Epidemiology: Measuring & Describing Disease 2 Flashcards
What are the different types of research
research pyramid (in order of levels of evidence in research) : - systemic review and meta analyses - randomised control trials - cohort studies - case-control studies - case series, case reports - editorials, expert opinion research methods: - Qualitative - Quantitative research Study Design types - Observational research - Intervention research Epidemiological approach types - Descriptive epidemiology - Analytic epidemiology
Research can be categorised in several different ways within the hierarchy of evidence; qualitative vs quantitative research; observational vs interventional/experimental study designs; and descriptive vs analytic epidemiology
Define Qualitative research
Qualitative research, typically: - Explores underlying ideas and themes to inform research questions and possible future hypotheses - Expresses its findings and outputs of qualitative research in words - Relies on smaller numbers of participants, but goes in substantial detail It’s often used earlier in the research process – and gives you a place to start. Equally there are areas of work where merely ‘counting things’ is not that useful.
What numbers and measures do we use in epidemiology?
-Measures of frequency and association - Comparisons and adjusting for differences
Where do our measures in epidemiology come from?
- Descriptive epidemiology - Observational and interventional study design - Systematic reviews and meta-analysis
How are epidemiological findings interpreted
- Association, causation, validity and bias - Confounding and effect modification
What is the name of the transition in which “more resource constrained societies suffer from infectious diseases, which overtime are broadly overcome by improved access to water, sanitation, hygiene, vaccines and antibiotics. In their place, non-communicable diseases take hold: cardiovascular disease, dementia and cancer.”
Epidemiological transtion
Define DALYs
DALYs – that’s Disability Adjusted Life Years. - The DALY is a measure of disease burden that combines years of life lost from ill-health, disability or premature death.
Which diseases cause the highest DALYs
https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-compare/
IHD - Cardiovascular
and neoplasms highest cause of DALYs
What are the 3 groups of conditions that cause DALYs?
Which group is most responsible for DALYs
- non communicable diseases
- communicable, maternal, neonatal and nutritional diseases
- Injuries
https: //vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-compare/
What is the leading cause of death in the UK in 2017?
https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-compare/
IHD - Ischaemic heart disease
What’s the leading cause of morbidity (using DALYs as the measure) between ages 15-49
https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-compare/
Back pain
What’s the leading cause of mortality in the uk between ages 15-49?
https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-compare/
self-harm
Which cause of death accounts for the greatest modifiable behavioural risk among 15-49 year olds in the UK?
https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-compare/
Drugs
Measures for continous variables
mean, median, mode, range..
What are the measures of frequency for discrete variables
- Odds
- Prevalence
- Cumulative incidence
- Incidence rate
Define ratio
The term ratio describes a number obtained by dividing one quantity by another.
Define odds
Odds is the ratio of the probability of an event to its complement.
- it is the ratio of the number of people who have the disease to the number of people who don’t have the disease.
= P/ (P − 1)
P = probability of an event
P – 1 = probability of its complemenT
What is the epidemiological definition of odds?
The ratio of the probability (P) of an event to the probability of its complement (1-P).
Calculate the odds:
In a tutor group of 12 students at Imperial College School of Medicine, 10 students have diligently completed their guided online learning before the tutorial, and 2 have not.
What are the odds that any student has diligently completed their guided online learning among this group?
5:1
Calculation of odds
In a tutor group of 12 students at Imperial College School of Medicine, 10 students have diligently completed their guided online learning before the tutorial, and 2 have not.
What are the odds that any student has not diligently completed their guided online learning among this group?
0.20
Interpretation of odds
In the context of odds, what is the output number above which it becomes more likely an event takes place than does not take place?
1
Define prevalence
The proportion of individuals in a population who have the disease or attribute of interest at a specific timepoint. (snapshot at a timepoint)
= p/n
- *P** = no. with an attribute
- *n** = total no. of individuals in entire population
Dimensionless number – no units. (always specify timepoint)
measured b/w 0-1 or 0%-100% (where 100% means everyone has the disease and 0% means no one has the disease)
What are the limitations of prevalence as a measure
- Reflects both the occurrence and duration of a disease (can not know whether information
- Provides no information on new cases of a disease
Pros and cons off prevalence and odds as measures
- Can describe the health of a population and monitor trends of disease over time
- Enable planning of health services and allocation of healthcare resources
- Less helpful in diseases of short duration and causal inference
During the baseline assessment of ICSM Lifestyle Tracking Study in 2019, 22 students (out of 61) reported using the Tube to attend class.
What is the prevalence of Tube use to attend medical school among the first-year medical students responding to the survey?
0.36
Interpretation of prevalence
What are some possible limitations of the previous statistic that X% of medical students used the Tube as their primary means of attending class? Select all that apply.
- The sample (n=61) compared to the population (N=360) is small and therefore there is uncertainty around the point estimate of X%.
- That non-response bias is possible: insomuch as students who took part in the baseline survey for ICSM LTS may differ systematically from the first-year student body overall.
- That the finding is only valid for the time point in question: it’s possible that students’ means of travel may change over the course of the year.
- That the finding may only be valid for first-year students as students in subsequent years may differ systematically in their place of residence and hence their choice of transport modality.