Epidemiology Flashcards
epidemiology
is the study of populations in order to determine the frequency and distribution of disease.
both disease and health states
frequency of disease
burden of disease
what does epidemiology help identigy
risk factor for disease and determining optimal treatment approaches to clinical practice and preventative measures
- Can study risk factors as well as health/disease outcomes
- Can identify links, association and casualties
- Development and evaluation of preventative medicine
Cornerstone of evidence based practice
what is study in epidemiology
groups of people not individuals
first reported epidemiological case
John Snow and Broad St Pump cholera outbreak 1854
7 major role of epidemiology
Monitor infectious and non-infectious diseases
- Communicable and non-communicable diseases
Study natural history of diseases
- Prognosis and sequalae of disease
Investigation of disease risk factors
Health care needs assessment
Development of preventive programmes
Evaluation of interventions
Health Service planning
how are communicable diseases monitored
on a weekly basis e.g. flu
what is a consequence of a pandemic of an infectious disease e.g. flu
causes a number of deaths in elderly (linked to pneumonia) and additionally impact younger people too e.g. pregnant
how are non-communicable/chronic diseases monitored?
on a annual basis
e.g. cancer - incidence and death rates from cancer registries
oral example of self-limiting disease
ulcers
oral example of of chronic disease
chronic periodontal disease
oral example of fatal disease
oral cancer (50% will die in 5 year diagnosis)
oral example of unknown disease history
oral HPV
- unknown relationship with oropharyngeal cancer, need to carry out work to understand it
what is the purpose of epidemiologically studying the natural history of diseases?
sequalae of diseases (impact)
how can you epidemiologically investigate the risk factors (causes/determinants) of disease?
health needs assessment
- What care services are required by particular population groups
- Dependent on health status and demographics of population
- Collective population needs
Analytical epidemiology – unpicking risk factors
what does analytical epidemiology do
unpick risk factors (causes/determinants) of disease
how are preventative programmes developed
Based on knowing risk factors of diseases and attempting to prevent exposure to these factors
E.g. distribution of decay in Scotland of whole population
- 50% of 5-year-old in millennium
- 70-75% in most deprived
Develop programme to communities
- Universal and targeted practice for deprived areas
what is the purpose of using epidemiology to evaluate interventions
has a new service/procedure made any difference
3 main types of epidemiological study
descriptive (observational)
analytical (observational)
- case control
- cohort
intervention/experimental
- randomised controlled trials
what is epidemiology necessary for
health service planning
prevalence
measurement of all individuals affected by the disease within a particular period of time or point in time
- period, point in time, proportion
Number of affected individuals (cases is numerator) divided by total number of persons in population (denominator)
- Expressed as a % or fraction
what are prevalence estimates obtained from
obtained from cross sectional studies or derived from registers
prevalences used for
estimate of how common a condition is within a population over a certain period of time (carry out multiple) or point in time
e.g. % of P1 Children in NHS Greater Glasgow & Clyde with no obvious caries experience, 2008 & 2010 (different areas over 2 times)
incidence
a measurement of the number of new individuals who contract a disease during a particular period of time
- per week, per year (need to have time window expressed with rates)
Number of new cases or events during a specific period of time in a defined population
- Same numerator of cases, denominator is population
e.g. 5 new cases per week, 10 cases of oral cancer per 100,000 population per annum
incidence rates obtained from
longitudinal studies or derived from registers
diabetes - incidence Vs Prevalence
chronic incurable disease like diabetes can have a low incidence but high prevalence, because the prevalence is the cumulative sum of past year incidence rates
- Prevalence is cumulative sum of last year incidence rates
How many patients need diabetic drugs/care
common cold - Incidence Vs Prevalence
short-duration curable condition such as the common cold can have a high incidence but low prevalence, because many people get a cold each year, but few people actually have the cold at any given time (so prevalence low)