)
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CAPM (ke)
Ke = Rf + B * (risk premium)
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Multifactor Model (ke)
Ke = RF + risk premium 1 + risk premium 2
risk premium = B * factor
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Fama-French (ke)
Ke = RF + Bmkt * (Rmkt - RF) + Bsmb * (Rsmall - Rbig) + Bhml (Rhbm - Rlbm)
Model that account for small-cap stocks higher returns
SMB = Small cap vs Large Cap
HBM = High book-to-mkt vs Low book-to-mkt
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Pastor-Stambaugh (ke)
Ke = RF + Bmkt * (Rmkt - RF) + Bsmb * (Rsmall - Rbig) + Bhml (Rhbm - Rlbm)+ Liquidez
ou
Fama-French + Liquidez
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Macroeconomic (ke)
ou Burmeister, Roll, and Ross
Ke = RF + B * Confidence Risk + B * Time horizon risk + B * Inflation risk + B * Business cycle risk + B * Market timing risk
Confidence Risk = Corp vs Gvt Bonds
Time horizon risk = Long term vs bills
Inflation risk = Unexpected change in inflation
Business cycle risk = Unexpected change in level of GDP
Market timing risk = retorno não explicado pelo restante (erro)
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Build-up (ke)
RF + equity risk premium + size premium + specific company premium
Talvez tenha um beta para risk premium, mas pro restante não
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Present Value of Growth Opportunities
V =E1 / r + PVGO
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Sustainable g
RR * ROE
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Free Cash Flow to Firm
FCFF = NI + NCC + [Int × (1 – tax rate)] – Capex – WC
FCFF = [EBIT × (1 – tax rate)] + NCC – Capex – WC
FCFF = [EBITDA × (1 – tax rate)] + (NCC × tax rate) – Capex – WC
FCFF = CFO + [Int × (1 – tax rate)] – Capex
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Justified P/E and Trailing P/E
Justified leading P/E = Payout / (r - g)
Justified trailing P/E = Payout / (r - g) * (1 + g)
Lembrar que trailling é maior por que considera 1 crescimento a +
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Justified P/B
P/B = (ROE - g) / (r - g)
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Justified P/S
Justified trailing P/E * net margin
Justified trailing P/E = Payout / (r - g) * (1 + g)
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Justified Dividend Yield
D/P = (r - g) / (1 + g)