Epidemic Curves and Determinants Flashcards
What is used to represent the number of new cases of disease over time?
Epidemic Curves
What factors of disease can we learn from epidemic curves?
Most probable source of outbreak If pathogen is contagious If outbreak is ending or will continue Incubation period (sometimes) Outliers
Should outliers in epidemic curves be considered or ignored?
Always consider! Early outliers can be early cases of the disease that weren’t noticed at first, but they can also be unrelated to the current outbreak.
Early epidemic curves are based mainly on what?
Clinical signs and symptoms
What factors will cause waves of infection to stop?
All susceptibles die or become resistant. Prophylaxis ends disease (vaccines)
This curve features exposure followed by waves of secondary and tertiary cases of disease. What type of source is indicated?
Propagated source. Common with contagious diseases.
The areas of low # cases between waves of disease indicate what?
Incubation period
The following curve indicates what type of exposure to disease?
Common source, single point exposure. All animals are exposed at the same time from the same source.
T/F: Epidemic curves such as the one featured are common with contagious disease.
FALSE
Contagious diseases produce a propagated source curve.
If we know the point of exposure, can this curve tell us anything about the incubation period?
YES! We can determine the minimum, average, and maximum incubation times.
This type of curve indicates what type of exposure?
Common source with intermittent exposure.
All animals are exposed to the same source, but at different times.
What can this Common Source/Intermittent Exposure curve tell us about the incubation period?
Not really anything, since everyone is getting infected at different times.
Host factors influencing the shape of an epidemiological curve:
Immunity or resistance
Direct transmission
Pathogen factors influencing epidemiological curves:
Infectiousness of agent
Latent and incubation periods
Duration of infectivity
T/F: Enviromnent doesn’t affect an epidemiological curve.
FALSE
Host factors, agent factors, AND environmental factors incluence the shape of the curve